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Risk Assessment Guidance: Hazard Severity (A) Likelihood of Occurrence (B)

The document provides guidance on conducting risk assessments. It explains how to assign values to the hazard severity and likelihood of occurrence on a scale of 1 to 5, then multiplying them to determine the risk rating and required response. A risk rating of 1-8 is low risk, 9-12 is medium risk, and 15-25 is high risk. Further controls may be needed to reduce risks to an acceptable level. The risk assessment process involves identifying hazards, persons affected, existing controls, evaluating severity and likelihood, and reviewing controls periodically.
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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
225 views3 pages

Risk Assessment Guidance: Hazard Severity (A) Likelihood of Occurrence (B)

The document provides guidance on conducting risk assessments. It explains how to assign values to the hazard severity and likelihood of occurrence on a scale of 1 to 5, then multiplying them to determine the risk rating and required response. A risk rating of 1-8 is low risk, 9-12 is medium risk, and 15-25 is high risk. Further controls may be needed to reduce risks to an acceptable level. The risk assessment process involves identifying hazards, persons affected, existing controls, evaluating severity and likelihood, and reviewing controls periodically.
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© © All Rights Reserved
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Risk Assessment Guidance

The assessor can assign values for the hazard severity (a) and likelihood of occurrence (b)
(taking into account the frequency and duration of exposure) on a scale of 1 to 5,
then multiply them together to give the rating band:

Hazard Severity (a) Likelihood of Occurrence (b)

1 – Trivial (eg discomfort, slight bruising, self-help recovery) 1 – Remote (almost never)
2 – Minor (eg small cut, abrasion, basic first aid need) 2 – Unlikely (occurs rarely)
3 – Moderate (eg strain, sprain, incapacitation > 3 days) 3 – Possible (could occur, but uncommon)
4 – Serious (eg fracture, hospitalisation >24 hrs, incapacitation >4 4 – Likely (recurrent but not frequent)
weeks) 5 – Very likely (occurs frequently)
5 – Fatal (single or multiple)

The risk rating (high, medium or low) indicates the level of


Moderate

response required to be taken when designing the action plan.


Serious
Trivial

Minor

Fatal

Rating Bands (a x b)
Remote 1 2 3 4 5 LOW RISK MEDIUM RISK HIGH RISK
(1 – 8) (9 - 12) (15 - 25)
Unlikely
2 4 6 8 10
Continue, but Continue, but -STOP THE
Possible review implement ACTIVITY-
3 6 9 12 15 periodically to additional Identify new
ensure controls reasonably controls. Activity
Likely remain effective practicable must not
4 8 12 16 20 controls where proceed until
possible and risks are
Very monitor regularly reduced to a low
likely
or medium level
5 10 15 20 25

1
Risk Assessments

There are a number of explanations needed in order to understand the process and the
form used in this example:

HAZARD: Anything that has the potential to cause harm. (Lifting/moving heavy items,
vehicles, fire etc)

For example

 Physical causes (falling, injury from equipment)


 Environmental (water, rivers, hillsides etc)
 People (launch drivers, players, coaches)

PERSONS WHO MIGHT BE HARMED: e.g. the general public, employees, spectators etc

RISK: expresses the likelihood that harm from a potential hazard will be realised and
taking into account the likely severity of harm.

The questions that need to be asked are:

How frequently does this sort of hazard occur in the activity taking place? (i.e. seldom,
sometimes to often)
How severe are the consequences of an accident occurring from that hazard? (i.e. bruised
arm or death – or something in between)
How many people are likely to be exposed to the hazard? (i.e. one, a small group or many)
Are specific groups more vulnerable than others? (i.e. inexperienced, children, people with
disabilities, pregnant women)

RISK CONTROLS IN PLACE: What is already in place that has reduced the chance of
somebody being harmed by the hazard?

Severity (of hazard) x Likelihood (of occurrence) = Overall risk

So, the severity of a plane accident could be high (death), the likelihood of a plane
accident (given a company of international repute) is low (because of the huge amount of
money and effort that goes into reducing likelihood) so the overall risk is low.

Severity (of the hazard) could be measured on a 4-point scale:


1 = No injury
2 = Minor injury – may need some first aid assistance, not life threatening
3 = Major injury – admission to hospital etc (not visit to A & E)
4 = Fatal

Likelihood (of occurrence) could be measured on a 5-point scale:


Improbable – so unlikely that probability is close to zero
1 = Remote – unlikely, although conceivable
2 = Possible – could occur sometime
3 = Probable – not surprised, will occur several times
4 = Likely – occur repeatedly/event only to be expected

2
Multiplying the Severity x Likelihood gives a number between 1 and 25. The person
completing the Risk Assessment then has a relative scale of the overall risk on which to
manage the problem and introduce any preventative or protective measures.

1 to 8 could be classed as a LOW risk


9 to 15 could be classed as a MEDIUM risk
15 + could be classed as a HIGH risk

The overall aim is to reduce or remove the risk to an acceptable (as close to 1 as possible)
level!

Control Measures

FURTHER ACTIONS TO CONTROL RISKS: What more can you reasonably do to reduce
the likelihood of an accident happening e.g. try a less risky option, provide additional
training, use specialist equipment?

COMPLETED BY: This is the date that the further control measures should be completed
by.

REVIEW DATE: This would normally be a year from the initial full completion of the form.
But a review should be carried out if circumstances have changed significantly. We would
expect the annual review to be carried out when the new executives have been elected.

For some activities there are other requirements which must be met. Anyone holding a
barbeque on campus, for example, must, additionally, meet the requirements set out by
the University in its Safety Manual.

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