Richmond AMERICAS MarketBeat Industrial 2page Q12013

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MARKETBE EAT

INDUSTR RIAL SN NAPSHO OT


RIC CHMOND D, VA
A Cu ushman & Wak kefield Alliance e Research Pub blication

Q1 2013

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
The economic picture in Virgin nia is improving slowly, with un nemployment ho olding steady and d housing starts rebounding to the highest level in four years. The T Virginia unem mployment rate was 5.6% in Jan nuary, unchanged d from Decem mber and down from 6% in Janu uary 2012; the Richmond regions rate w was 6.6%, down from f 7.0% in Jan nuary 2012 and 7.7% 7 in January 2011. Housing starts in i Virginia increa ased 8.9% in Janu uary from Decem mber 2012 and 44.7% 4 over the year. y Although new n homes repres sent only a fraction of the housing market, each h home built create es an average of three jobs for a year half of those t in the constr ruction industry and generate es about $90,000 in tax revenue e. Also o of note, First Pot tomac Realty Tr rust is marketing g its 4.2 millionsquare e-foot (msf) port tfolio of industrial properties in southern Virginia, including mor re than 700,000 square feet (sf) at Rivers Bend, , at Rou ute 10 and Interstate 295 in Che ester. The six warehouses and flex industrial space si it on 150 acres and a are 100% lea ased.

OUTL LOOK
Activit ty is trending up, brokers say. The number of pr rospects in the t for 5,000 to 25 market 5,000 sf is signifi icant, and broke ers anticipate tha at pickup p will translate in nto activity in the second and th hird quarters. Absorp ption is still positive but not sign nificant, with a d dip in vacancy rates a anticipated in the e second and third quarters. A f former hydroe electric power p plant, built in 189 99 in downtown n Richmond, is on the e market for $3.5 5 million. It could join several m major industrial proper rties along both sides of the Jam mes River that ar re being conver rted into residen ntial/office/retail l development, w which would tak ke a vacan nt space off the market. STAT TS ON THE G O
Q1 2012 2 Overa all Vacancy Direct t Asking Rents (ps f/yr) YTD L Leasing Activity (sf f) 10.7% % $4.24 4 462,556 6 Q1 2013 9.9% $4.15 450,320 Y-O-Y 12 MONTH H CHANGE FORECAST T -0.8pp -2.1% -2.6%

LEASING AND SAL LES ACTIVITY Y


Bermu uda Distribution n, a transportatio on company, leas sed 92,857 sf at 4810 E Eubank Road in Richmond. Best t Bully Sticks, wh hich manuf factures dog trea ats and distribut tes other pet pro oducts, leased 90,000 0 sf at Eastport near n Richmond International Air rport, moving from i its much smaller r warehouse nea ar Virginia Union n University. And d ITAC, which provides s engineering and d construction services, s expanded into 45,000 sf on Enon Chu urch Road in Chester. Const truction on the Vitamin V Shoppes 311,000-sf warehouse in Ashlan nd, which will be e used as the companys East Co oast flagship center r, is well under way, w with hiring expected to sta art this spring. Notab ble sales included d the former Bin nswanger Glass Company 50,528 8 sf on Jacque St treet in Richmon nd to K2 Trop phies & Awards for $1.2 million, or $24 per square fo oot (psf), and a former f U.S. Postal Service building g in Sandston to Swift Air Logist tics. The Virginia abased trucking compa any paid $1.45 million, m or $24 ps sf, for the 61,500 0-sf building. Absor rption was 140,150 sf in the first t quarter, down from 317,846 sf f for the e first quarter of 2012. Leasing activity a was 450, ,320 sf, on par with fi irst quarter 2012. Vacancy was 9.9%, 9 compared d with 10.7 % in the same quarter of 2012 2 and 11.1% in i 2011. Prices remain r very compe etitive for tenant ts and prospecti ive buyers. OVER RALL RENTAL L VS. VACANC CY RATES
$4.50 $4.40 psf/yr $4.30 $4.20 $4.10 $4.00 2009 2010 201 11 2012 2013 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0%

OVERALL NET T RENTAL RATE

OVERALL V VACANCY RATE

LEAS SING ACTIVIT TY VS. OVERA LL NET ABSO ORPTION


6 6,000 sf (thousands)
2 530 2,530

2,711

2,565

573

450

0
-3,481

-2 2,000 -4 4,000

2009

2010

-1,006

2011

2012 2

YTD 2013

LEASING AC CTIVITY

OV VERALL NET ABSO ORPTION

Thalhim mer 11100 W W. Broad St. Glen Allen, VA 23060 www.cu ushmanwakefield.c com/knowledge

For more m information, contact: Brad McGetrick ctor, Brokerage Se ervices Direc 804 697 6 3558 brad.mcgetrick@thalhi imer.com

The market terms and definition ns in this report are based on n NAIOP standards. No warranty or resentation, express or implie ed, is made to the accuracy o or completeness of the information repr cont tained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or othe er conditions, withdrawal wit thout notice, and to any spec cial listing conditions imposed d by our princ cipals. 20 013 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.

140

2 2,000

4,470

4,013

4 4,000

RICHMOND, VA
SUBMARKET CLUSTER INVENTORY OVERALL VACANCY RATE 1.3% 10.6% 10.4% 11.3% 9.6% YTD LEASING ACTIVITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 0 500,000 0 0 0 YTD DIRECT NET ABSORPTION 500 14,338 445,671 61,290 (379,204) YTD OVERALL NET ABSORPTION D Downtown Northeast Northwest Southeast Southwest 1,086,304 14,885,639 25,408,446 17,331,427 49,756,932 0 22,002 86,393 155,313 186,612 0 0 311,370 0 0 500 14,338 445,671 61,290 (381,649) $0.00 $3.69 $3.25 $3.89 $3.14 MF $0.00 $2.57 $4.19 $3.95 $3.98 DIRECT WEIGHTED AVERAGE NET RENTAL RATE* F $4.95 $9.11 $8.16 $6.73 $6.70 GI $0.00 $4.81 $5.22 $3.66 $3.56

TOTALS
PROPERTY TYPE

108,468,748
INVENTORY

9.9%
OVERAL VACANCY RATE 12.8% 7.2% 16.7% 11.0%

450,320
YTD LEASING ACTIVITY

311,370
UNDER CONSTRUCTION

500,000
YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 500,000 0 0 0

140,150
YTD DIRECT NET ABSORPTION 379,498 34,325 (23,942) (249,731)

142,595
YTD OVERALL NET ABSORPTION

$3.52

$3.72

$7.84

$4.31

Q1 2013 Distribution Manufacturing Flex General Industrial 21,605,785 29,102,964 10,684,118 47,075,881 138,898 51,790 96,276 163,356 311,370 0 0 0 379,498 34,325 (23,942) (247,286) $3.52 $3.72 $7.84 $4.13

2012 $3.55 $3.64 $7.81 $4.18

DIRECT WEIGHTED AVERAGE NET RENTAL RATE* 2011 2010 $3.82 $3.51 $7.89 $4.21 $3.81 $3.51 $7.77 $5.80

TOTALS

108,468,748

9.9%

450,320

311,370

500,000

140,150

142,595

$4.15

$4.16

$4.15

$4.26

* RENTAL RATES REFLECT ASKING $PSF/YEAR

D= DISTRIBUTION MF = MANUFACTURING F = FLEX

GI = GENERAL INDUSTRIAL

MARKET HIGHLIGHTS Significant Q1 2013 Lease Transactions


2801 Cofer Road 4810 Eubank Road 5701 Eastport Boulevard SUBMARKET Jeff Davis Corridor Airport Airport SUBMARKET Airport Scotts Add/West End Rt 288 Corridor SUBMARKET I-95 N/Mechanicsville SUBMARKET I-95 North/Ashland TENANT Full Service Warehouse & Logistics, Inc. Bermuda Distribution Best Bully Sticks BUYER Swift Air Logistics Jacque Street LLC SLW, LLC MAJOR TENANT NA MAJOR TENANT Vitamin Shoppe BUILDING CLASS B A A PURCHASE PRICE / $PSF $1,454,250 / $23.63 $1,200,000 / $23.75 $1,375,000 / $53.92 COMPLETION DATE Q1 2013 COMPLETION DATE Q2 2013 SQUARE FEET 230,000 92,857 90,000 SQUARE FEET 61,552 50,528 25,500 BUILDING SQUARE FEET 500,000 BUILDING SQUARE FEET 311,370

Significant Q1 2013 Sale Transactions


500 Trampton Road 4128 Jacque Street 3701 Price Club Boulevard

Significant Q1 2013 Construction Completions


10999 Air Park Road

Significant Projects Under Construction


Vitamin Shoppe Distribution Center

Thalhimer 11100 W. Broad St. Glen Allen, VA 23060 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge

For more information, contact: Brad McGetrick Director, Brokerage Services 804 697 3558 brad.mcgetrick@thalhimer.com

The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2013 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.

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