The Optimum Model For Permeability Predi PDF
The Optimum Model For Permeability Predi PDF
The Optimum Model For Permeability Predi PDF
Abstract
Permeability is one of the most important parameters that must be determined in a
reservoir evaluation. In a homogenous reservoir containing a simple pore system,
porosity can be possibly correlated with permeability. However, in a heterogeneous
reservoir with other than a simple pore system, parameters other than porosity are
needed to predict permeability such as pore throat size. In this work, several published
permeability models were reviewed for utility in the prediction of permeability, using
inputs obtained from the characteristics of the capillary pressure curve of the pore
system. We review these models and select the best one to apply in the Pre –
Cenomanian Nubia Sandstone reservoir, Gulf of Suez, Egypt. The Nubia Sandstone is
considered as one of the most prolific oil reservoirs in the Gulf of Suez. The Pre –
Cenomanian deposits consist mainly of sandstone with intercalations of shale belonging
to different depositional environments. The sand section thickness generally decreases
southward along the Gulf of Suez. This sandstone reservoir is considered to be
extremely heterogeneous based on the Dykstra-Parsons coefficient.
Among several permeability models evaluated; Timur, Thomeer, Kozeny -
Carman, Swanson, Jennings, Kamath, MRA, Hagiwara and Purcell, the study indicated
that the Thomeer model yielded the best results as indicated from the statistical
variables to validated core data. Other three models yielded close results, which are
Hagiwara, multiple regression analysis (MRA) and Kamath. However, the most
applicable model is the Timur equation. This work investigates the variations in the
quality of the model results, generates hypotheses for the varying permeability
prediction quality proposes. New equations to describe the relation between the
parameters used to estimate permeability and the petrophysical variables, such as
porosity are introduced.
41
42 Mohamed S. El Sharawy
Fig. (1): Location map of the Gulf of Suez showing producing oilfields from
the Nubia sandstone and the studied well (modified after Alsharhan, and
Salah, 1997).
44 Mohamed S. El Sharawy
10000
Vk = k50-k84.1/k50
1000 Vk = 10.2-1.2/10.2 = 0.88
100
Permeability, md.
10
0.1
0.01
0.0010 .002 0.005 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.95 0.98 0.99 0 .995 0.998
samples, giving six mercury injection encountered in this well. The cored
capillary pressure curves (Fig. 4). In interval ranges from poor to good
well C, routine core analysis was reservoir quality. The recovery was
carried out on 13 cores plugs. These varied from 29% to 100%, using
core plugs covered the lower 600 ft conventional fiber glass coring type.
thick of 713 ft total thickness The cored interval indicates that
THE OPTIMUM MODEL FOR PERMEABILITY 45
(a)
10000 0.01
N ano-
Mercury capillary pressure, psi
1000 0.1
3
M icro-
100 1
M es o-
M acro-
10 10
1
M ega -
1 100
Pore throat
16 12 8 4 0 radius, microns
Incremental pore volume entered by mercury in %.
(b) (c)
10000 0.01 10000 0.01
Mercury capillary pressure, psi
Mercury capillary pressure, psi
100 1 100 1
10 10 10 10
1 100 1 100
20 16 12 8 4 0 20 16 12 8 4 0
Incremental pore volume entered by mercury in %.
Incremental pore volume entered by mercury in %.
Fig. (3): Pore size distribution system as illustrated from plotting of pore
throat size against incremental volume of mercury injection.
a) Trimodal pore size distribution system
b) Bimodal pore size distribution system
c) Monomodal pore size distribution system
permeability ranges from 0.01 to 11050 samples in well C, in which the air
md, with average value of 69 md. permeability, porosity and water
SCAL was performed on ten core saturation were measured.
46 Mohamed S. El Sharawy
The core analyses were 2.77 g/cc, with average value of 2.65
carried out based on the following g/cc. Mineralogy was dominantly
procedure: The core plugs used for quartz with traces of feldspar with 1%
tests were drilled, using a mineral oil as heavy minerals represented mainly by
the bit coolant. The one – inch – zircon, tourmaline and pyrite. The
diameter samples (well B), 2 5/8 inches sandstones are mainly quartzarenite
(well C) and 5– inches in (well A) for grading to lithicarenite at the
the routine core analysis were then lowermost part of well A. At this part,
placed in Dean – Stark type toluene volcanic rock fragments, chert and iron
distillation apparatus to determine the oxides are forming the main
core liquid saturation. The samples constituents of the rock. Consequently,
were then placed in a toluene permeability is reduced below 1 md.
extraction apparatus for extended The sandstone is usually light to dark
cleaning. Following cleaning, many of gray, fine to medium grains, poorly to
the samples appeared to be oil stained. well – sorted with siliceous cement.
These samples were then cleaned with Such composition resulted in the
chloroform and in a Co2/ toluene dominated bi and trimodal pore size
cleaner neither of these methods distributions. Clay content is generally
removed the oil staining. After drying, low, grading to be high in some
air permeability and helium porosity of intervals, especially at the base of the
the samples were measured. For MICP Nubia section (Fig. 5). This is due to
test, the samples were cleaned with the effect of authigenic kaolinite,
toluene and alcohol to remove which formed as a result of alteration
hydrocarbons and salts. Air of feldspars. The clays are mainly
permeability and porosity were kaolinite with rare illite, chlorite and
measured on the cleaned and dried core iron oxides. Figure (6) indicates that
plugs. Mercury was then injected into kaolinite represents the main clay
the cores, using pressure ranging from minerals, with a low percentage of
1 to 2000 psi. Pore size distributions heavy thorium – bearing minerals.
were calculated from these tests. Geological review (Gameel and
The cored intervals had well Darwish, 1994) tended to indicate the
logs and well logging data for the three porosity variation arises from siliceous
wells in the Southern Gulf of Suez that cement and the permeability variation
were utilized to examine the resulted from the filling of
permeability prediction models. The intergranular spaces by clays. These
well log data include Gamma ray, are highly inversely correlated. Above
spectral gamma ray, sonic, density, 10% clay content, low permeabilities
neutron and resistivity. The routine (k<1 md) have been occurred (Fig. 7).
core analyses indicated that the Nubia The problem resulting from
Sandstone reservoir permeability the occurrence of kaolinite is related to
ranges from poor to very good; from its structure. Patches of kaolinite are
0.01 to 1610 md, with average value of loosely attached to sand grains.
77 md. The porosity ranges from 0.012 Because of the large size of these
to 0.22, with average value of 0.131 patches, they can block the large pore
and grain density ranges from 2.55 to throats, resulting in a permanent,
THE OPTIMUM MODEL FOR PERMEABILITY 47
10000
1000
Mercury injection capillary pressure, psi
100
10
K = 853 PHI = 19.3
K = 318 PHI = 17.9
K = 342 PHI = 20.8
K = 120 PHI = 15.3
K = 0.462 PHI = 9.5
K = 174 PHI = 17.9
1
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Mercury saturation, %
Fig. (4): Mercury injection capillary pressure curves for six samples in well B.
Fig. (5): Litho – saturation crossplot of well A showing increase of shale content
downward due to the effect of authigenic kaolinite.
THE OPTIMUM MODEL FOR PERMEABILITY 49
Φr 2
K= ……………………….(2)
8τ
Where: τ is the tortuosity, which can be
defined as (Tiab and Donaldson, 2004):
τ = ΦF ……………………………(3)
Where: F is the formation resistivity
factor that equals (Archie, 1942):
F = Φ − m ……….………………(4)
Where: m is the cementation exponent.
So, the Kozeny – Carman equation can
be taken the following form:
r2
K= ………………………..(5)
8F
With taking into consideration the
effect of surface area, the Kozeny –
Carman equation can be written as
follows:
Φ3
k= ……………(6)
2τ (1 − Φ ) Sg 2
Where: Sg is the surface area per grain
volume and can be expressed using the
following equation:
2Φ
r= …………………..(7)
(1 − Φ ) Sg
Amaefule et al. (1993) used the
Kozeny-Carman (1937) model and
developed an expression for the mean
hydraulic radius to construct a
graphical technique for isolating the
flow units. The Kozeny-Carman
equation was re-arranged to yield:
k Φ 1
=( )( ) …...(8)
Φ 1− Φ FsτSg
Where: K is permeability (10-12 m2), Φ
is the effective porosity, Fs is the shape
Fig. (7): Crossplot of clay content
factor, usually ranged between 2 and 3
versus core permeability in well C. It
(Carman, 1956), τ is the tortuosity and
can be noted that at clay content
Sg is the surface area per unit grain
above 10 %, permeability begins to
volume in micron. The authors then
reduce.
THE OPTIMUM MODEL FOR PERMEABILITY 51
defined the flow zone indicator as tortuosity, low surface area and high
follows: FZI. The surface area per unit grain
1 volume can be expressed as follows:
FZI = ………….……..(9) Φ 2Φ
FsτSg Sg = Sp = …(10)
The flow zone indicator (FZl) is a (1 − Φ ) r (1 − Φ )
unique parameter that includes the Where: Sp is the surface area per unit
geologic attributes of the texture and pore volume, and:
mineralogy in the structure of distinct τ = ΦF
pore geometrical facies (Tiab and Then, permeability in md can be
Donaldson, 2004). Poorly sorted sands formulated, from the previous four
tend to exhibit high tortuosity, high equations as follows:
surface area and low FZI, while well –
sorted sands tend to exhibit low
52 Mohamed S. El Sharawy
predict the low permeability rocks ( k < Pd is correlated with FZI. This relation
1 md). Determination of the parameters yielded r2 = 0.924 (Fig. 9C). The
Vb relations can be formulated as follow:
(such as reff, ravg, λ, Fg, Pd, ( ) apex Pd = 0.065 Ф-2.62 r2 = 0.625
Pc …………………………………….(37)
and Swir) used in the previous
mentioned models was well explained Pd = 17.085(FZI) −0.324 r2 = 0.924
in several works e.g. Jennings, 1987; …………………………………..(38)
Pittman, 1992; Doublet, 2001; Holmes, Pore geometrical factor (Fg) that was
2002 and Wu, 2004. determined from Wu (2004) method,
yielded weak relations with porosity.
4- Prediction of the parameters used This relation is improved somehow,
to estimate permeability: when correlated with FZI (Fig. 9D&E).
The predicted permeability models The relations are given as:
contain several parameters that need to Fg = −0.4623 ln(Φ ) − 0.557
determine. In this section, we will try r2 = 0.481 ………………………..(39)
to correlate these parameters with a Fg = −0.1267 ln(FZI) + 0.4119
known one, such as porosity, as well as
r2 = 0.578 ………………………..(40)
flow zone indicator (FZI). The
The term Lmax contains four parameters
incorporated parameters usually are
that mostly determine the properties of
Swir, reff, ravg, Pd, λ, Fg, Lmax, (Vb/Pc)A
the rock pore system. It gives a good
and P2. Table (1) summarized such
correlation with porosity and strong
relations with the corresponding
one with FZI (Fig. 9F). The relations
coefficient of determination (r2) for
take the following forms:
each one. From this Table, we can
Lmax = 2365.37 Ф4.895 r2 = 0.784
conclude that there is no correlation
…………………………………..(41)
between Swir and Φ. The relation
Lmax = 0.0804 FZI1.285 r2 = 0.925
improved dramatically with FZI, which
………………………...…………(42)
yielded r2 = 0.628 (Fig. 9A). The
The pore throat size
relation is given as:
distribution index (λ) gives so weak
Swir = 0.1186( FZI ) −0..791 ….……(34) relation, especially with that extracted
Slightly good relation exists between from the type curve. The correlation is
the effective and average pore throat improved somehow with (λ) derived
radii and porosity, which yielded r2 = from plotting Pc vs. Se, which yielded
0.71 and 0.715, respectively. The r2 = 0.4, when correlated with porosity.
relations can be expressed as the The relation still weak when FZI is
following: used in correlation with r2 = 0.43. So, it
reff = 6091.6 Ф3.64 r2 = 0.71 can be concluded that, the pore throat
…………………………………….(35) size distribution index is not reflecting
ravg = 3659.2 Ф3.63 r2 = 0.715 the physical properties of the rock. On
…………………..………..………(36) the other hand, Swanson's term
Good relation exists between Vb
the porosity and the displacement ( ) apex yielded good correlation
pressure, Pd. On the other hand, an Pc
excellent relation can be obtained when with porosity, and improved strongly
56 Mohamed S. El Sharawy
Fig. (9): Collection chart showing the interrelations among the parameters
used to predict air permeability from mercury injection capillary pressure –
based models.
Table (2): showing the relations among the terms involved in the permeability
prediction models and corresponding r2.
(Fig. 12). The strength of the relation Using rapex instead of r20 yielded, the
decreases when using λ derived from following relation with r2 = 0.837:
other sources. Log k = 4.184 log Φ + 1.262 log rapex -
Timur equation contains two 4.124 …………………………….(49)
parameters to predict the permeability. Using the displacement pressure (Pd)
In this study, the Timur equation takes and the porosity as independent
the following form, with r2 = 0.779: variables and permeability as a
Φ 6.65 dependent variable, the following
k = 0.0000013 ….……(47) relation is obtained with r2 = 0.894:
Swir 0.43 Log k = 3.022 log Ф – 1.582 log Pd +
Applying the multiple regression 5.571 …………….………………(50)
analysis (MRA) yielded the best Applying the Swanson (1981) model
relation with r20, as an effective pore gives r2 = 0.86 with the following
size, when using the permeability as a form:
dependent variable. The relation has Vb 1.445
the following form with r2 = 0.906: K = 457.5 ( ) apex ………….…..(51)
Log K = 1.953 log Φ + 1.432 log r20 - pc
1.8806 ……………………………(48)
THE OPTIMUM MODEL FOR PERMEABILITY 59
Table (3): Showing the study data listing of core porosity, air permeability and
the predicted permeabilities using various mercury injection capillary pressure –
based models.
Thomeer (1983) model (Eq. 24) gives a porosity can be used instead of the
good correlation, when using (Fg), that fractional bulk volume occupied by
derived from the type curve. Using mercury at infinite pressure (Vb ∞ )
(Fg) derived from Wu (2004) method, with no real effect on the results.
the relation is improved considerably Using the second quartile
and recorded the highest correlation capillary pressure, as defined by
among the used models (Table 3). The
THE OPTIMUM MODEL FOR PERMEABILITY 61
Fig. (12): Collection chart showing correlation of porosity and flow zone
indicator versus different parameters used to permeability prediction.
Table (5): showing the used parameters in the permeability predictions models.
Modified kozeny –
1 Ф ,reff, τ, F, Sg, FZI, Fs
Carman (Eq. 11)
2 Purcell Ф , Pd , Swir, λ, σ, θ
3 Timur Ф, Swir
5 Swanson (Vb/Pc)A
6 Thomeer Ф , Pd, Vb ∞ , Fg
7 Hagiwara Ф, ravg, m
8 Jennings P2