Richmond AMERICAS MarketBeat Industrial 2page Q12013
Richmond AMERICAS MarketBeat Industrial 2page Q12013
Richmond AMERICAS MarketBeat Industrial 2page Q12013
Q1 2013
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
The economic picture in Virgin nia is improving slowly, with un nemployment ho olding steady and d housing starts rebounding to the highest level in four years. The T Virginia unem mployment rate was 5.6% in Jan nuary, unchanged d from Decem mber and down from 6% in Janu uary 2012; the Richmond regions rate w was 6.6%, down from f 7.0% in Jan nuary 2012 and 7.7% 7 in January 2011. Housing starts in i Virginia increa ased 8.9% in Janu uary from Decem mber 2012 and 44.7% 4 over the year. y Although new n homes repres sent only a fraction of the housing market, each h home built create es an average of three jobs for a year half of those t in the constr ruction industry and generate es about $90,000 in tax revenue e. Also o of note, First Pot tomac Realty Tr rust is marketing g its 4.2 millionsquare e-foot (msf) port tfolio of industrial properties in southern Virginia, including mor re than 700,000 square feet (sf) at Rivers Bend, , at Rou ute 10 and Interstate 295 in Che ester. The six warehouses and flex industrial space si it on 150 acres and a are 100% lea ased.
OUTL LOOK
Activit ty is trending up, brokers say. The number of pr rospects in the t for 5,000 to 25 market 5,000 sf is signifi icant, and broke ers anticipate tha at pickup p will translate in nto activity in the second and th hird quarters. Absorp ption is still positive but not sign nificant, with a d dip in vacancy rates a anticipated in the e second and third quarters. A f former hydroe electric power p plant, built in 189 99 in downtown n Richmond, is on the e market for $3.5 5 million. It could join several m major industrial proper rties along both sides of the Jam mes River that ar re being conver rted into residen ntial/office/retail l development, w which would tak ke a vacan nt space off the market. STAT TS ON THE G O
Q1 2012 2 Overa all Vacancy Direct t Asking Rents (ps f/yr) YTD L Leasing Activity (sf f) 10.7% % $4.24 4 462,556 6 Q1 2013 9.9% $4.15 450,320 Y-O-Y 12 MONTH H CHANGE FORECAST T -0.8pp -2.1% -2.6%
2,711
2,565
573
450
0
-3,481
-2 2,000 -4 4,000
2009
2010
-1,006
2011
2012 2
YTD 2013
LEASING AC CTIVITY
Thalhim mer 11100 W W. Broad St. Glen Allen, VA 23060 www.cu ushmanwakefield.c com/knowledge
For more m information, contact: Brad McGetrick ctor, Brokerage Se ervices Direc 804 697 6 3558 brad.mcgetrick@thalhi imer.com
The market terms and definition ns in this report are based on n NAIOP standards. No warranty or resentation, express or implie ed, is made to the accuracy o or completeness of the information repr cont tained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or othe er conditions, withdrawal wit thout notice, and to any spec cial listing conditions imposed d by our princ cipals. 20 013 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
140
2 2,000
4,470
4,013
4 4,000
RICHMOND, VA
SUBMARKET CLUSTER INVENTORY OVERALL VACANCY RATE 1.3% 10.6% 10.4% 11.3% 9.6% YTD LEASING ACTIVITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 0 500,000 0 0 0 YTD DIRECT NET ABSORPTION 500 14,338 445,671 61,290 (379,204) YTD OVERALL NET ABSORPTION D Downtown Northeast Northwest Southeast Southwest 1,086,304 14,885,639 25,408,446 17,331,427 49,756,932 0 22,002 86,393 155,313 186,612 0 0 311,370 0 0 500 14,338 445,671 61,290 (381,649) $0.00 $3.69 $3.25 $3.89 $3.14 MF $0.00 $2.57 $4.19 $3.95 $3.98 DIRECT WEIGHTED AVERAGE NET RENTAL RATE* F $4.95 $9.11 $8.16 $6.73 $6.70 GI $0.00 $4.81 $5.22 $3.66 $3.56
TOTALS
PROPERTY TYPE
108,468,748
INVENTORY
9.9%
OVERAL VACANCY RATE 12.8% 7.2% 16.7% 11.0%
450,320
YTD LEASING ACTIVITY
311,370
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
500,000
YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 500,000 0 0 0
140,150
YTD DIRECT NET ABSORPTION 379,498 34,325 (23,942) (249,731)
142,595
YTD OVERALL NET ABSORPTION
$3.52
$3.72
$7.84
$4.31
Q1 2013 Distribution Manufacturing Flex General Industrial 21,605,785 29,102,964 10,684,118 47,075,881 138,898 51,790 96,276 163,356 311,370 0 0 0 379,498 34,325 (23,942) (247,286) $3.52 $3.72 $7.84 $4.13
DIRECT WEIGHTED AVERAGE NET RENTAL RATE* 2011 2010 $3.82 $3.51 $7.89 $4.21 $3.81 $3.51 $7.77 $5.80
TOTALS
108,468,748
9.9%
450,320
311,370
500,000
140,150
142,595
$4.15
$4.16
$4.15
$4.26
GI = GENERAL INDUSTRIAL
For more information, contact: Brad McGetrick Director, Brokerage Services 804 697 3558 brad.mcgetrick@thalhimer.com
The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2013 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.