Shakers Final Report 2
Shakers Final Report 2
Shakers Final Report 2
Introduction:
1.1.
Origin of Report:
Internship Program of North South University (NSU) is a graduation requirement for the
BBA students. This report is a partial requirement of the Internship program. Assigned by the
institutional supervisor, this report is prepared for internship and people & organization
department of Grameenphone Limited, based on the project assigned by Fund Management
and Collections department, Finance Division of Grameenphone Ltd.
1.2.
Background:
The company has so far invested more than BDT 10,700 crore (USD 1.6 billion) to build the
network infrastructure since its inception in 1997. The population coverage of Grameenphone
network was increased from 55% to 95% during the year. And Grameenphone will continue
to make the network quality and capacity improvements through the country and also
improve coverage in major highways and important public access buildings. The entire
Grameenphone network is also EDGE/GPRS enabled, allowing access to high-speed Internet
and data services from anywhere within the coverage area. There are currently nearly 3
million EDGE/GPRS users in the Grameenphone network.
1.3.
Problem Statement:
This Internship project will be titled as Current scenario of post-paid package & its future
prospects- An analysis on Grameenphone. In the current business world, particularly in
telecommunication sector, long-term customer maintenance, i.e., attaining sustainable market
share is a vital issue. My internship project is about analyzing the present status of post-paid
packages compare to other packages offered by Grameenphone and the future prediction of
the product based on organizations aptitude and customer expectations.
1.4.
Objectives:
Broad Objective:
Analyzing the present status of the post-paid service & the future prospects of the product
based on the organizations capability and customers expectation.
Specific objective:
The research will be aimed at fulfilling the following specific objectives:
To determine that is there any special feature that differentiates pre-paid service from
others and also to describe the future offers, expectations, and prospects of the
organization
1.5.
This report provides a close analytical look at the subscribers service satisfaction level that
GP is providing recently and usages with a closer to view subscribers expected services from
GP. This report will help to gather knowledge about the services provided by Grameenphone.
To remain in leading position in post-paid market, this research is very needful because
customer is the core concentration of marketing. Their satisfaction will bring
Grameenphones success and help to reach the goal.
1.6.
Methodology:
Business research used in this report is of descriptive nature. Through this descriptive
research this report seeks to determine the answers to who, what, where and how questions of
the cellular industry of Bangladesh. To prepare the report, research design and methods of
this study is described as follows:
Data source:
Data for this report has been extracted from primary sources as well as secondary sources.
Figure-1
Primary Data:
Primary Data will be collected though questionnaire survey which will be done on post-paid
users of Grameenphone and direct interview will be done with corporate employees of
Grameenphone Limited.
Secondary Data:
Majority of the data will be collected from Annual Report, Informal discussions mainly with
my supervisor, published articles on telecommunication sectors, journals, brochures,
Grameenphone official web sites. Many of the data will be collected from the observation of
the Fund Management and Collection Departments activities.
Sample Size:
Questionnaire design:
The questionnaire will be designed in such a way so that the view of respondents articulated
properly regarding each and every issue.
Data Collection:
Organization part-
Annual Report, Informal discussions mainly with my supervisor, published articles, journal,
and brochures, Company websites
Project part
Ill conduct correlation, regression analysis and ANOVA, T-Test to find whether the
hypothesis gets proved or not
1.7.
Time constraint is a big factor could be a big issue, as I have to do this report along with
my regular office work
Data availability could be another big issue here because company might not want to
disclose all the confidential information regarding their managerial strategies and plans.
Data collection is restricted within Dhaka city only, which may fail to represent the
factual scenario of the relationship between measured variables.
As the data are collected are collected through the surveyor, it may hamper the data
validity and reliability
Figure-2
3.1.
Achieving Licenses:
The granting of service license to Bangladesh Telecom Authority in 1989 paved the way for
mobile service in Bangladesh. Pacific Bangladesh Telecom Limited (PBTL, now Citycell)
operating under CDMA technology was offered a cellular license in Bangladesh in 1993. In
1996, Bangladesh was preparing to auction off private cell phone licenses to four companies.
So in October 10 1996, at the request of Dr. Muhammad Yunus (Grameen Banks founder)
completely independent of Grameen Bank, a not-for-profit private company called Grameen
Telecom was formed as private limited company. Grameen Telecom, in turn, created a forprofit company called Grameen Phone, found a foreign partner, and put in a bid; Grameen
Phone received one of the four licenses.
3.2.
In the midst of lack of communication means, Grameenphone launched its service on the
Independence Day of Bangladesh with an effective and user-friendly mobile phone network.
They started their operation from March 26, 1997 with only 72 employees. They converted to
public limited company on June 25; 1997.Grameenphone put a positive impact on the
lifestyle of the people of Bangladesh.
Grameenphone was the first company to introduce GSM technology in Bangladesh when it
launched its services in March 1997. Since its inception, Grameenphone remains committed
to providing the best service to its customers, as well as launching innovative new products
and services. The Village Phone Program started in 1997 that provided a good incomeearning opportunity to more than 210,000 mostly women Village Phone operators living in
rural areas. Grameenphone makes its profits by serving wealthier urban customers. But from
the point of view of the Grameen family and its strong anti-poverty mission, the for-profit,
urban-only Grameen Phone exists for only one reason: To fund, with its profits, the extension
of cell phones into rural Bangladesh in order to provide entrepreneurial opportunity to
Grameen Bank members through Village Phone. As Dr. Yunus puts it, "Grameen Phone is
merely what we need to do Grameen Telecoms Village Phone."
The Village Phone Program was an exclusive program to provide widespread access to
telecommunications service in remote, rural areas. Controlling by Grameen Telecom
7
Corporation, it enables rural people who normally cannot afford to own a telephone to gain
the service while providing the VP operators an opportunity to earn a living.
3.3.
Journey of Grameenphone:
After a successful launching, Grameenphone introduced its services in the second largest city
of Bangladesh, Chittagong In June 1998. Cell to cell coverage in the Dhaka-Chittagong
corridor also enabled Grameenphone to introduce its service in a number of other districts
along the way.
In 1999, Grameenphone expanded its business and started its business in Khulna. A good
number of other districts came under their coverage because of cell to cell coverage between
Dhaka and Khulna. Grameenphone was also the pioneer to introduce the pre-paid service in
September 1999. They introduce the EASY pre-paid service in the local market. Besides, it
established the first 24-hour Call Center, introduced value-added services such as Voice Mail
Service (VMS), Short Message Service (SMS), fax and data transmission services, and many
other products and services.
In 2000 Grameenphone started its services in Sylhet, Barisal and Rajshahi and brought all six
divisional headquarters under the coverage of its network. The service in Barisal region was
happening after the microwave link between Khulna and Chittagong was completed. After six
years of operation, in August 2003 Grameenphone has more than one million subscribers.
And from November 2005 Grameenphone continues to being the largest telecommunication
operator of Bangladesh with more than 5 million subscribers. Grameenphone Ltd is
continuing its operations with a success in 2006. In November it has just reached the mark of
10 million customers.
In 2008, Grameenphone has been listed in Bangladesh capital market after completing the
largest initial public offering (IPO) ever in the countrys history. Trading of Grameenphone
shares began in both Dhaka and Chittagong Stock Exchanges on 16 November 2009. The
share of BDT 10 each was offered with premium at BDT 70 and on 30 December 2009 the
trading price closed at BDT 187.5 in the Dhaka Stock Exchange. The number of subscribers
is increasing day by day. At present there are around 50 million telephone users in
Bangladesh whereas more than one million are fixed-phone users and rest mobile phone
subscribers. As of December 2009, Grameenphone has crossed more than 23 million
8
subscribers. GPs subscription base reached at 23.3 Million with 44.4% market share at the
end of 2009. Grameenphone operates a digital mobile telecommunication network based on
GSM standard in the 900MHz and1800MHz frequency bands under a license granted by
BRTC which will expire on November 2011.
Figure-3
5. Existing Share-holders:
9
Figure-4
The international shareholder brings technological and business management expertise while
the local shareholder provides an existence throughout Bangladesh and a deep understanding
of its economy. Both are dedicated to Bangladesh and its struggle for economic progress and
have a deep commitment to Grameenphone and its mission to provide affordable telephony to
the entire population of Bangladesh.
Companys Vision:
Grameenphones vision is Were here to help. That means Grameenphone Ltd. is always
there to help the customers get the full assistance of communications services in their daily
lives. They want to make it simple for the customers to get what and when they want it.
6.2.
Companys Mission:
10
The mission of Grameenphone Ltd is to deliver reliable, widespread, convenient mobile and
cost effective telephone services to the people in Bangladesh irrespective of where they live.
They are providing a total communication solution to its customers. To do this, the service
advance of Grameenphone has extensively developed over the last few years. Grameenphone
subscribers now enjoy all the modern data communication and content services. Mobile
office, internet access, MMS and modern music and download services are available through
the nationwide EDGE enabled network.
6.3.
Companys Objectives:
Grameenphone (GP) has been established to provide high-quality GSM cellular service at
affordable prices. Grameenphone has a dual purpose:
To
contribute
to
the
economic
development
of
Bangladesh
where
6.4.
Companys strategy:
Grameenphone Limited's strategy was to effectively become the second national operator in
Bangladesh. Instead of focusing on a high-end, niche market; it pursued a low tariff strategy
designed to compete directly with BTTB.
Continuously grow subscriber base:
Grameenphones strategy is to grow their subscriber base, while seeking to limit declines in
APPM, by increasing the availability of their products and services throughout the
Bangladesh and by aiming to improve customer retention.
Focusing on high value customer:
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their customer base, create a strong channel of communication between Grameenphone and
subscribers and obtain better market data to allow them to be more dynamic and responsive
to the market.
6.5.
Companys Value:
Make it Easy:
Grameenphone believes that they are sensible. Everything they create is easy to appreciate
and use as they never fail to remember that they are trying to make their customers' lives
easier.
Be Inspiring:
Grameenphone believes that they are imaginative. They convey energy and thoughts to their
work. Grameenphone wants to be a collaborator in the progress of our society. They are
passionate about our business, customers and country.
Keep Promise:
Everything Grameenphone set out to do should work. If it does not, they are there to put
things right. They are about delivery, not over promising - actions not words.
Be Respectful:
Grameenphone shows acknowledgement and admiration the local culture. They are courteous
and professional in regard to all interactions, both internally and externally. They are open,
helpful and friendly.
7. Organizational Structure:
Grameenphone has now more than 5000 employees. Grameenphone is divided into several
departments namely technical, sales & marketing, customer relations, administration, human
resource, finance and IT. Recently management has brought a change in the organizational
structure in view of need of time. Management and organization structure of Grameenphone
Ltd. are given in the following
13
Board of Directors:
Name
Position
Age
Date of First
Sigve Brekke
Chairman And
49
Appointment
September 1,2008
Director
Director
56
Hylland
Mr. Snorre
Director
37
Corneliussen
Mr. Dipal Chandra
Director
54
Barua
Mr. M. Shahjahan
Director
53
Table-1
Management Team:
Name
Oddvar Hesjedal
Laszlo Barta
Position
Chief Executive Officer
Acting Chief Marketing Officer
Frode Stoldal
38
1,2005
November 1,
36
2007
September 10,
Ahmed Raihan
Shamsi
Arnfinn Groven
Khalid Hasan
Secretary
Chief Human Resource Officer
Director, Corporate and regulatory
Syed Yamin
affairs
Director, Public Relations Divisions
Bakht
Farhad F.
Since 2006
Ahmed
Titus Dan
Since 2008
2001
52
August 1, 2007
Since 2001
Table-2
Organogram of Management Team is given below:
14
Figure-5
8. Operating Coverage:
Grameenphone has the leading network with the widest coverage in the country. The
Grameenphone network now covers over 99 percent of the population and over 87 percent of
the land area with the remaining areas mostly falling under the Sundarbans and the
Chittagong Hill Tract areas where mobile phone coverage is not allowed. Presently
Grameenphone has covered 462 upazillas of 64 districts.
15
Figure-6
The company has so far invested more than BDT 10,700 core (USD 1.6 billion) to build the
network infrastructure since its inception in 1997. It has invested over BDT 3,100 core (USD
450 million) during the first three quarters of 2007 while BDT 2,100 core (USD 310 million)
was invested in 2006 alone. Since its inception in March 1997, Grameenphone has built the
largest cellular network in the country with over 10,000 base stations in more than 5700
locations. A record 4181 new base stations were put into operation around the country during
the year, crossing the 10,000 base station milestones in the process. In addition, the entire
Grameenphone network is EDGE/GPRS enabled, allowing its customers to access high-speed
Internet from anywhere within the coverage area.
Finance Division
16
Technical Division
Projects Division
Marketing Division
The departments are independent from any divisions. The names of 5 departments are:
Administration Department
Information Department
There are also two projects running under observation of Deputy Managing Director. The
projects are independent of Projects division. These are, CHQ Project and Efficiency Project.
Among them the respective directors head ten divisions. Marketing division is leaded by a
deputy director. A General Manager leads Information Department. He has to report direct to
the Managing Director. Head of supply chain management has to report directly to the
director of Finance Division. This responsibility is added recently to the Director, Finance
Division.
9.1.
Customer Management Division is the link between the customers and the company. People
in this division serve the clients. A total of 210 people in this division are providing customer
service. They are escalating the relationship of Grameenphone with its valued customers.
This division can be subdivided into three major parts
Call center
Billing department
Trainee development department.
17
Figure-7
Call center:
Call center act in response to customers' query. 150 to 190 people working in shifting basis in
call center. They provide 24 hours service to the customers through telephones. They receive
queries and complaints related to GP service and network, solve them, provide different types
of information to the clients etc.
Billing Department:
Billing department is generally accountable for billing customers for the service and
collecting the revenue from them. This department works with the help of its eight units. The
units are distribution unit, general banking unit, bank reconciliation unit, bank
communication unit, collection unit, credit recovery unit, fraud management unit and revenue
assurance unit.
Trainee development department:
Trainee development department arranges all type of in-house and overseas training programs
for the employees. Experts from within the Grameenphone family conduct in-house training
programs. These programs include orientation for new employees, team-building workshops,
customized training for the senior managers on management style, motivation, and project
management and handling difficult situations. Many Grameenphone employees are sent to
18
foreign countries for overseas training, workshops and seminars. All the organization and
formalities concerning these programs are done through this department.
9.2.
Finance Division:
The Finance Division consists of 330 employees in its various departments. The Division
encompasses all financial activities - both internal and external. Department of finance is an
integral part of finance division. The main role of this department is defined in under:
Investment Control:
Financial Control:
19
Ensure tax deduction and issuing certificate individuals and ensure treasury
deposits for tax, VAT and deduction at source
VAT return and revenue statement preparation and preparation VAT report
periodically and annually
Internal audit co-ordination and external audit finalization and Quarterly report to
NBR (National Board of Revenue) regarding connection and handsets
Return and relevant document submission to join Stock Registrar and coordination and corresponding with external organization and internal department.
In-addition to the above activities, special tasks assigned by the departmental/ management in
lieu of emergency basis also performed by this department.
Reporting & Accounting & System Administration
Treasury Department
Revenue Accounting
20
9.3.
Sales and distribution division have direct interface with customers. The total number of
employees of this department is 1588. The division is subdivided into two parts
Sales department
Distribution department
Figure-8
Sales Department:
Distribution department:
21
The responsibilities of the part or the distribution department includes instant delivery of
products and services, maintaining relationship with dealers, serving the corporate clients
with extra care, follow up existing subscribers and building relationship with new and
existing subscribers. One of the most important tasks of sales department is sales-forecast.
9.4.
The Information Technology Division became a separated division in 2003. Till then it was
under the wing of People & Organization Division. The IT Division comprises the following
departments:
9.5.
Core Systems:
Development/integration of business critical systems
Maintenance of business critical systems
IT Operations:
Access control, accessibility and stability for end- and IT-users
Operations, planning of operations and monitoring
Security
Readiness
Information Security:
Design, develop and deploy a security infrastructure including intrusion
detection, protection, assessment and management
Publish, monitor and enforce information and computer security policies
Supervise and/or conduct periodic security assessments
Manage long-term projects to improve security posture and capabilities
Business Processes and Architecture:
Overall IT architecture
Management of business process framework
Business process modeling
Exception handling
Project and Change Management
22
this division. The informal structure of HR according to its functions can be classified into
three main categories they are:
Human Resources Development functions aim to increase the quality of the human resources
especially through training. Different divisions send their personnel requirement to HR
department. Then HRD sets target, prepare recruitment planning and go for the recruitment
process. When an employee is recruited a separate employee file is opened comprising of all
information of the particular employee which is regularly upgraded by HRD. This department
is also responsible for performance appraisal of employees that is very important for the
confirmation, increment, promotion, transfer of employees. This is done through job analysis,
setting up of performance standard and appraisal interview. HR Management also deals with
some personnel functions like show cause, termination, Dismissal, discharge, and resignation.
It also issues circular as & when required, conduct department inquiry, and all other functions
related to HR.
9.6.
This division looks after the regulatory and interconnection issues. It is responsible for
maintaining close relationship with BTRC, MOPT, PSTN operators and mobile operators for
matters related to interconnection with fixed and mobile operators, and interconnection &
Revenue Sharing Agreement. This division is also responsible for maintaining relationships
with Ministries, the National Parliamentary Telecom Committee, Government agencies like
the Board of Investment (BOI), the National Board of Revenue (NBR), and law-enforcing
agencies.
9.7.
Technical Division:
The Technical Division can be considered as the brain of this organization. Most of the
people in the technical division are from the engineering and technological educational
background. This division has 1077 at present which is the highest number of employees.
This division is divided into three departments-
23
Planning Department:
People working in planning department build the technology. They are accountable for
planning the network and equipment, taking decision about new expansion, enhancement and
up-gradation and closely monitoring network performance. They are also engaged with BSC
(Base Station Controller) and MSC (Mobile Switch center) related planning, timely supply of
equipment, making roaming agreements with other countries and negotiating with home
owners for building base stations on the roofs. This department has three parts: switch
planning, radio planning and transmission planning.
Implement Department:
The people of implementation department are responsible for the construction and acquisition
of base station room, antenna pipe, and power supply etc., installation of new base station
hardware, start-up and pilot operation of base station. It is also divided to three units: site
acquisition, civil works and roll-out.
Operations Department:
24
Operations department is responsible for smooth operations and maintenance of the network.
Their main tasks are operation, maintenance and overall management of the networks, fault
detection and fault handling of networks. This department always closely monitors the
network performance.
9.8.
The Fiber Optic Network (FON) Division is a complete Division under Deputy Managing
Director. It manages the nationwide Fiber Optic Network, and to create and sell the
Transmission Capacity commercially to prospective business units/clients. The division
shares use of Fiber Optic Network capacity with third parties such as other telecom operators,
ISP's DDN service provider etc. Grameenphone is capable of offering point to point full E1
connectivity within GP Transmission Network for their sub-lease clients.
9.9.
Marketing Division:
Marketing is responsible for all types of Product development and launch, Branding and
communication, International Roaming, Value Added Services and all types of Research
activities. The Division comprises the following departments:
The Product and Market development Department includes Products & Prices Section
(Business Solution, djuice and, Mass), New Product development and Innovation lab, and
Forecasting and Analysis Section.
Market Research and Planning Department includes Segmentation, Research & Planning
Section and Market Intelligence - acting as a central research point for Grameenphone.
The Market Communication Department deals with media management, event management
and regional marketing.
Value Added Services Department includes Service Development and Management Section,
Content Provider / Aggregator Management Section, CPA/CSF Platform Section and
Advanced Services section.
Office- The office unit looks after the furniture and general maintenance of the office
premises.
Security- The security unit is responsible for managing the security of office, TBS,
27
28
The GSM standard, operating in the 900MHz and the 1800MHz frequency bands, is the
predominant technology standard used for mobile telecommunications services in
Bangladesh.
Company
Grameenphone
Robi
Banglalink
Citycell
Teletalk
Warid
Technological Standard
GSM 900/1800
GSM 900/1800
GSM 900/1800
CDMA 800
GSM 900/1800
GSM 1800
Despite having seen substantive growth over recent years, mobile telecommunications
penetration levels in Bangladesh remain low in comparison with those in other Asian
countries. The mobile telecommunications industry in Bangladesh is currently led by three
major GSM operators: Grameenphone, Banglalink and Robi. Grameenphone has the largest
market share with a subscriber market share of 47.0% as of December 31, 2008. Banglalink,
a subsidiary of Orascom, has the second largest market share by number of subscribers. Robi,
70.0% owned by Axiata (formerly TM International), has the third largest market share by
number of subscribers. Warid, founded by the Abu Dhabi Group, entered the market in 2007
and has gained
Company
market share by
subscribers.
subsidiary
of
Singapore-based
Grameenphone
Robi
Banglalink
47.0%
18.4%
23.1%
Citycell
Teletalk
4.1%
2.2%
Warid
5.2%
of
Citycell,
SingTel,
the
telecommunications company, has the fifth largest market share by number of subscribers,
and is the sole mobile operator to use a CDMA system. Teletalk owned by the Government
has the lowest market share. The following table summarizes market shares of mobile
telecommunications operators in Bangladesh:
31
Source: BTRC
Increasing competition among the major private telecommunication companies in
Bangladesh is pushing them to undertake various strategic and tactical measures to attract
new customers while retaining the existing customers. In this emerging market both prepaid
and post-paid subscribers are not exhibiting strong loyalties or commitment to any particular
service provider as they have options of switching to other service provider(s) for more
convenient and suitable service offerings. Hence, the major private telecommunication
companies have a stake high enough to consider how to create a loyal customer base that will
not be eroded even in the face of fierce competition. Therefore, the major private
telecommunication companies must realize the emergence of studying and understanding
various antecedents (viz. service quality, switching cost, trust, and customer satisfaction) of
the subscribers' relationship commitment to figure out ways to create a loyal customer base.
32
strategic action (Porter 1998, p21-22). Porters five forces are as follows:-
33
Barriers of Entry
Bargaining Power of customer
Bargaining Power of Supplier
Available substitutes
Level of existing rivalries
10.2.1. Barriers of Entry:
Many foreign investors are now interested to do business in telecom sector in Bangladesh
which reveals that Bangladesh has become a significant hub for telecoms. All the current
players are either partially or fully foreign owned 55.80% of Grameenphone is owned by
Telenor from Norway; Telecom Malaysia owns around 70% of Robi and Banglalink is 100%
owned by Egyptian Orascom Telecom. Singapore Telecom (Singtel) has entered the market
by acquiring 45% share in Pacific Bangladesh Telecom. Warid Telecom of Abu Dhabi has got
the license and has already started their operation. And now the US giant Vodafone is
investing in the mobile telecom sector of Bangladesh by acquiring significant share of Robi.
A PSTN company named World Tel Ltd. whose license had been suspended, got back its
license with 7.5 MHz frequency in the GSM-1800 MHz band for operation in the central
zone. As the frequency is GSM, we expect World Tel may enter the mobile
telecommunication market. With its insignificance license fees, revenue sharing fees and
lower investment cost compared to the incumbent mobile operators, World Tel may challenge
our market share. This plethora of foreign investors shows that the threat of new entrants is
very high. However, the barrier to entry and exit are also high. High setup cost and high level
of sunk cost acts as a screening for small investors from crowding the sector.
10.2.2. Bargaining power of customer:
34
In the beginning, the mobile market was controlled by sellers. When Pacific Telecom first
introduced their brand Citycell, the startup connection used to sell for more than Tk.100,000.
The airtime was over Tk.16 per minute. However, with the increase in competition, buyers
gained more power. Currently, the market is mainly dominated by buyers. The prices have
come down a lot. The low level of product differentiation and very low cost of startup
connections have led the buyers to switch operators very frequently. In Bangladesh Telecom
industry, there are already 6 giant companies trying to find their niche. Companies are
undertaking various promotional and product strategies to reduce churn. It has been clearly
noticed that, as the market is growing, proportionally all the companies are getting new
subscribers depending their nationwide coverage. So it is assumed that, even if the bargaining
power of the customer seem to be high, due to the high growth rate of the market, each
company is somehow getting benefited. Their market share is increasing, keeping pace with
the growth rate of the market. The middlemen played a major role in the determining the
buyer power. Previously all the companies used external dealers to ensure the smooth flow of
their distribution. The commission paid to dealers was very high. However, the dealers paid a
very low level of commission to retailers, as a result controlling the market to a great extent.
Grameenphone is the first company to deal with this situation. They have started their own
distribution network. This has not only reduced cost in the form of dealer commission but
also increased satisfaction of retailers. Thus, in a market with strong buyer power, a selfowned distribution network can only help GP in maintaining its market leader position.
10.2.3. Bargaining power of supplier:
Bargaining power of the suppliers is low in the market as there are a lot of telecom related
suppliers available. Moreover, some giant Swedish and Finish multinational companies have
already established their business in the market. Since the numbers of mobile phone
companies are limited the suppliers cannot switch frequently or pressurize the buyers. On the
other hand suppliers like Ericsson, Nokia, Siemens and Motorola are pretty big player
themselves and have specialized sales units. Thus, there was always a good understanding
between the suppliers and buyers. This situation is now tipped a little bit in the favor of the
mobile phone companies by the entry of the Chinese company Huawei. They are offering to
supply at lower rates than the previous suppliers. As a result, companies now have the option
to go for cheaper suppliers.
10.2.4. Available substitutes:
35
The presence of 6 competitors in the market makes high availability of substitutes and
competitions. But with a lower price strategy or may be an innovative new service, this threat
could be altered says the BTRC Chairman. Bangladesh has a growing economy. Per capita
income is very low, but this could not hinder peoples mobile consumption. But since the
income level is low, so tendency of switching seems to be ignorable. And finding have
already given the idea about how the market is growing. Mobile industry is a technology
based industry and like any other technology has the danger of becoming obsolete by new
technology. Thus, the threat of potential substitutes is always there. Currently, the biggest
substitute of mobiles is land phone. The land phone market, until very recently, had been a
government monopoly. Private land phone licenses were issued in 2005 and the PSTN (land
phone) companies are yet to capture a significant portion of the market. Moreover, it was
found that people keep mobile phones even if they have land phone connection. Thus, the
threat from land phones is not that high. Another threat to the mobile phone industry is the
expansion of broadband technology. People, especially youngsters, are finding it cheaper to
chat online with their friends rather than talking. Broadband provides with quite a few
advantages over mobile phones: chance to communicate with more than one person, cheaper
rate are a few examples. However, lack of proper infrastructure is acting as a barrier to
expansion of broadband countrywide. Thus, it is yet to materialize as a real threat to the
mobile industry.
Companies focused on segment marketing as well as mass marketing. GP launched its youth
brand djuice to cater to the needs of young generation. Citycell came up with their Aalap
Super and Aalap Super Plus providing free airtime whole night. Robi, which was known as
Aktel that time also came up with new offers like Aktel JOY that catered to the need of
couples. Overall, the industry became a hubbub of activities.
The following table is showing the summary of Porters five force analysis at a glanceFive Force
Barriers of Entry
Bargaining Power of customer
Bargaining Power of Supplier
Available substitutes
Level of existing rivalries:
Strength
Low
High
Low
High
Moderate
group led by His Highness Sheikh Nahayan Mabarak Al Nahayan, a Member of the Royal
Family of Abu Dhabi, and the Honorable Minister of Higher Education and Scientific
Research of the United Arab Emirates. Warid officially launched their commercial services in
Bangladesh on the May 10, 2007 with a GSM Mobile Cellular network covering 64 districts
of the country and encompassing 70% of the mobile phone using population- the single
largest launch the country has ever seen. On July 19, 2007 Warid Telecom announced in
major dailies of having achieved one million subscribers in the first of 70 days of operation.
As of September, 2008 Warid has secured 3.86 million subscribers and is ranked fourth
among the six operators.
10.3.5. Pacific Bangladesh Telecom Limited:
Citycell (Pacific Bangladesh Telecom Limited) is the first mobile communications company
of Bangladesh. It is the only CDMA network operator in the country. As of 1 March, 2008,
Citycell's total mobile subscriber base is 1.56 million, up 137 per cent or 680,000 from two
years ago, giving it the best growth rate of the company till date. Citycell is currently owned
by Singtel with 45% stake and the rest 55% owned by Pacific Group and Far East
Telecom.By the end of 2007 Citycell had refurbished its old brand identity and introduced a
new logo and corporate identity; the new logo is very reminiscent of the old logo. However
the slogan has remained unchanged "Because we care". As of July, 2008 Citycell has 1.67
million subscribers.
10.3.6. Teletalk Bangladesh Limited:
Teletalk Bangladesh Ltd. (Teletalk) was incorporated in December 2004 and is a wholly
owned company of the Government. It was awarded a GSM license in 2004 and commenced
commercial operations in March 2005. December 2005 and commenced its commercial
operation in May 2007. According to the website of teletalk Bangladesh (2009), Teletalk
Bangladesh Limited is a public limited company owned by Bangladesh Telegraph and
Telephone Board (BTTB) in other words by the Government of the Peoples Republic of
Bangladesh. It was incorporated on 26 December, 2004 being the only government sponsored
mobile telephone Company in the country. Teletalk Bangladesh limited was established
keeping a specific role in mind. It has forged ahead and strengthened its path over the years
and achieved some feats truly to be proud of, as the only Bangladeshi mobile operator and the
only operator with 100% native technical and engineering human resource base, Teletalk
thrives to become the true peoples phone Amader Phone.
Strengths:
Good Human Resource and Infrastructure Installation all over the country
through Bangladesh Railway and Grameen Bank.
Financial Soundness.
Weakness:
Opportunities:
40
Threats:
Price war.
Sabotage of installation.
consistency and accessibility of service is not guaranteed as the same are dependent on
various technical, physical, topographical, distinctive, environment, regulatory, legal, and
such other factors. Grameenphone is not liable or responsible for any defect/insufficiency in
the same. In addition, Grameenphone is entitled to, without any liability, refuse, limit,
suspend, disable, delete, vary and/or interrupt service or any part thereof, for one or more
Subscribers, at any time, in its sole judgment, without notice and conveying any reason.
Grameenphone have the right to temporarily postpone the services in whole or in parts of its
network for repair, maintenance or circumstances beyond Grameenphone's control. In spite of
anything controlled herein, Grameenphone reserves the right to change, vary, add, substitute,
or withdraw the Web SMS service or any other services.
Grameenphone has the right to change /vary /increase / reduce the tariff charges, prices,
validity period, product/service feature and any other offers etc at any time in its sole
carefulness for any reason subject to official notification of such offers prior to giving effect
to such changes.
Grameenphone has the right to disconnect, suspend or bar the services for any breach of any
law of the land or giving fake information on the subscription form and/ or for changes in the
given information, which is not informed to Grameenphone. Grameenphone has the right to
examine or acquire any relevant document (s) possessed by the potential subscribers or
existing subscribers which may be required by Grameenphone.
The decision of Grameenphone is final in respect of this Subscription Agreement, if any
explanation of the Terms and Conditions is required.
Web SMS subscribers ensure that the contents of the SMS do not go against national defense
and/or national interest, social and religious principle of Bangladesh. And Web SMS
subscribers also guarantee that they must not use contents of SMS, which distinguish any
religion, sex or race or have negative effects on social life. Web SMS subscriber is solely
responsible for misusing the port, hacking by third party or internally, and will be responsible
for the SMS text also.
42
Grameenphone does not promise that, all messages will be delivered on time (as scheduled)
due to the service downtime/connectivity/other issues that might affect the performance of
this service and Grameenphone is not liable for any delay in broadcasting the message(s). The
result of any SMS sent for any request from a subscriber will be the responsibility of the
subscriber.
Grameenphone does not accept any responsibility for notifications that are sent or received
late, regardless of any cause whatsoever. Any authentic errors made by Grameenphone may
be corrected without customers prior permission. Grameenphone is not responsible for any
errors resulting from fraud perpetrated by any third party. Responsibilities of Grameenphone
are clearly stated in this agreement and Grameenphone takes no other responsibilities besides
these.
Subscriber/s cannot carry out any sort of advertisement & promotional activities of the said
service without former written approval from concerned Grameenphone authority. In spite of
anything contained in this contract, any information brochure, notification or any other matter
which will be published by Grameenphone regarding its Services, Service Price, Billing
policy and Credit policy will be included as the terms and conditions of this contract and both
Grameenphone and its subscriber is under obligation of the same.
Any of Grameenphones obligations under general terms & conditions will be interrupted or
delayed by force majeure or Act of Almighty, including but not limited to acts of war, riot,
civil commotion, act of State, strikes, fire, earthquake, flood or by incidence of any other
event beyond the logical control of Grameenphone, then Grameenphone shall be excused
from such performance only for such period of time as is reasonably necessary after such
occurrence has abated for the effects thereof to have dissipated. Grameenphone shall have the
right to suspend this service without any prior notice, if the customer is found in violation of
any above terms and conditions.
Grameenphone Web SMS provides access to its site to send SMS. Grameenphone will
attempt to deliver all of the SMS messages that the subscribers have addressed. Under no
circumstances can Grameenphone guarantee the delivery of messages. Grameenphone is not
responsible for any direct, indirect, incidental, special, consequential, punitive, or exemplary
damages caused by, but not limited to, delayed or failed delivery of short messages (SMS).
Sending a Text Message to someone who is not listed in Grameenphone supported network
43
list or out of their coverage area may result in message not being delivered to that person/s.
Sending messages with destination numbers in the incorrect format and not in the
International format will result in failure of message delivery. Messages not delivered after 24
hours will be deleted.
In the case a users phone is switched off or out of coverage area and not detected by the
network or SIM card or phone memory is full, the message will be stored for the maximum
validity and retried periodically according to International standards or norms until it is
delivered after which it will be deleted, if successful delivery is not possible. Customers use
of the Services is at his/her sole risk. The Services and information (as defined under
Grameenphone Web SMS Service) are provided on an "as is" and "as available" basis.
Grameenphone makes no representations, warranties, or guaranties as to the quality,
suitability, truth, accuracy or completeness of any of the Content transmitted via the Services.
Every message sent into the network is billable. There is no guarantee of actual delivery or
delivery within a specific period of time.
Any material obtained through the use of the Services is done at subscribers own discretion
and risk and s/he is solely responsible for any damage to his/her computer system or loss of
Data that results from the download of such material.
The price of each SMS is, subject to change by Grameenphone at any time. It can only be
sent to Grameenphone and djuice subscribers, subject to change by Grameenphone at any
time. Maximum of 500 SMS can be sent in a calendar day, subject to change by
Grameenphone at any time. The length of each SMS is a maximum of 160 characters, subject
to change by Grameenphone at any time. Not all special characters can be sent this is also
subject to change by Grameenphone at any time. Web SMS will not be shown in itemized
bill, subject to change by Grameenphone.
Grameenphone shall have the right to provide with any information including call
recording/details of the subscriber to the law enforcing agencies as and when required by the
law of the land
44
The SIM card and the corresponding mobile account in Grameenphones system are the sole
responsibility of the subscriber. Grameenphone is not liable for usage including
use/misuse/fraud/forgery and the like perpetrated by anyone including but not limited to the
subscriber or any third party.
The Subscriber cannot use the service(s) for any unlawful or abusive purpose, or for sending
obscene, indecent, threatening, harassing, unsolicited message or messages adversely
affecting/infringing upon national, social or economic interest, not create any damage or risk
to Grameenphone or its network and/or other Subscribers. Under such circumstances
Grameenphone shall have the right to discontinue the service.
For any Telecom offence, crime, trail, punishment, and relevant telecom matters the
Bangladesh Telecommunications Act-2001(Act No. 18 of 2001) and the Rules, Regulations
and guidelines framed there under shall be applicable and binding upon the subscribers/users.
To avail this service subscriber must have access to the necessary equipments to use the
Internet and have access to the Internet.
13.1. Products:
Grameenphone categorizes its products into four business segments. They are Consumer
(Prepaid and Post-paid products, i.e. Smile & Xplore packages respectively), Business
(Business Solutions), Youth (djuice), and emerging markets (GP public phone and the village
phone).
Smile:
45
Xplore:
Life becomes simpler with the Grameenphone xplore post-paid package. xplore provides
unlimited freedom to reach out to people. In addition the post-paid service provides 6-12%
discount on monthly bill through Thankyou bonuses. The connection come pre-activated with
EDGE, allowing easy internet access from the mobile handset.
djuice:
Business Solutions:
46
amount is calculated using a two-fold matrix where company airtime usage was considered
first and discount were given to the individual accounts of the respective company based on
those figures.
At the beginning of the last year, Business Solutions, for the first time in Bangladesh, also
introduced the BlackBerry service- one of the most innovative and prestigious corporate
communication tools in Bangladesh. BlackBerry Smartphone provide Grameenphone
customers with access to a wide range of mobile applications, including email, browsing,
messaging, phone, organizers, multimedia, and a wide range of other business and lifestyle
application.
The internationally acclaimed Village Phone Program started on the same day
of
13.2. Services:
The business at Grameenphone have been structured into three individual strategic business
units (SBUs)
Voice Services
Message Services
Data Services.
a. Voice Services:
47
The Voice service business provides high quality, reliable and professional voice
communication services allowing people to communicate locally and internationally across
55 countries, using economy ISD (012) connectivity. The service also provides special rates
within specific communities (Closed User Groups) and on specific Grameenphone numbers.
In addition to that, there is a special service titled Pay 4 Me, which allows subscribers at
the receiving end to accept and pay for a call.
b. Message Service:
Messaging Services offers people a much more efficient and cost-effective way of
communication. The service allows users to send Voice SMS anywhere within the country, or
a text SMS anywhere in the country as well as abroad. Another special service is the Multi
Media Service (MMS), which allows users to share pictures, animations, music, video clips,
and text messages with others. News Push is another valued service through which news
headlines can be pushed to subscribers through SMS.
c. Data Services:
Internet and Data service allows Grameenphone users to access the internet from their
handsets through Grameenphones EDGE-enabled network. The mobile data service allows
48
transfer/share of data over a mobile network, access remote servers, and access the Internet
from PC. An additional features-Mobile Fax- allows sending and receiving SMS through any
remote fax machine using any mobile phone.
Officer
Officer
49
From the above Organogram we can see that the Fund Management and collection
Department is headed by an Additional General Manager (AGM) then have a Deputy General
Manager (DGM) followed by a Deputy Manager (DM) with two of his subordinate Officers.
14.4. Post paid connection flow chart of Banking Unit and Fund Management
and Collection Department (FMCD):
The particular unit of Grameenphone has certain responsibilities. The finance division always
tries to co-ordinate among Banking Unit, BSU (Business Supporting Unit) and FMCD. The
working process of Grameenphone FMCD has been discussed in details below:
Description of the process flow of post paid collection:
Subscribers deposit money in different Bank branches in several payment categories based on
which bank branches send payment data to GP. Currently, there are 23 Banks and 613
branches countrywide which provide either off-line (send hardcopy statement one/ two days
later) or electronic (send end of day e-mail) or real-time (send at one-hour interval) payment
data or Auto Debit (send end of day e-mail).
According to Grameenphone (FMCD, 2010), the bill collection process can be summarized
as below:
50
Fund Management and Collection Department of Finance receive monthly statement from
each bank (mother account wise) and monthly collection reconciliation report (from
Customer Relation Software) of Banking Unit. These two reports are reconciled by FMCD.
Based on reconciled figures, for any mismatch, FMCD communicates to BU and then BU
follows up any subsequent status with bank. Whenever a subscriber deposits money against
his/her bill, it is deposited in the corresponding collection account of the bank. Bank then
transfers the money from collection account to the corresponding mother account at a regular
interval/periodically as per agreement. BU of Finance Division generates Monthly
Collection Reconciliation Report from MCRS by each bank based on the collection details
saved to a common folder where FMCD on Finance Division has access during 1st to 5th of
the following month. 2/3 days are extended for offline bank branches. Based on monthly
bank statement, Finance passes entry in the system to account for cash collection. For off-line
payment data, BU checks all the payment slips to find out any faulty slips and if found,
communicates to bank and takes necessary action. All payment information is automatically
uploaded from MCRS to BSCS through Payment Input Handler (PIH). This automated
process occurs in every 15 minutes interval. After PIH run, payment posting is given in
BSCS by transferring data to BSCS for updating subscribers account. It is an automated
process. If there is any failure in transferring data from MCRS to BSCS, the system
automatically generates e-mail and dumps the rejected files in a specified reject folder.
Concerned official of BU takes corrective actions. After corrections, the file is automatically
transferred from MCRS to BSCS through PIH. Cash collection is updated in general ledger,
information regarding barring & unbarring is gathered.
regularly. Banks also prepare daily statement showing the payment details of the subscribers
and send it to Business Support Unit (BSU). BSU enters payments posting in the banking
software MCRS. All payment information is automatically uploaded from MCRS to BSCS
through Payment Input Handler (PIH) and thus the subscribers account is updated. BSU
reconciles daily bank data with MCRS data and any mismatch found is solved on daily basis
or on need basis by BSU through communication with the bank branches. After this
reconciliation BSU provides monthly reconciliation report to the FMCD. FMCD receives
BSU
GP Subscriber
Finance
Bank Branch
monthly statement from each bank (mother account wise) and reconciles it with the monthly
reconciliation report provided by BSU. If there is any mismatch, FMCD provides feedback to
BSU. BSU then communicates with respective bank-branch to resolve the identified
mismatch and necessary rectification is done in this regard and accordingly a rectified
reconciliation report is submitted to FMCD. FMCD rechecks and provides clearance of
particular reconciliation report.
52
Banks
Scratch Cards
53
SMS Banking
Internet Banking
debit card, there are EASYPAY options where someone can just put the money in an
envelope and pay though machine. (Haque, M., personal communication, July, 2010)
SMS and Internet Banking:
SMS and Internet banking are the next phases of the billing system. These are the methods of
the near future. Through these methods a subscriber can pay his/her bills from literally
anywhere. Though these modes of collection are not that much in use now but hopes are high.
(Haque, M., personal communication, July, 2010).
Auto Debit:
Auto debit is another convenient method for paying bills. This method is available to both
account and credit card holders. This tool comes in handy specially while roaming. The
process of auto debit is as follows:
provide either offline (send hardcopy 1//2 days later) or electronic (send end of day e-mail) or
real-time (send at 1 hour interval) or auto debit (send end of day e-mail) or ATM (Automated
Tailored Machine) or OTC (Over the Counter) or IVR (Interactive Voice Response) or Credit
Card or Semi Online services.
Offline vs. Online/Real-time:
Banks that are offline transfer the collected money at least 4/5 days later than the actual day
of deposit, whereas online banks transfer the money on a day-to-day basis. In case of offline
banks, the received amount reaches the mother account many days later- resulting in loss of
revenue from interest. 50% of the banks have turned their system into online. However, until
all the banks switch to online or real-time mode and start transaction on a day-to-day basis,
GP will lose revenue from interest. Despite of this negative impact GP is trying to increase
the number of real time bank as many as possible for the sake of easier reconciliation process.
(Haque, M., personal communication, July, 2010)
56
Pros
Higher commission
Cons
Bank will look for credit
Commission in advance
Cost of fund
Paperless office
Regulatory issues
Cons
Return on Investment
Regulatory issues
57
According to Using ERS Platform for Post Paid Billing through Bank Channel (2009), Banks
play the key role here, as the Bank is the master SIM holder. Here bank works a distributor.
Banks also are the intermediaries between Grameenphone and customers. Banks will be
registered in the ERS system as a Distributor and Bank will buy reload from Grameenphone.
Grameenphone is going to sell Reload Points to Banks on Credit made the stock available to
the branches (i.e. retailers). Bank branches (the service desk) will be registered as an
individual Retailer. A customer comes in any of the Registered Bank and asks for Post paid
payment. Payment is being collected by the Bank Branch. After that customer being Flexi
Loaded as per requested amount & number and Both Customers & Retailer account gets
updated.
GP ERS Server
ERP
DWH
59
the subscribers' relationship commitment to figure out ways to create a loyal customer base.
(Haque, M., personal communication, July 2010)
Prepaid subscribers and post-paid subscribers tend to develop different type of relationships
with their service provider because of dissimilar contractual obligation. According to Turel
and Serenko (2004), prepaid subscribers have low commitment relationship, whereas postpaid subscribers have high commitment relationship with the service provider. Moreover,
average switching likelihood of prepaid subscribers is usually higher than that of post-paid
subscribers; which ultimately shapes the subscribers' relationship commitment (Turel &
Serenko, 2004). Although there is a huge number of post-paid users of Grameenphone, but
now a days, Grameenphone put more emphasis on prepaid connection for the increasing
demand of prepaid connection. (Haque, M., personal communication, July 2010) Therefore,
it is important to understand how various antecedents of relationship commitment vary
between these two groups of subscribers. (Haque, M., personal communication, July 2010)
Grameenphone post-paid connection is now providing different offers like
Zero Line rent is one of the key attractions of this new basket of offers. xplore postpaid subscribers will enjoy 100% waiver on monthly Line Rent if their airtime usage
exceeds only BDT 450 per month.
If not, there is still good news. From now on, the new monthly Line Rent has been
reduced to BDT 50 from BDT 100.
The Monthly Commitment Fee of BDT 1000 will no longer be applicable for the
Xplore package, as the Monthly Line Rent is fixed at BDT 100 (excluding VAT).
This fee too will be waived if the subscribers monthly airtime usage exceeds BDT
1000.
The World Wide Web now is at customers fingertips 24/7, with the Unlimited EDGE
package at BDT 850 per month offer.
Additionally, Xplore post-paid subscribers will enjoy 1 second pulse on all calls,
except for calls to F&F numbers. Pulse to make F&F calls will be 60 seconds (from
1st min onwards).
The number of F&F numbers has also been increased. Now Xplore post-paid
subscribers can call four F&F numbers at 25 paisa per minute.
61
These new features, along with the existing convenient payment methods, exclusive
Thank You benefits and more, are expected to add greater value for subscribers and
help them stay better connected with their loved ones.
Grameenphone has introduced another convenient bill payment method for its postpaid subscribers. From now on, Grameenphone's post-paid subscribers with xplore,
Business Solution Post-paid and Grameenphone Public Phone packages can pay their
monthly bills using Grameenphone's scratch cards available in the market at
convenient locations all around the country.
After buying the scratch card, subscribers can pay the bill by calling Grameenphone's
Call Center Hotline 12112 (for Bengali) and 12122 (for English) or by sending SMS
to a special number. Automated voice instructions to complete the bill payment
process are given when a Grameenphone subscriber calls the Hotline to pay his/her
post-paid package bills with GP scratch cards. For the SMS option, a subscriber has to
send an SMS to the number 5666 writing Pay hidden number. Only the active
subscribers will be able to use the SMS option.
Calling to 121 is free for Business Solutions subscribers. Xplore and Grameenphone
Public Phone subscribers will have to pay the normal charge. A Tk. 2. (excluding
VAT) charge will be applicable for paying bill through SMS.
Xplore post-paid subscribes has discovered a whole new range of attractive offers,
that begins with the unification of the two separate packages - Xplore package 1 and
Xplore package 2 from 26th March, 2010.
A 75% discount on the existing F&F rates is being offered so that subscribers can stay
in constant touch with their loved ones. The new F&F rate for Xplore post-paid
subscribers is 25 paisa/min to 3 F&F numbers, 24 hours a day. Moreover, Xplore
subscribers can now change their F&F numbers every 30 days, instead of the existing
60 days.
Regular tariff and SMS rates have been slashed down as well. Xplore subscribers can
now enjoy a flat tariff of BDT 1.30/min for calls to any operator 24 hours a day. SMS
62
to F&F numbers is charged at BDT 0.50/sms, while SMS to any other number,
including other GP numbers, is BDT 1/sms.
Xplore subscribers will receive a 30-second pulse for the 1st minute and 15-second
pulse for each subsequent minute after that.
All new xplore subscribers will now get EDGE P3 (12am-8am) and MCA (Missed
Call Alert) subscription free for the first 3 months, along with 100 SMS free of charge
over the same period.
To determine that is there any special feature that differentiates pre-paid service from
others and also to describe the future offers, expectations, and prospects of the
organization
Courses of action:
Focus will be on some courses of action. First, variables in the analysis will be shown and
then the data sheet on the variables on which statistical analysis will be done will be
presented. After that, descriptive statistics of the variables along with some graphical
63
representations of the variables will be displayed. With the data, estimations of population
means of each of the variables using confidence level technique will be conducted and an
analysis of the correlation among the independent variables and the dependent variable will
be conducted. Finally, F-test, Durbin Watson auto correlation test and individual t-test for
beta coefficients will be carried out and multiple linear regression model will be shown.
Dependent Variable:
Independent Variable:
64
To make the analysis part easier some short forms has been used during giving input. Those
shortcuts are:
ed= Eascalating demand
ai= intense advertising
cp= continuous promotion
apc= availability of prepaid connection
flx=flexibility
ed
ai
cp
apc
flx
Valid N
(listwise)
N
120
120
120
120
120
Minimum Maximum
2.43
4.29
2.67
5.00
2.00
4.67
2.33
4.67
3.00
4.67
Mean
3.5190
4.1278
3.4417
3.9806
3.8889
Std.
Deviation
.48997
.51889
.65024
.52978
.46409
Variance
.240
.269
.423
.281
.215
120
65
Mean, standard deviation of different factors of each of the variables are showed in the table
above. The mean shows us the central tendency and the standard deviation shows us the
dispersion. For example, continuous promotion for prepaid connection variable has high
degree of dispersion due to high standard deviation compared to variables such as flexibility
or availability of prepaid connection.
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderate Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
5
14
29
72
120
Percent
4.2
11.7
24.2
60.0
100.0
Valid
Percent
4.2
11.7
24.2
60.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
4.2
15.8
40.0
100.0
Interpretation:
In the table, it is shown that 60% of post-paid users of Grameenphone think that price of
Grameenphone post-paid connection is affordable. Whereas only 4.2% of Grameenphone
post-paid users think that price of Grameenphone post-paid package is not affordable.
Therefore, the statistics says that, the users of Grameenphone post-paid users do not think
about the price and they do not have complaint against price.
66
12%
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
24%
60%
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Frequency
30
45
28
17
120
Percent
25.0
37.5
23.3
14.2
100.0
Valid
Percent
25.0
37.5
23.3
14.2
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
25.0
62.5
85.8
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 37.5% people agree that Grameenphone post-paid package
is satisfactory in all way. 25% people are not happy with all kind of service of Grameenphone
post paid package. But the maximum percentage shows that Grameenphone post-paid
package is successful to satisfy its customers.
67
37.5
35
30
25
25
23.3
20
15
14.2
10
5
0
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Valid
Highly Disagree
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Total
Frequency Percent
2
1.7
44
36.7
59
49.2
15
12.5
120
100.0
Valid
Percent
1.7
36.7
49.2
12.5
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
1.7
38.3
87.5
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that, 49.2% people are happy with the network coverage of
Grameenphone. Only 1.7% people said that they are not happy with the network coverage
which is a very small percentage. It shows that Grameenphones network service is pleasing
and Grameenphone post-paid users are happy with the network service of Grameenphone.
68
36.7
12.5
M
od
er
at
el
y
Ag
re
e
eu
tr
al
N
D
is
ag
re
e
M
od
er
at
el
y
H
ig
hl
y
D
is
ag
re
e
1.7
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
7
45
54
14
120
Percent
5.8
37.5
45.0
11.7
100.0
Valid
Percent
5.8
37.5
45.0
11.7
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
5.8
43.3
88.3
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table it can be seen that 45.0% of post-paid users do not think about the call rate
while they talk over phone. Only 5.8% of post-paid users are not happy with call rate and
they really care about call rate while talking over phone. The table shows that, Call rate is not
so important for Grameenphone post paid users.
69
11.7
5.8
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
37.5
Highly Agree
45
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
12
12
74
22
120
Percent
10.0
10.0
61.7
18.3
100.0
Valid
Percent
10.0
10.0
61.7
18.3
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
10.0
20.0
81.7
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table it can be seen that, 61.7% people say that continuous advertisement of prepaid
package of Grameenphone may affect the escalating demand of post paid package. Only
10.0% people show different opinion regarding this issue.
70
30
20
10
10
10
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
18.3
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Total
Frequency
63
48
9
120
Percent
52.5
40.0
7.5
100.0
Valid
Percent
52.5
40.0
7.5
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
52.5
92.5
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 52.5% of Grameenphone post paid users says that they are
not agree with the term that different type of attractive offer of prepaid connection make
people think of changing their post paid connection. Only 7.5% people think that attractive
offer of prepaid connection sometimes make them think of switching their current post paid
connection. The table shows that post paid users of Grameenphone will not switch their
current connection package even though they might be offer with attractive offer of
Grameenphone prepaid package.
71
Moderately Agree
40
Neutral
52.5
Moderately Disagree
10
20
30
40
50
60
Dont bother about the attractive offer of other packages while bought post paid
package:
Table: 8
Don't bother about attractive package of Prepaid
Valid
Frequency
Moderately Disagree 18
Neutral
38
Moderately Agree
61
Highly Agree
3
Total
120
Percent
15.0
31.7
50.8
2.5
100.0
Valid Percent
15.0
31.7
50.8
2.5
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
15.0
46.7
97.5
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 50.8% of Grameenphone post paid users says that they are
not agree with the term that they thought of attractive of Grameenphone prepaid package
while they bought their post paid connection. Only 15.0% people think of offer of prepaid
connection. The table shows that, post paid users of Grameenphone attractive offer of prepaid
package hardly attract post paid users while they bought their post-paid connection.
72
15
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
50.8
31.7
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
7
45
54
14
120
Percent
5.8
37.5
45.0
11.7
100.0
Valid
Percent
5.8
37.5
45.0
11.7
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
5.8
43.3
88.3
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 45.0% people agree that availability of prepaid connection
may hamper the demand of post-paid connections. Only 5.8% thinks different. 37.5% people
were neutral. But majority of the participation of post paid users shows that, availability of
prepaid connection may hamper the demand of post paid connection.
73
5.8
11.7
Moderately Disagree
37.5
45
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
12
12
74
22
120
Percent
10.0
10.0
61.7
18.3
100.0
Valid
Percent
10.0
10.0
61.7
18.3
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
10.0
20.0
81.7
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that, 61.7% are agree with the term that Flexibility (Flexi load,
Balance transfer, Available Prepaid Card) of Grameenphone Prepaid package sometimes
make people think of changing their post-paid connection. Only 10.0% shows some different
opinion. So, Flexibility of prepaid connection may hamper the escalating demand for postpaid connection of Grameenphone.
74
70
60
50
40
30
18.3
20
10
10
10
0
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Valid
Frequency
Neutral
7
Moderately Agree 71
Highly Agree
42
Total
120
Percent
5.8
59.2
35.0
100.0
Cumulative
Valid Percent
Percent
5.8
5.8
59.2
65.0
35.0
100.0
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table it can be seen that, 35.0% people highly agree that advertisement of
Grameenphone prepaid connection is more noticeable than post-paid connection. 59.2%
people moderately with the term. None agrees that advertisement of post-paid connection is
noticeable. It shows that Grameenphone is more emphasizing on advertisement of prepaid
connection than post-paid connection.
75
40
30
20
5.8
10
0
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Valid
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
16
63
41
120
Percent
13.3
52.5
34.2
100.0
Cumulative
Valid Percent
Percent
13.3
13.3
52.5
65.8
34.2
100.0
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 34.2% of Grameenphone post-paid users highly agrees that
Grameenphone is putting more emphasis on advertisement of Grameenphone prepaid
connection than post-paid connection. 52.5% moderately agrees with the term. It shows that
Grameenphone is more emphasizing on advertisement of prepaid connection than post-paid.
76
34.2
Neutral
Moderately Agree
52.5
Highly Agree
13.3
Valid
Highly Disagree
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
1
4
5
76
34
120
Percent
.8
3.3
4.2
63.3
28.3
100.0
Valid
Percent
.8
3.3
4.2
63.3
28.3
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
.8
4.2
8.3
71.7
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 28.3% of Grameenphone post-paid users highly agrees that
Billboard of post-paid package of Grameenphone is hardly found. 63.3% moderately agrees
with the term. It shows that Grameenphone is more emphasizing on advertisement of prepaid
connection than post-paid connection through billboard.
77
28.3
Highly Agree
63.3
Moderately Agree
Neutral
4.2
Moderately Disagree
3.3
0.8
Highly Disagree
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Valid
Frequency Percent Percent
13
10.8
10.8
3
2.5
2.5
52
43.3
43.3
52
43.3
43.3
120
100.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
10.8
13.3
56.7
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 43.3% of Grameenphone post-paid users highly agrees that
TVC of post-paid package of Grameenphone is hardly seen. 43.3% moderately agrees with
the term. It shows that Grameenphone is more emphasizing on advertisement of prepaid
connection than post-paid connection through TVC.
78
43.3
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
2.5
10.8
43.3
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
21
42
50
7
120
Percent
17.5
35.0
41.7
5.8
100.0
Valid
Percent
17.5
35.0
41.7
5.8
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
17.5
52.5
94.2
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table it can be seen that, only 5.8% people highly agree that they notice and try to
remember. 17.5% people disagree and 41.7% people moderately agree that they notice
Grameenphone advertisement.
79
Notice GP ads
45
40
35
30
25
41.7
20
35
15
10
17.5
5.8
0
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
8
22
59
31
120
Percent
6.7
18.3
49.2
25.8
100.0
Valid
Percent
6.7
18.3
49.2
25.8
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
6.7
25.0
74.2
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 49.2% people says that, any kind of Advertisement do not
influence them to change my post paid connection. Only 6.7% people show different opinion.
25.8% of Grameenphone post-paid users highly agree that any kind of advertisement do not
influence them to change my post-paid connection.
80
25.8
Moderately Agree
49.2
Neutral
18.3
Moderately Disagree
6.7
10
20
30
40
50
60
Valid
Highly Disagree
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Valid
Frequency Percent
Percent
7
5.8
5.8
37
30.8
30.8
8
6.7
6.7
47
39.2
39.2
21
17.5
17.5
120
100.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
5.8
36.7
43.3
82.5
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 39.2% of Grameenphone post paid users knows about the
current offer of Grameenphone post-paid offer. Only 6.5% people highly disagree. Again,
30.8% people do not know about the current promotion of Grameenphone.
81
35
30
25
17.5
20
15
6.7
5.8
10
5
Hi
gh
ly
Ag
re
e
Ag
re
e
M
od
er
ate
ly
eu
tra
l
N
Hi
gh
ly
Di
sa
gr
ee
M
od
er
ate
ly
Di
sa
gr
ee
I may not change post-paid if prepaid comes with more attractive package:
Table: 18
Valid
Highly Disagree
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
11
24
27
34
24
120
Percent
9.2
20.0
22.5
28.3
20.0
100.0
Valid
Percent
9.2
20.0
22.5
28.3
20.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
9.2
29.2
51.7
80.0
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that, 20% people says that they will not change their current
post-paid package even though Grameenphone comes with attractive package of prepaid
connection. Again, 20% people said different words. 28.3% people moderately agree with the
term. It shows that, continuous promotion of Grameenphone prepaid influence post-paid
users to change their current connection.
82
30
25
22.5
20
20
20
15
9.2
10
5
Ag
re
e
H
ig
hl
y
Ag
re
e
M
od
er
at
el
y
eu
tr
al
N
D
is
ag
re
e
M
od
er
at
el
y
H
ig
hl
y
D
is
ag
re
e
Table: 19
Care about connectivity not price
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
19
35
45
21
120
Percent
15.8
29.2
37.5
17.5
100.0
Valid
Percent
15.8
29.2
37.5
17.5
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
15.8
45.0
82.5
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that, 37.5% people says that they dont care about the price or
call rate of Grameenphone post-paid package as long Grameenphone provides better
connectivity. Only 15.8% Grameenphone post-paid users moderately disagree with the term.
83
17.5
Moderately Disagree
15.8
Neutral
Moderately Agree
37.5
29.2
Highly Agree
Valid
Highly Disagree
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
6
53
15
41
5
120
Percent
5.0
44.2
12.5
34.2
4.2
100.0
Valid
Percent
5.0
44.2
12.5
34.2
4.2
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
5.0
49.2
61.7
95.8
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 44.2% people disagree that availability of prepaid
connection make them think of switching their current post-paid connection to prepaid
connection. Only 5.0% people highly agree that availability of prepaid connection make them
think of switch from post-paid connection.
84
Highly Agree
34.2
Moderately Agree
12.5
Neutral
44.2
Moderately Disagree
5
Highly Disagree
0
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Table: 21
Prepaid is available in everywhere but post-paid is not
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
16
18
60
26
120
Percent
13.3
15.0
50.0
21.7
100.0
Valid
Percent
13.3
15.0
50.0
21.7
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
13.3
28.3
78.3
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 50.0% of post-paid users of Grameenphone agree that,
Grameenphone Prepaid package can be found anywhere, but post-paid package cannot be. It
shows that Grameenphone is putting more emphasis on Grameenphone prepaid package than
post-paid package.
85
21.7
25
20
15
13.3
15
10
5
0
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Table: 22
Low price make prepaid more available
Valid
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
11
82
27
120
Valid
Percent Percent
9.2
9.2
68.3
68.3
22.5
22.5
100.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
9.2
77.5
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 68.3% of Grameenphone post-paid users agrees that Low
Price of Prepaid connection make it more available than post-paid connection. 22.5% of
Grameenphone post-paid users highly agree with the term.
86
9.2
22.5
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
68.3
Table: 23
If post-paid is available everywhere user will not switch to prepaid
Valid
Highly Disagree
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
3
8
30
56
23
120
Valid
Percent Percent
2.5
2.5
6.7
6.7
25.0
25.0
46.7
46.7
19.2
19.2
100.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
2.5
9.2
34.2
80.8
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table it can be seen that, 46.7% of Grameenphone post-paid package agrees that if
post-paid is available everywhere user will not switch to prepaid connection. Only 2.5%
people disagree with the term. It shows that if Grameenphone make post paid connection
87
more available, people who think of changing their connection or thinking of buying new
connection, will go for post-paid connection.
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
25
19.2
Hi
gh
ly
Ag
re
e
Ag
re
e
er
ate
ly
M
od
eu
tra
l
6.7
Hi
gh
ly
Di
sa
gr
ee
M
od
er
ate
ly
Di
sa
gr
ee
2.5
16.4.5. Flexibility:
Table: 24
Never face bill related problem
Valid
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
Total
Frequency
7
12
71
30
120
Percent
5.8
10.0
59.2
25.0
100.0
Valid
Percent
5.8
10.0
59.2
25.0
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
5.8
15.8
75.0
100.0
Interpretation:
88
From the table it can be seen that, 59.2% people agree that they never face any problem
related to bill. Only 5.8% people show different opinion. 25.0% of Grameenphone post-paid
users are happy with the connection and they said they never face any bill related problem.
5.8
10
25
Moderately Disagree
Neutral
Moderately Agree
Highly Agree
59.2
Table: 25
People want to limit usage use prepaid
Valid
Frequency
Neutral
26
Moderately Agree 68
Highly Agree
26
Total
120
Percent
21.7
56.7
21.7
100.0
Cumulative
Valid Percent
Percent
21.7
21.7
56.7
78.3
21.7
100.0
100.0
Interpretation:
From the table, it can be seen that 56.7% people agree with the term that people who want to
limit their usage usually use prepaid connection. Nobody disagrees with this term. Therefore,
it shows that post-paid users do not think of usage.
89
df
10
109
119
Mean Square
F
1.277
8.813
.145
Sig.
.000
The above ANOVA table reveals that the F value (8.813) is identically greater than the
significant value (.000). It indicates that our hypothesis is correct. We reject the null
hypothesis. So, intense advertising for prepaid connections affect the demand for the postpaid connection.
Decision: There is a strong and significant relationship escalating demand for post-paid
connection and intense advertising for prepaid connections.
90
The relationship between these two variables is also shown by curve estimation in the
following
i4
a
.5
2
0
.0
3
0
.5
3
0
.04
.5
0
.0
5
2
0
.5
3
.0
3
0
.5
4
.0
4
0
.5
r
a
e
in
O
s
b
e
v
d
e
dL
Therefore, from the above graph, it can be said that there is a relationship between these two
variables. Intense advertising for prepaid connections affects the demand for the post-paid
connection.
Hypothesis 2:
Null hypothesis, Ho= Continuous Promotion for prepaid connections do not affect the
demand for the post-paid connection.
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Continuous Promotion for prepaid connections affect the
demand for the post-paid connection
Table-2
ANOVA
ed
Sum of
Between Groups
Within Groups
Squares
19.506
9.063
df
20
99
Mean Square
F
.975
10.653
.092
Sig.
.000
91
Total
28.569
119
The above ANOVA table reveals that the F value (10.653) is identically greater than the
significant value (.000). It indicates that our hypothesis is correct. We reject the null
hypothesis. So, Continuous Promotion for prepaid connections affects the demand for the
post-paid connection
Decision: There is a strong and significant relationship between escalating demand for postpaid connection and continuous promotion for prepaid connections.
The relationship between these two variables is also shown by curve estimation in the
following:
c
p
.02
2
.5
0
.0
3
0
.5
3
.04
4
.5
0
.0
5
2
0
.5
.0
3
0
.5
3
.0
4
in
rs
a
e
0 e
.5
4
b
O
v
d
dL
From the above graph, it can be said that there is a positive relationship between these two
variables. Continuous Promotion for prepaid connections affects the demand for the post-paid
connection
Hypothesis 3:
Null hypothesis, Ho= Availability of prepaid connection does not influence the demand for
the post-paid connection
92
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Availability of prepaid connection influences the demand for the
post-paid connection
Table-3
ANOVA
ed
Sum of
Between Groups
Within Groups
Total
Squares
5.701
22.868
28.569
df
9
110
119
Mean Square
F
.633
3.047
.208
Sig.
.003
The above ANOVA table reveals that the F value (3.047) is identically greater than the
significant value (.003). It indicates that our hypothesis is correct. We reject the null
hypothesis. Therefore, Availability of prepaid connection influences the demand for the postpaid connection
Decision: There is a strong and significant relationship between escalating demand for postpaid connections and availability of prepaid connections.
The relationship between these two variables is also shown by curve estimation in the
following:
c
p
.0
2
0
0
.5
2
.0a
3
04
.5
3
.0
05
.5
4
.0
.5
2
0
.0
3
0
.5
3
0
.0
4
0
a
e
in
rv
4
.5
0
s
b
O
e
d
e
dL
93
Therefore, from the above graph, it can be said that there is a positive relationship between
these two variables, escalating demand for post-paid connection and availability of prepaid
connection. So, availability of prepaid connections affects the demand for the post-paid
connection.
Hypothesis 4:
Null hypothesis, Ho= Flexibility of prepaid connection does not influence the demand for the
post-paid connection
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Flexibility of prepaid connection influences the demand for the
post-paid connection
Table-4
ANOVA
ed
Sum of
Between Groups
Within Groups
Total
Squares
11.377
17.192
28.569
df
9
110
119
Mean Square
F
1.264
8.088
.156
Sig.
.000
The above ANOVA table reveals that the F value (8.088) is identically greater than the
significant value (.000). It indicates that our hypothesis is correct. We reject the null
c
p
.0
2
0
0
.5
2
.0a
3
04
.5
3
.0
05
.5
4
.0
.5
2
0
.0
3
0
.5
3
0
.0
4
0
a
e
in
rv
4
.5
0
s
b
O
e
d
e
dL
hypothesis. Therefore, Flexibility of prepaid connection influences the demand for the postpaid.
Decision: There is a strong and significant relationship between escalating demand for postpaid connections and flexibility of prepaid connections.
The relationship between these two variables is also shown by curve estimation in the
following:
94
From the above graph, it can be said that there is a negative/declining relationship between
these two variables.
ai
cp
apc
flx
95
ed
ai
cp
apc
flx
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
1
.
-.003
.971
.707(**)
.000
.099
.280
-.179
.051
120
120
120
120
120
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
-.003
.971
1
.
-.153
.094
.213(*)
.020
-.100
.279
120
120
120
120
120
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
.707(**)
.000
-.153
.094
1
.
.052
.571
-.292(**)
.001
120
120
120
120
120
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
.099
.280
.213(*)
.020
.052
.571
1
.
.071
.442
120
120
120
120
120
-.179
-.100
.071
.442
120
.
120
Pearson Correlation
-.292(**
)
Sig. (2-tailed)
.051
.279
.001
N
120
120
120
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
* Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
Correlation values are ranged between -1 to +1. Negative one indicates perfectly negative
correlation, which means the variables move in opposite direction and positive one indicates
perfectly positive correlation, which means the factors move in same direction. A correlation
of zero indicates no linear relationship between the two variables but there might or might not
be non-linear relationship.
It shows the correlation between the only dependent variable, credit card sales and the other
seven variables. This is important as the correlation will play a factor in the linear regression
model.
Interpretation of Correlation:
The correlation between the independent variables and the dependent variables shows that
continuous promotion for prepaid connection have positive correlation with escalating
demand for post-paid connection and other variables have negative correlation with
escalating demand for post paid connection. Only continuous promotion for prepaid
connection have very high correlation with escalating demand for post-paid connection,
which proves one point that these variable play a very important role in the demand for post96
paid connection. All the other variables have low to weak correlation, which means they
slightly or moderately influence escalating demand for post-paid connection in either positive
or negative way.
In short, the correlation just shows the strength and direction but does not actually quantify
by how much those variables will influence the dependent variable. For that, we have to go
now to multiple linear regression models.
But for now, correlation shows that continuous promotion for prepaid connection have
statistically strong influence on escalating demand for post-paid connection.
Table-1
Correlations
ed
ai
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
ed
1
.
120
-.003
.971
120
ai
-.003
.971
120
1
.
120
Decisions:
Since the p-value of the correlation test is .971 which is greater than =.05, the population
correlation is statistically insignificant and hence we do not reject the null hypothesis and
discard the alternative hypothesis that the population correlation is not zero.
97
Null hypothesis, Ho= Population correlation between Continuous Promotion for prepaid
connections and the demand for the post-paid connection is zero.
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Population correlation between Continuous Promotion for
prepaid connections and the demand for the post-paid connection is not zero.
Table-2
Correlations
ed
ed
Pearson Correlation
1
Sig. (2-tailed)
.
N
120
cp
Pearson Correlation
.707(**)
Sig. (2-tailed)
.000
N
120
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
cp
.707(**)
.000
120
1
.
120
Decisions:
Since the p-value of the correlation test is .000 which is less than =.05, the population
correlation is statistically significant and hence we reject the null hypothesis and accept the
alternative hypothesis that the population correlation is not zero.
98
Null hypothesis, Ho= Population correlation between Availability of prepaid connection and
the demand for the post-paid connection is zero.
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Population correlation between Availability of prepaid
connection and the demand for the post-paid connection is not zero.
Table-3
Correlations
ed
apc
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
ed
1
.
120
.099
.280
120
apc
.099
.280
120
1
.
120
Decisions:
Since the p-value of the correlation test is .280 which is greater than =.05, the population
correlation is statistically insignificant and hence we do not reject the null hypothesis and
discard the alternative hypothesis that the population correlation is not zero.
Null hypothesis, Ho= Population correlation between flexibility of prepaid connection and
the demand for the post-paid connection is zero.
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Population correlation between flexibility of prepaid connection
and the demand for the post-paid connection is not zero.
Table-4
Correlations
ed
flx
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
ed
1
.
120
-.179
.051
120
flx
-.179
.051
120
1
.
120
Decisions:
99
Since the p-value of the correlation test is .051 which is greater than =.05, the population
correlation is statistically insignificant and hence we do not reject the null hypothesis and
discard the alternative hypothesis that the population correlation is not zero.
100
Alternative Hypothesis H1: Population Mean of escalating demand for post-paid connection
is not 3.
From the data sheet, data of escalating demand for post-paid connection has been inserted.
With the 95% confidence interval level and use of t distribution, statistical output from SPSS
is shown below:
Table-1
One-Sample Test
Test Value = 3
t
11.604
ed
Sig. (2-tailed)
df
119
.000
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Difference
Lower
Upper
.4305
.6076
Since the p-value of the t-test is .000 which is less than = .05, the null hypothesis is rejected
and the alternative hypothesis is accepted that shows population mean is not equal to 3.
There is enough evidence to indicate that the population mean of escalating demand for post
paid connection is not equal to 3.
.6076
Using 95% confidence interval level and using t distribution, statistical output from SPSS by
using the values from the data sheet are shown below:
Table-2
One-Sample Test
Test Value = 4
ai
t
2.698
Sig. (2-tailed)
df
119
.008
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Difference
Lower
Upper
.0340
.2216
Decision: Since the p-value of the t-test is .008 which is less than = .05, null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted that means population mean is not equal to
4.
95% Confidence Interval of the Difference
Lower
Upper
.0340
.2216
102
Table-3
One-Sample Test
Test Value = 3
t
7.441
cp
Sig. (2-tailed)
df
119
.000
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Difference
Lower
Upper
.3241
.5592
Decision: Since the p-value of the t-test is .000 which is less than = .05, null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted that means population mean is not equal to
3.
.5592
df
Sig. (2-tailed)
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Difference
Lower
Upper
103
apc
20.275
119
.000
.8848
1.0763
Decision: Since the p-value of the t-test is .000 which is less than = .05, null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted that means population mean is not equal to
3.
1.0763
df
Test Value = 3
Sig. (2-tailed)
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Difference
104
flx
20.982
119
.000
Lower
.8050
Upper
.9728
Decision: Since the p-value of the t-test is .000 which is less than = .05, null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted that means population mean is not equal to
3.
.9728
The following section brings in an elaborate chi-square analysis. Both null (Ho) and
alternative (H1) hypothesis has been constructed, null hypothesis holding the statement that
there is no association between the considered variables and alternative hypothesis holding
the statement that there is association between the considered dependent and independent
variable. Following are the dependent and independent variables that we have taken to make
cross tabulations with a combination of one dependent and one independent variable at a
time. In only one case we have considered dependent as an independent variable.
Dependent Variables:
Escalating demand for post-paid connection
Independent Variable:
105
Flexibility
For conducting the cross-tabulation analysis, a confidence interval is assumed to be 95% and
therefore the significance level is 5%.
Escalating demand for post-paid connection and Intense advertising for prepaid
connection:
Hypothesis Testing
Null Hypothesis H0: The variables are independent.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: The variables are dependent
Table-1
Chi-Square Tests
Asymp.
Pearson Chi-Square
Likelihood Ratio
Linear-by-Linear Association
N of Valid Cases
Value
623.763(a)
334.290
.001
df
210
210
1
Sig. (2-sided)
.000
.000
.971
120
a 240 cells (99.2%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .01.
Here, the value of Chi-Square (2) = 623.763, and P-value is 0.000 < 0.05. So, its
significant, and the cross-tabulation has a good result. Therefore, the null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative is accepted. In other words, the variables, Escalating demand for
post-paid connection and Intense advertising for prepaid connection are dependent.
106
Escalating demand for post-paid connection and Continuous promotion for prepaid
connection:
Hypothesis Testing
Null Hypothesis H0: The variables are independent.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: The variables are dependent
Table-2
Chi-Square Tests
Asymp.
Pearson Chi-Square
Likelihood Ratio
Linear-by-Linear Association
N of Valid Cases
Value
1205.362(a)
438.290
59.462
120
df
420
420
1
Sig. (2-sided)
.000
.259
.000
a 461 cells (99.8%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .01.
Here, the value of Chi-Square (2) = 1205.362, and P-value is 0.000 < 0.05. So, it is
significant, and the cross-tabulation has a good result. Therefore, the null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted. In other words, the variables, Escalating
demand for post-paid connection and Continuous promotion for prepaid connection are
dependent.
Hypothesis Testing
Null Hypothesis H0: The variables are independent.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: The variables are dependent
Table-3
107
Chi-Square Tests
Value
Pearson Chi-Square
Likelihood Ratio
Linear-by-Linear Association
N of Valid Cases
df
537.657(a)
305.940
1.174
120
Asymp.
189
189
1
Sig. (2-sided)
.000
.000
.279
a 218 cells (99.1%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .01.
Here, the value of Chi-Square (2) = 537.657, and P-value is 0.000 < 0.05. So, it is
significant, and the cross-tabulation has a good result. Therefore, the null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted. So the variables, escalating demand for
post-paid connection and availability for prepaid connections are dependent.
Hypothesis Testing
Null Hypothesis H0: The variables are independent.
Alternative Hypothesis H1: The variables are dependent
Table-4
Chi-Square Tests
Asymp.
Pearson Chi-Square
Likelihood Ratio
Linear-by-Linear Association
N of Valid Cases
Value
402.752(a)
260.330
3.809
120
df
189
189
1
Sig. (2-sided)
.000
.000
.051
a 218 cells (99.1%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .01.
108
Here, the value of Chi-Square (2) = 402.752, and P-value is 0.000 < 0.05. So, its
significant, and the cross-tabulation has a good result. Therefore, the null hypothesis is
rejected and the alternative hypothesis is accepted. So, the variables, Escalating demand for
post-paid connection and flexibility of prepaid connection are dependent.
Model Summary(b)
Adjusted R Std. Error of
Model R
R Square
Square
1
.717(a)
.514
.497
a Predictors: (Constant), flx, apc, ai, cp
the Estimate
.34738
Durbin-Watson
1.587
b Dependent Variable: ed
Interpretation of R Square:
The model summary shows some important indicators of the explaining power of the model.
The R-square value shows how much change in the dependent variable is caused by the
independent variables. In this case R square value of .514 or 51.4% means 51.4% of the
change in dependent variable is caused by independent variables.
Interpretation of Adjusted R Square:
On the other hand, the adjusted r-square value shows how much change in the dependent
variable is caused by statistically significant variables. So in this case, an adjusted r-square
value of .497 means that 49.7% of the change in dependent variable is caused by statistically
109
significant variables. The standard error of the estimate measures the accuracy of the
predictions within the regression line, which is around .34738.
Durbin-Watson Test:
The Durbin-Watson statistic is a test statistic used to detect the presence of autocorrelation in
the residuals from a regression analysis. In statistics, the autocorrelation function (ACF) of a
random process describes the correlation between the processes at different points in time.
The Durbin Watson value ranges from 0 to 4. A value of 2 indicates there appears to be no
autocorrelation. If the Durbin-Watson statistic is substantially less than 2, there is evidence of
positive serial correlation. As a rough rule of thumb, if Durbin-Watson is less than 1.0, there
may be cause for alarm. Small values of d indicate successive error terms are, on average,
close in value to one another, or positively correlated. Large values of d indicate successive
error terms are, on average, much different in value to one another, or negatively correlated.
The test statistic of Durbin-Watson model is
Sum of
Squares
df
Regressi
14.692
4
on
Residual 13.877
115
Total
28.569
119
a Predictors: (Constant), flx, apc, ai, cp
b Dependent Variable: ed
Mean Square F
Sig.
3.673
.000(a)
30.437
.121
The ANOVA table shows the total variation, the explained variation and the unexplained
variation (residual) due to the error. The explained variation is denoted as SSR and the
unexplained variation due to residuals is denoted by SSE. The total variation (SST) is 28.569
and variation explained by regression (SSR) is 14.692 and variation explained by regression
110
error SSE is 13.877. If we divide the SSR with SST, we get the value of r-square, which we
have already found out to be 51.4%.
Model
1
(Consta
nt)
ai
cp
apc
flx
a Dependent Variable: ed
Un-standardized
Coefficients
Std.
B
Error
.892
.517
.100
.553
.033
.046
.065
.053
.062
.073
Standardized
Coefficients
Beta
.106
.734
.035
.044
Sig.
1.724
.087
1.548
10.519
.524
.632
.124
.000
.601
.529
111
112
(Consta
nt)
ai
cp
apc
flx
a Dependent Variable: ed
Standardized
Coefficients
Sig.
.892
.517
1.724
.087
.100
.553
.033
.046
.065
.053
.062
.073
1.548
10.519
.524
.632
.124
.000
.601
.529
.106
.734
.035
.044
113
Hypothesis 1:
Null Hypothesis, Ho= Beta coefficient of Intense advertising for prepaid connections has
zero value.
Alternative hypotheses, H1 = Beta coefficient of Intense advertising for prepaid connections
has non-zero value.
Decision for significance of Coefficients: The null hypotheses (Ho) is accepted and
alternative hypothesis is rejected, since p-value (.124) > (here, =.10 is the significance
level). So the beta coefficient is statistically insignificant.
Hypothesis 2:
Null hypothesis, Ho= Beta coefficient of Continuous Promotion for prepaid connections has
zero value.
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Beta coefficient of Continuous Promotion for prepaid
connections has non-zero value.
Decision for significance of Coefficients: The null hypotheses (Ho) is rejected and
alternative hypothesis is accepted, since p-value (.000) < (here, =.10 is the significance
level). So the beta coefficient is statistically significant.
Hypothesis 3:
Null hypothesis, Ho= Beta coefficient of Availability of prepaid connection has zero value.
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Beta coefficient of Availability of prepaid connection has nonzero value.
Decision for significance of Coefficients: The null hypotheses (Ho) is accepted and
alternative hypothesis is rejected, since p-value (.601) > (here, =.10 is the significance
level). Therefore, the beta coefficient is statistically insignificant.
Hypothesis 4:
114
Null hypothesis, Ho= Beta coefficient of Flexibility of prepaid connection has zero value
Alternative hypothesis, H1 = Beta coefficient of Flexibility of prepaid connection has nonzero value
Decision for significance of Coefficients: The null hypotheses (Ho) is accepted and
alternative hypothesis is rejected, since p-value (.529) > (here, =.10 is the significance
level). So the beta coefficient is statistically insignificant.
Predicted Value
Residual
Std.
Predicted
-2.303
Value
Std. Residual
-2.278
a Dependent Variable: ed
Maximu
m
4.1543
.57576
Mean
3.5190
.00000
Std.
Deviation
.35137
.34149
N
120
120
1.808
.000
1.000
120
1.657
.000
.983
120
Interpretation of Residual Statistics: The above table shows the maximum, minimum,
mean and standard deviation of residual for both standardized and un-standardized equation.
As expected the mean of the residuals have turned out to be zero.
Normal Probability Plot:
115
The following is the normal probability plot of the revised regression model. From the
diagram, we can clearly see that the model fits nicely along the straight line. This means that
ExpectdCum
Prob
the data set is normally distributed and that the model fulfills the normality assumption.
O
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Adjusted
Model
R
1
.707(a)
a Predictors: (Constant), cp
R Square
.500
Square
.495
Estimate
.34804
ANOVA(b)
Sum of
Model
1
Regression
Residual
Total
a Predictors: (Constant), cp
Squares
14.275
14.294
28.569
Mean
df
1
118
119
Square
14.275
.121
F
117.849
Sig.
.000(a)
b Dependent Variable: ed
The ANOVA table shows the total variation, the explained variation and the unexplained
variation (residual) due to the error. The explained variation is denoted as SSR and the
unexplained variation due to residuals is denoted by SSE. The total variation (SST) is 28.569
117
and variation explained by regression (SSR) is 14.275 and variation explained by regression
error SSE is 14.294. If we divide the SSR with SST, we get the value of r-square which we
have already found out to be 50.0%.
Revised Validity of the Model by using F-Test:
The F-test, or an analysis of variance, is used to test the magnitudes of explained variation
(SSR) and unexplained variation (SSE) with their appropriate degrees of freedom.
Null Hypothesis H0 : Beta coefficients of all independent variables has zero value
Alternative Hypothesis H1: At least 1 Beta coefficient of independent variable has non-zero
value
Decision: The F-test value of 117.849 shows that the p-value of the test is 0%. Since p-value
is less than = 10%, we will reject the null hypothesis that all of the beta coefficients have
zero value and accept the alternate hypothesis that at least 1 beta coefficient has non-zero
value.
Revised Beta Coefficients:
Coefficients(a)
Model
1
Un-standardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
(Constan
1.686
t)
cp
.533
a Dependent Variable: ed
Sig.
.172
9.811
.000
10.856
.000
.049
.707
118
regression equation which has no y-intercept. Constant Beta Coefficient of 1.686 has no
meaningful interpretation and hence it is not useful in the model.
Continuous Promotion for prepaid connection has an un-standardized beta of .533 which
means that if other variables are held constant, then for every unit of increase in continuous
promotion for prepaid connection, demand for post paid connection will rise by .533 units.
Revised standardized Multiple Linear Regression Equation before Significance Test:
Y (Escalating demand for Post-paid connection) = .707X1 (Continuous Promotion for prepaid
connection)
Revised Interpretation of Standardized Beta Coefficients:
Standardized coefficients are used in standardized regression equation which has no yintercept, which is often meaningless. Continuous Promotion for prepaid connection has an
standardized beta of .707 which means that if other variables are held constant, then for every
unit of increase in continuous promotion for prepaid connection, demand for post paid
connection will rise by .707 units.
Revised T-test for statistical significance of individual independent variables:
Coefficients(a)
Model
1
(Consta
Un-standardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Std.
Coefficients
Beta
1.686
nt)
cp
.533
a Dependent Variable: ed
Error
.172
.049
.707
Sig.
9.811
.000
10.856
.000
Null Hypothesis H0: Beta coefficient of Continuous promotion for prepaid connection has
zero value
Alternative Hypothesis H1: Beta coefficient of Continuous promotion for prepaid connection
has non-zero value
119
Decision for significance of Coefficients: The null hypotheses (Ho) is rejected and
alternative hypothesis is accepted, since p-value (.000) < (here, =.10 is the significance
level). So the beta coefficient is statistically significant.
Revised Un-standardized Multiple Linear Regression Equation After Significance Test:
Y (Escalating demand for Post-paid connection) = 1.686 + .533X1 (Continuous Promotion
for prepaid connection)
Revised standardized Multiple Linear Regression Equation After Significance Test:
Y (Escalating demand for Post-paid connection) = .707X1 (Continuous Promotion for prepaid
connection)
Revised Residual Statistics:
Residuals Statistics(a)
Std.
Minimum
Predicted Value
2.7511
Residual
-.85522
Std.
Predicted
-2.217
Value
Std. Residual
-2.457
a Dependent Variable: ed
Maximum
4.1716
.57335
Mean
3.5190
.00000
Deviation
.34635
.34657
N
120
120
1.884
.000
1.000
120
1.647
.000
.996
120
Interpretation:
The above table shows the maximum, minimum, mean, and standard deviation of residual for
both standardized and un-standardized equation. As expected the mean of the residuals have
turned out to be zero.
120
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121
From Basic Descriptive analysis which involves direct percentage of data came from
questionnaire, some important findings are clearly visible. These findings include:
prepaid package.
Attractive offer of prepaid package hardly attract post-paid users while they bought
connection of Grameenphone.
Grameenphone is more emphasizing on advertisement of prepaid connection than
post-paid connection.
Grameenphone is more emphasizing on advertisement of prepaid connection than
connection.
Many of the people do not know about the current post-paid offer.
Continuous promotion of Grameenphone prepaid influence post-paid users to change
connectivity.
Forty four point two percent people disagree that availability of prepaid connection
make them think of switching their current post-paid connection to prepaid
connection. Only 5.0% people highly agree that availability of prepaid connection
122
post-paid package.
Sixty eight point three percent of Grameenphone post-paid users agree that Low Price
bill.
Fifty six point seven percent people agree with the term that people who want to limit
their usage usually use prepaid connection. Nobody disagrees with this term.
Therefore, it shows that post-paid users do not think of usage.
From the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) test some important finding came into limelight.
They are:
Intense advertising for prepaid connections affects the demand for the post-paid
connection.
There is a positive relationship between two variables- Continuous Promotion for
prepaid connections and demand for the post-paid connection. Continuous Promotion
for prepaid connections affects the demand for the post-paid connection.
Availability of prepaid connections affects the demand for the post-paid connection.
There is a negative/declining relationship between escalating demand for post-paid
connections and flexibility of prepaid connections.
After ANOVA test, Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient between all the variables
has been conducted, which singled out the highest correlation among the dependent variable.
Data sheet shows that- Only continuous promotion for prepaid connection have very high
correlation with escalating demand for post-paid connection, which proves one point that
these variable play a very important role in the demand for post-paid connection. All the other
variables have low to weak correlation, which means they slightly or moderately influence
escalating demand for post-paid connection in either positive or negative way. After doing the
population mean test, chi square, Durbin Watson test and multiple regression analysis, it is
being ensured that:
The most important factors that play a significant role in escalating demand for postpaid connection is continuous promotion for prepaid connection.
123
Y (Escalating Demand for post-paid connection) = .106X 1 (Intense advertising for prepaid
connection) + .734X2 (Continuous promotion for prepaid connection) + .035X 3 (Availability
of prepaid connection) + .044X4(Flexibility of prepaid)
This equation shows that, 1 unit increase of all the independent variables, demand for postpaid connection will also increase.
Y (Escalating demand for Post-paid connection) = .707X1 (Continuous Promotion for prepaid
connection)
124
After revising the standardized equation, the results show that continuous promotion for
prepaid connection plays an important role in case of increasing demand for postpaid
connection.
Recommendation:
125
From my findings and as per discussion with Mr. Mokammel Haque, (senior executive of
Grameenphone Limited), my recommendations are as follows:
Grameenphone need to come up with different new value added services with
competitive price where the target customers can rely and happy.
Bibliography:
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127