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Adam Smith on Method: Newtonianism, History, Institutions, and the "Invisible Hand"

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Adam Smith on Method: Newtonianism, History, Institutions, and the "Invisible Hand" / S. Fiori. - In: JOURNAL OF THE
HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT. - ISSN 1053-8372. - 34:3(2012), pp. 411-435.

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17 August 2018
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ADAM SMITH ON METHOD: NEWTONIANISM, HISTORY, 
INSTITUTIONS, AND THE “INVISIBLE HAND”
STEFANO FIORI

Journal of the History of Economic Thought / Volume 34 / Issue 03 / September 2012, pp 411 ­ 435
DOI: 10.1017/S1053837212000405, Published online: 

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STEFANO FIORI (2012). ADAM SMITH ON METHOD: NEWTONIANISM, HISTORY, 
INSTITUTIONS, AND THE “INVISIBLE HAND”. Journal of the History of Economic Thought,34, pp 
411­435 doi:10.1017/S1053837212000405

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Journal of the History of Economic Thought,
Volume 34, Number 3, September 2012

ADAM SMITH ON METHOD: NEWTONIANISM,


HISTORY, INSTITUTIONS, AND THE
‘‘INVISIBLE HAND’’
BY
STEFANO FIORI

Smith was influenced by Newton’s method. Nonetheless, he introduced elements


that led him far from the Newtonian perspective. The present essay analyzes how
historical dimensions, contingencies, institutions, and conflicting human
inclinations modify a Newtonian horizon. Finally, the paper focuses on how, in
Smith’s view, institutions determine ‘‘unintended outcomes,’’ which are sometimes
opposed to those of the market. In this sense, the ‘‘invisible hand’’ is not only the
result of the behavior of myopic individuals trying to improve their conditions;
it is also the outcome of the work of institutions that operate as structures
autonomous with respect to individuals.

I. INTRODUCTION

Adam Smith considered Isaac Newton’s work to be a turning point in modern science,
similarly to a number of Scottish scientists and philosophers of his age, for whom
Newton’s method constituted a paradigm, especially as regards its application to human
sciences. But what did it mean to adopt Newton’s method? The literature has provided
different answers, and this paper tries to make a further contribution in this direction.
The application of the great physicist’s methodological concepts in the social and
economic sciences gave shape to an original perspective compatible with certain
concepts (such as, for example, those of self-organization, emergent properties, path
dependency, unpredictability) usually considered distant from classical dynamics.
Therefore, the first aim of this paper is to show how Newton’s method (and specifically
the notion of ‘‘principle’’), when incorporated in social and historical domains, assumed
new functions, and consequently changed important features.

Stefano Fiori, Università di Torino – Department of Economics ‘‘S. Cognetti de Martiis.’’


Email: stefano.fiori@unito.it
I am grateful to Sergio Cremaschi for helpful comments on an earlier version.

ISSN 1053-8372 print; ISSN 1469-9656 online/12/03000411-435 Ó The History of Economics Society, 2012
doi:10.1017/S1053837212000405
412 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

In general terms, Newton represented nature as invariant, and as regulated by constant


laws. By contrast, Smith put forward a different view, although he adopted Newton’s
concept of ‘‘principle’’ to explain the variety of human (and social) phenomena by
means of a unitary cause. Nature, when observed in the human realm, is multifaceted,
ambivalent, and characterized by conflicting inclinations, which, nonetheless, in the long
run are channeled within the general tendency to improve the human condition,
conceived as the capacity to increase private and public wealth. Moreover, Smith says,
the ‘‘natural course’’ of history has not followed this tendency linearly, and, con-
sequently, it cannot be represented as a well-ordered process governed by laws
comparable in their defined effects to Newton’s gravitation. In particular, the history
of European society, from the decline of the Roman Empire to the late eighteenth
century, was not marked by a ‘‘natural course of things’’ but by an ‘‘unnatural and
retrograde’’ one. The former, however ‘‘natural,’’ did not prevail because contingencies
and institutions impeded or slowed social and economic development, although, after
centuries, re-equilibrating forces allowed the emergence of the market society.
Moreover, institutions, even when harmful, exhibit both a distinctive autonomy with
respect to individuals and an inertial dimension. They persist over time, and even when
the reasons that may account for their origins cease to exist, they still strongly influence
human and social relations. This kind of path dependency—which, for example,
characterized certain feudal institutions—constitutes a version of the ‘‘heterogenesis of
ends,’’ because individuals cannot foresee the future outcomes of their current actions,
although a social and economic order will emerge in an indefinite future. More precisely,
some institutions (which hampered the fulfilment of ‘‘perfect liberty’’), as impersonal
forces, have acted against other impersonal forces (those of the market in the long run),
although the latter are considered predominant. This implies that the ‘‘invisible hand’’ is
characterized by different (sometimes contrasting) forces, whose interrelations yield an
unintentional order, although in Smith’s view—I repeat—man’s endeavor to improve his
condition is predominant, and promotes the emergence of the market order.
Given this premise, human nature and social domains are more complex than
physical nature, where a simple principle (gravitation) in all times and places yields
an unaltered order of the universe whose movements are precise and essentially
predictable.1 In particular, Smith points out that Newton’s system, by means of his
‘‘principle’’ of gravitation, ‘‘ascertains the time, the place, the quantity, the duration
of each individual phenomenon, to be exactly such as, by observation, they have
determined to be’’ (The History of Astronomy, Smith 1980, IV.6; henceforth HA). By
contrast, his theory shows that the economic and social realms exhibit unpredictable
and less defined configurations, which change over time, and in which only a very
general tendency can be detected. As a consequence, it seems important to deal with
the question of how a non-Newtonian perspective arises from Smith’s Newtonianism
or, more precisely, how some of Newton’s concepts, incorporated into Smith’s

1
The concept of predictability under certain conditions is related to that of determinism. The debate on
Newton’s determinism is still open. Many physicists maintain that Newton’s theory is deterministic (see, for
example, Prigogine and Stengers 1979; Ruelle 1991, ch. 5). Nevertheless, this view has been challenged in
the past two decades, and some authors state that Newton’s mechanics is not a deterministic theory. Norton
(2008) summarizes both arguments in favor of his non-deterministic interpretation well as the relative
objections. For criticisms of Norton’s theory, see Malament (2008).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 413

theoretical apparatus, determine non-Newtonian outcomes. In short, the human


universe (so irregular, history-dependent, and unpredictable) seems radically to
diverge from Newton’s physical universe (regular, a-temporal, and predictable).
The arguments just outlined will be dealt with as follows. After a brief discussion
of Smith’s Newtonianism (sect. II), his Considerations Concerning the First
Formation of Languages (Smith 1983b; henceforth Languages) is examined as
a distinctive view of the analytic-synthetic approach. For Smith, the analytic and
synthetic phases reflect both a human cognitive procedure, as a general strategy that
confers a new configuration on the world, and a scientific method. General induc-
tion, Smith supposes, leads to general terms by means of which concrete objects
can be comprehended in their individuality. A concrete term, considered at the
beginning of the cognitive process, is not the same as the one found at the
end, when it finally acquires an appropriate definition. In this sense, reality is
re-described (sect. III). The same perspective is adopted in the HA, where the search
for new ‘‘principles’’ able to connect ‘‘discordant phenomena’’ is a continuous
effort whereby the world assumes a new structure for the observer. This view shows
how—in Smith’s political economy—history, contingencies, and empirical circum-
stances contribute to shaping the structures and changes of economic systems, even
though their movements should be directed in general by some basic principles. A
fundamental fact is that Smith considers the principles within a temporal frame-
work. On the one hand, this implies that analysis leads to ‘‘general conclusions’’
from which to deduce phenomena; on the other hand, it is part of an endless process
whereby new ‘‘connecting principles’’ emerge and reorganize observational
material in order to give it a new coherence. All this renders the succession of
analysis and synthesis rather problematic because synthesis is provisional, and
analysis is re-examined and rearranged according to new paradigms; that is, new
principles (sect. IV).
Moreover, the reference to principles raises questions in the economic domain.
Part of the literature correctly considers the first two books of Wealth of Nations
(Smith 1776; henceforth WN) as being where principles explain and unify the variety
of economic phenomena. In particular, the WN starts with the concept of the division
of labor, in light of which a number of events, from the increase in wealth to the
coordinated social division of activities, are explained. Yet, this principle is neither
‘‘original’’ (it derives from other basic inclinations) nor universal (it does not always
appear in human history), and its explanatory capacity exhibits some problems. In
fact, the extent of competition and of markets depends on the—social—division of
labor, but the extent of the division of labor depends on an empirical fact: the extent
of the market. In addition, the division of labor (as a concrete event) engenders
unpredictable configurations of the market (sect. V). The distinction between natural
and market prices replicates a situation in which the principles require consideration
of their empirical counterparts (sect. VI). Finally, sections VII and VIII show how
history, contingencies, and institutions contribute strongly to establishing a certain
order of the market society in a way that cannot be directly deduced from principles
(of human nature). These latter matter, but interpretation must also consider
conflicting human inclinations, institutions, and historical accidents in order to
understand the structure of the world. As a consequence, science is described as
an ‘‘imaginary machine,’’ rather than—as Newton points out—as a body of sound
414 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

knowledge able to describe how the world is,2 within the limits allowed to human
beings by God.

II. SMITH’S AND NEWTON’S METHODS: ESSENTIAL POINTS

Newtonianism largely influenced intellectual debates in the Scottish Enlightenment.


On the one hand, it entailed criticism of both Aristotelianism (and occult qualities of
scholastic tradition) and Descartes’ rationalism; on the other, its Humean version was
very influential, and Condillac’s and D’Alembert’s interpretations, although elabo-
rated by French philosophers, were part of a general context characterized by the
effort to legitimate the use of Newton’s results (cf. Megill 1975). Moreover, the
diffusion of Newtonianism in Scotland was linked with, among others, Scottish
scholars such as James Gregory, a correspondent of Newton, his nephew David
Gregory, and George Turnbull. Finally, Colin Maclaurin (a Scottish mathematician)
was very influential with his An Account of Sir Isaac Newton’s Philosophical
Discoveries (1748), and John Keill, Henry Pemberton, and Jacob ‘sGravesande
contributed to introducing Newton in Britain and in Europe.
Smith’s Newtonianism took shape in this rich context, although it cannot be
separated from other fundamental debates: for example, the critique of contractual
theories, especially the Hobbesian one; and the wide acceptance in the Scottish
cultural environment of Montesquieu’s teachings.
Smith maintained that ‘‘Philosophy is the science of the connecting principles of
nature’’ (HA, II.12). Philosophy in Smith’s age was synonymous with scientific
inquiry, and the reference to a search for basic and simple principles able to explain
a number of (apparently different) phenomena was for Smith, as for his friend David
Hume, an application of the Newtonian method to human sciences. As is well known,
the Rules of Reasoning in Philosophy included in Newton’s Principia (1687) and
the ‘‘Query 31,’’ which concludes the Opticks (1704), are very important sources for
understanding Newton’s method.
In particular as regards the analytic-synthetic method, as specified in the ‘‘Query
31,’’ Newton maintains:
As in Mathematicks, so in Natural Philosophy, the Investigation of difficult Things by
the Method of Analysis, ought ever to precede the Method of Composition. This
Analysis consists in making Experiments and Observations, and in drawing general
Conclusions from them by Induction, and admitting of no Objections against the
Conclusions, but such as are taken from Experiments, or other certain Truths. For
Hypotheses are not to be regarded in experimental Philosophy. And although the
arguing from Experiments and Observations by Induction be no Demonstration of
general Conclusions; yet it is the best way of arguing which the Nature of Things
admits of, and may be looked upon as so much the stronger, by how much the Induction
is more general. And if no Exception occur from Phænomena, the Conclusion may be
pronounced generally. But if at any time afterwards any Exception shall occur from

2
Newton (1687, p. 547) maintains: ‘‘And to us it is enough that gravity does really exist, an act according
to the laws which we have explained.’’
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 415

Experiments, it may then begin to be pronounced with such Exceptions as occur. By


this way of Analysis we may proceed from Compounds to Ingredients, and from
Motions to the Forces producing them; and in general, from Effects to their Causes, and
from particular Causes to more general ones, till the Argument end in the most general.
This is the Method of Analysis: And the Synthesis consists in assuming the causes
discover’d, and establish’d as Principles, and by them explaining the Phænomena
proceeding from them, and proving the Explanations (Newton 1704, pp. 404–405;
emphasis added).
The role of ‘‘principles’’ was widely accepted in the Scottish Enlightenment, and the
analytic-synthetic method seems to be echoed in Hume’s words when he reminds us
that human scientists proceed ‘‘from particular instances to general principles, they
still push on their enquires to principles more general, and rest no satisfied till they
arrive at those original principles, by which, in every science, all human curiosity
must be bounded’’ (Hume,1748, p. 88).
Although in the ‘‘science of human nature,’’ in Hume’s sense, it is rather difficult to
find ‘‘experiments,’’ by contrast ‘‘observations’’ in the social realm were largely con-
sidered by the Scottish thinkers of the eighteenth century, and especially by Adam
Smith, who discussed a number of empirical cases in each chapter of the WN.
Yet, observations are not experiments, and, contrary to Newton, there was no room
for mathematics in Smith’s approach.3 This raises the question as to how—given the
different subjects—the empirical approach had been translated from Newton’s physics
to human and economic science, during which process it had undergone some un-
avoidable changes, although Newton himself affirmed that, on pursuing his method,
‘‘the Bounds of Moral Philosophy [would have been] enlarged’’ (Newton 1704, p. 405).
Smith assumed the notion of principle, and he also had a distinctive vision of the
analytic-synthetic approach—as many scholars maintain in different ways—although
it is neither mentioned as such nor theoretically defined. H.J. Bittermann (1940),
probably influenced by his contemporary notion of empiricism, declares that Smith
adopted an empirical methodology inspired by Newton and Hume, yet he did not
carefully distinguish between inductive and deductive reasoning. S. Moscovici
(1956, p. 8) pointed out the originality of Smith’s perspective with respect to those of
his Newtonian contemporaries—Pemberton, David Gregory, and Maclaurin—since
Smith did not believe (in contrast with the latter) that many philosophers of the
past had prepared, as precursors, the Newtonian revolution. H.F. Thomson (1965,
p. 226), states that in both The Theory of Moral Sentiments (Smith 1759, henceforth
TMS) and the WN, Smith ‘‘appears to have taken his main hypothesis, or his analogy,
from the Newtonian principle of attraction.’’ T.D. Campbell (1971, p. 54), con-
sidering the TMS from an essentially Popperian perspective,4 points out the
importance of the Newtonian method of induction and of deduction. A.S. Skinner

3
On the role of mathematics in Newton’s Principia related to the complex characteristics of his ‘‘style,’’
whereas Newton proceeds from simple to complex cases in an idealized form, see Cohen (1980). See also
G.E. Smith (2002) and Guicciardini (2002).
4
The literature has found some similarities between Smith’s method and the approaches of T.S. Kuhn,
K.R. Popper, I. Lakatos, and W.V.O. Quine. Evidently, there is a risk of providing an anachronistic
reading. Yet, on evaluating the textual evidence and the Scottish cultural context, it is possible to consider
the relation between Smith’s and Kuhn’s perspectives (see sect. IV).
416 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

(1972, p. 315) stresses Smith’s debt to Newton, and also emphasizes that ‘‘the route
to scientific knowledge in the eighteenth century’’ required the method of ‘‘experimen-
tal philosophy’’ based on analysis (to establish basic principles by means of
induction) and synthesis (to clarify phenomena by means of deduction). Similar
statements are put forward in D.D. Raphael and A.S. Skinner (1980, p. 12), and
L. Montes (2003, p. 725). N.S. Hetherington (1983, p. 504) finds ‘‘important
similarities of structure’’ between Newton’s Principia and the WN, and S. Cremaschi
(1984) gives an account of how Newton’s work is a model for the WN. A partial
exception is G. Freudenthal (1981), who maintains that Newton referred to the
analytic-synthetic method, while Smith treated only the synthetic one, omitting
‘‘analysis’’ and interpreting Newton’s method as ‘‘evident-synthetic.’’ However,
this perspective does not pay much attention to the role of observations in Smith’s
work. Finally, for other scholars, it is more appropriate to consider Newton’s
influence as consisting merely in inspiration and orientation (Redman 1993, p. 225;
cf. Berry 2006, p. 126), or even as a ‘‘rhetorical device’’ (Redman 1993, p. 225). In
my view, the influence of Newton’s method on Smith’s approach assumed the form
of a few general rules (and concepts) useful for conceiving how to construct science
correctly (specifically the economic theory, although other disciplines shared
a similar perspective), whereas the previous model was basically characterized
by Cartesianism. In particular, my focus is on how this theoretical structure partial-
ly changes when it is applied to economic, social, and other realms, engendering
in some cases a perspective far from Newton’s. This view can be connected to
I.B. Cohen’s assertion that ‘‘Smith was well educated in Newtonian science,’’ and
his ‘‘example . . . is particularly interesting because it brings us to a significant
feature of many interactions between the natural sciences and the social sciences. . ..
I have called this aspect of innovation ‘creative transformation’, an intellectual leap
forward that often occurs when a concept, a method, a principle, or even a theory is
transferred from one domain to another’’ (Cohen 1994, p. 66).
Another element in understanding how, despite Newtonian premises, some issues
of Smith’s work were not Newtonian is that Newton’s teaching in the Scottish
environment (and specifically in Smith’s theory) interacted with other (and was
included within) previous strands of thought, and this interconnection determined its
reception, its reuse, and its partial modification. From this perspective, the connection
between the Newtonian legacy and the ‘‘Natural jurisprudence’’ seems relevant, since
this latter was part of Smith’s moral philosophy. Cremaschi has provided an overview
of this intricate relation. In very general terms, Smith’s work is characterized by its
opposition to a priori perspectives and to rationalistic approaches, like that of
Descartes, which were not suited for conceiving a social science able to deal with
dynamic processes. In particular,
The views [that Smith] wants to criticize are primarily those of Hobbes and Locke,
and secondly those of the ‘rationalist’ natural Law philosophers Grotius and
Pufendorf and of the ‘moral sense’ Natural Law philosopher Hutcheson. He wants
to take over Hume’s attempt at finding an alternative ‘foundation’ to Natural law,
other than reason or moral sense, but he adds to Hume’s solution a powerful dose of
Montesquieu’s genetic account of law and of the Scottish evolutionary theory of
society (Cremaschi 1989, p. 89).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 417

Moreover, ‘‘Scottish moral Newtonianism’’ comprised many (very different) authors


who referred to the new natural philosophy (from Galileo to Newton) and—especially
as regards Hume —shared the project to reform moral philosophy on experimental
bases (i.e., in opposition to a priori and theological principles) (Cremaschi 2009, p. 81).
This perspective also allowed Hume to consider not a priori concepts, such as the state
of nature or the original contract, but to focus on the observation of habits and customs.
Smith adhered in many respects to Hume’s experimental interpretation of New-
tonianism, and this involved both his moral theory and his project to develop a ‘‘renewed
natural law free of the main shortcomings of its rationalistic versions, primarily the lack
of empirical content’’ (Cremaschi 1989, p. 100). This perspective enables us to see how
a distinctive interpretation of Newtonianism was connected to great philosophical
debates, in some cases prior to Newton’s work, which contributed to modifying
Newtonian categories. Therefore, the non-Newtonian aspects of Smith’s thought can be
interpreted as outcomes of these processes.
Also, Montesquieu’s approach influenced the Scottish Enlightenment. Although
Montesquieu was ‘‘ignorant of Newton’s physics’’ (Cohen 1994, p. 65), he used the
gravitation metaphor (1748, bk. 3, ch. 7, p. 25), and gave a definition of ‘‘principes’’
sufficiently compatible with Newtonian culture in that a variety of multiple particular
cases are explained in reference to general laws. Moreover, Montesquieu’s empirical
perspective considered contingencies to be elements able to explain the divergence
between, on the one hand, historical configurations of societies and institutions, and,
on the other, the model incorporated into natural laws (as later in Smith’s work),
because the social and human world ‘‘is far from being so well governed as the
physical. For though the former has also its laws, which of their own nature are
invariable, it does not conform to them so exactly as the physical world’’ (Montesquieu
1748, bk. 1, ch. 1, p. 2).5
Finally, the model inspired by living systems tacitly coexisted with (and
contributed to) a rethinking of the Newtonian model. Smith represents the evolution
of society by means of biological metaphors, since these appear better able to capture
dynamic processes than models inspired by physics. In this sense, he specifies that the
constant ‘‘effort of every man to better his condition,’’—that is, the principle that
guides ‘‘the natural progress of things toward improvement’’—can be compared to
‘‘the unknown principle of animal life [that] frequently restores health and vigour to
the constitution, in spite, not only of the disease, but of the absurd prescriptions of the
doctor’’ (WN, II.iii.31). The metaphor of organism is used to describe the self-
regulating and self-organizing properties of societies over time. Yet, not every
biological model is a valid theoretical tool. In fact, Smith rejects Francxois Quesnay’s
medical approach, according to which ‘‘the health of the human body could be
preserved only by a certain precise regimen of diet and exercise,’’ since this implies
that the ‘‘political body . . . would thrive and prosper only under a certain precise
regimen, the exact regimen of perfect liberty and perfect justice’’ (WN, IV.ix.28).
By contrast, the ‘‘unknown principle of preservation,’’ by means of which the
individual improves his condition, makes it possible to remedy dangerous effects of

5
A similar interpretation is made by Aron (1965), while Ingrao and Israel (1990, ch. 2) connect
Montesquieu to theorists of natural law.
418 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

‘‘the folly and injustice of man’’ (WN, IV.ix.28). This line of thought defined a paradigm
that tacitly interacted with the Newtonian one, and was probably influenced by French
scholars who studied the problem of organization in living beings. In particular, Buffon,
Diderot, Daubenton, and Réaumur are cited in the Letter to the Edinburgh Review, and
their works, together with those of Maupertuis, were in Smith’s library.
Given these premises, in the next section I seek to show that Smith referred to the
inductive approach more clearly in Languages than in other works (for which reason I
start with this essay), while synthesis or deduction, in turn, is considered a funda-
mental step in re-describing the reality and conferring a new identity on singular
events or objects.

III. LANGUAGES, A POSSIBLE VIEW OF THE ANALYTIC-


SYNTHETIC APPROACH

The analytic-synthetic approach is a method that should be applied by scientists. In


Languages, this procedure is considered, at least partially, as if it were unintentionally
followed over time by mankind in the real world, and not as a (part of) scientific
method. In fact, Smith states, the formation of languages was characterized by an
inductive process that led to the definition of a few principles that simplified the
functioning of language, and this simplification resembled the one realized by
gravitation in the physical universe (as a force that governs a number of phenomena).6
From Smith’s perspective, in the beginning, ‘‘particular names’’ were ‘‘probably’’
assigned to ‘‘particular objects,’’ and because some of them exhibited a close
resemblance, ‘‘those words, which were originally the proper names of individuals,
would each of them insensibly become the common name of a multitude’’
(Languages, 1, p. 204). In general, the process characterizing the generation of
languages is conceived in terms of a continuous passage from the particular to the
general; that is, as an increasing ability to produce abstractions in order to represent
reality. Adjectives and prepositions appeared later (and in succession) with respect to
nouns, in that they respectively represented qualities and relations among things,
without reference to concrete objects, and this involved a certain capacity to produce
‘‘abstraction and generalization’’ (Languages, 12, pp. 209–210). The same reasoning
is applied to other parts of speech such as number, impersonal and personal verbs, and
personal pronouns. Finally, in modern languages—with respect to Latin and Greek—a
‘‘simplification’’ came about when ‘‘instead of a great variety of declensions, one
universal declension, which is the same in every word, of whatever gender, number or
termination’’ appeared (Languages, 33, p. 221).
This process is also interpreted in terms of an increasing capacity of languages to
simplify their grammar structures, thus improving their performances, and becoming
progressively better able to deal with external complexity. This perspective is rep-
resented by a famous passage in which changes in languages are compared to changes
in machines, and where the reference to Newton’s concept of ‘‘principle’’—considered
in a new, dynamic, context—is clear.

6
In his first rule of reasoning, Newton maintains that ‘‘Nature is pleased with simplicity, and [as
gravitation shows] affects not the pomp of superfluous causes’’ (Newton 1687, p. 398).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 419

All machines are generally, when first invented, extremely complex in their
principles, and there is often a particular principle of motion for every particular
movement which it is intended they should perform. Succeeding improvers observe,
that one principle may be so applied as to produce several of those movements; and
thus the machine becomes gradually more and more simple, and produces its effects
with fewer wheels, and fewer principles of motion (Languages, 41, p. 223).
In short, cognitive (inductive) processes permit delineation of ‘‘fewer principles of
motion’’ by means of which languages work in a simpler way. These principles explain
the simplification of language and the change of its structure. They can, therefore, be
considered in their theoretical dimension, which is the same as adopted in HA to
explain the ‘‘formation’’ of (physical and astronomical) theories. As a consequence,
a close relation emerges between real cognitive processes and the scientific method in
assuming an analytic-synthetic procedure, where the definition of principles allows
explanation of a given phenomenon: the change of languages over time.

From Analysis (Induction) to Synthesis as a Process of Individualization


According to Smith, an inductive process characterizes the formation of languages. The
literature generally recognizes that, in Smith’s essay, language takes shape by moving
from concrete to abstract, from simple to complex (cf. Becker 1961, p. 15), where the
more it is abstract, the more it is able to deal with complexity. Yet, a close examination
shows that this is only the first part of the process. The passage from a proper to
a common noun is an inductive generalization whereby particular objects like ‘‘cave, tree,
fountain’’ became common nouns indicating a whole class of objects because of their
close similarity. The second part of the process, generally neglected, is the one when
common nouns were created to denominate classes of similar objects: ‘‘it was impossible
that the greater part of that almost infinite number of individuals, comprehended under
each particular assortment or species, could have any peculiar or proper names of their
own, distinct from the general name of the species’’ (Languages, 2, p. 205). It was
necessary to distinguish each particular entity subsumed under the same collective noun
by referring to its qualities and its spatial relations with other objects.
In short, objects can be identified only when a process of abstraction and of
(inductive) generalization has been performed. For this purpose, it is necessary to move
from abstract to concrete, since this process makes it possible to connote an element in
its individuality. So to speak, the object viewed by an observer at the end of this process
is not the same as the one seen at the beginning. The concrete, original, object, whose
name was used to define (by analogy) a general class, is not the same object that we
recognize when a common noun is available. The specific object can be defined and
identified as singular only if we have a general (abstract) class that subsequently
permits us to identify it as an individual element with its own properties, qualities, and
relations with other ones. The difference is between a concrete, unrelated, term and
a concrete object definable in its individuality, precisely because we start from an
abstract term. Therefore, the complete process is from (unrelated) concrete to abstract
entities, and subsequently from abstract to concrete objects (related to others recon-
structed, redefined, and recognizable in their identity). In turn, this entails re-describing
reality and assigning identities to its objects.
420 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

Similarly, ‘‘The word I . . . is a general word, capable of being predicated . . . of an


infinite variety of objects.’’ This pronoun is only apparently the more concrete one; by
contrast, it is ‘‘abstract and metaphysical,’’ and this fact constitutes the condition for
identifying a particular person, attributing to him many qualifications (Languages,
32, p. 219).
The idea that abstract notions are fundamental steps in explaining and unifying
a variety of phenomena, however derived from concrete objects or events, first appeared
in HA, which adopts a perspective similar to that outlined in Languages as regards the
relation between abstract and concrete terms. Our attention must therefore focus on HA.

IV. PRINCIPLES AND DYNAMIC MACHINES

The aim of science is to overcome ‘‘wonder.’’ One kind of wonder arises when our
imagination is unable to include an object within the usual classificatory systems.
Another kind arises when the imagination is unable to explain ‘‘an unusual succession of
things’’ (HA, II.9). As a consequence, the role of science is to discover the ‘‘connecting
chain of intermediate events,’’ and ‘‘Philosophy is the science of connecting principles
of nature’’ (HA, II.12). Yet, Smith considers these latter in a dynamic context. His aim is
not just, as for Newton, to provide increasingly rigorous observations (and experiments,
for the great physicist) in order to corroborate ‘‘general conclusions’’7; it is also to
explain how observed anomalies can lead to a change of paradigm. In particular, in
a well-known passage similar to that in Languages, Smith maintains:
Systems in many respects resemble machines. A machine is a little system, created to
perform, as well as to connect together, in reality, those different movements and
effects which the artist has occasion for. A system is an imaginary machine invented
to connect together in the fancy those different movements and effects which are
already in reality performed. The machines that are first invented to perform any
particular movement are always the most complex, and succeeding artists generally
discover that, with fewer wheels, with fewer principles of motion, than had originally
been employed, the same effects may be more easily produced. The first systems, in
the same manner, are always the most complex, and a particular connecting chain, or
principle, is generally thought necessary to unite every two seemingly disjointed
appearances: but it often happens, that one great connecting principle is afterwards
found to be sufficient to bind together all the discordant phaenomena that occur in
a whole species of things (HA, IV.19).
It has been remarked that this scheme is similar to T.S. Kuhn’s (Skinner 1972, p. 312;
Lindgren 1973, p. 18; Raphael and Skinner 1980, p. 15; Cremaschi 1984, p. 59;
Schliesser 2005, p. 704) because Smith describes how a paradigm changes. Yet, for our
purposes here, it is sufficient to point out that, from this perspective, the relation between
analysis and synthesis is more complex than the version (generally attributed to Newton)
in which they are two successive phases of the same process. More precisely, induction
leads to ‘‘general conclusions,’’ which are provisional in that more accurate observations

7
In this regard, see Newton’s fourth rule of reasoning, and ‘‘Query 31.’’ For a general view, see Koyré
(1965, ch. 7).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 421

subsequently evidence a number of anomalies. Initially, the reaction to incoherent events


induces a proliferation of ‘‘wheels,’’ creating a cumbersome theoretical mechanism. Only
later does there emerge a new principle that permits a simpler and more efficient
operation of the machine. The consequence is that a new mental chain, which connects
‘‘discordant phenomena,’’ does not derive from the original analysis-synthesis process
that has produced an inefficient machine-theory. By contrast, the new synthesis (realized
by a new connecting principle) reorganizes the material of the previous analytic and
observational activity. Consequently, it is not the logical extension of the previous
process, but a new one, which makes it possible to deduce new properties of the observed
world. Science is thus characterized by a sequence of analytic and synthetic processes
that can exhibit strong divergences in their results.
All this leads to interpretation of Newton’s method in light of the fourth rule of
reasoning as a process of ‘‘successive approximations’’ by means of which laws
(including the law of gravity) are continuously refined (cf. G.E. Smith 2002).
According to L. Montes (2008), with reference to E. Schliesser (2005), Smith’s
Newtonianism adopts this ‘‘open-ended’’ method. Yet, this process seems conceived
more to provide successive improvements of the theory (as in Newton’s case) than to
adopt radically divergent paradigms. By contrast, the emergence of different
principles is what characterizes HA.8
Finally, it is precisely the Newtonian logic, translated to a temporal dimension,
that introduces a certain innovative perspective. This latter, when applied to theories,
shows a capacity to unify and explain an increasing variety of phenomena by means
of progressively simpler connecting principles.9 The complexity of the explanatory
‘‘machine’’ corresponds to the complexity of the world, whereas the ‘‘machine’’
reflecting epistemological complexity is opposed to the ‘‘machine’’ reflecting
intricateness (and a poor explanatory capacity).
In this way, by means of the metaphor of a machine that changes and improves
over time,10 two domains—theories and languages—are linked together. A third one
is political economy, although the search for principles traversed Smith’s entire work,
from the TMS (VII.ii.2) to Lectures on Jurisprudence (Smith 1978a and 1978b;
henceforth, LJ[A] and LJ[B]).11
Some additional remarks, however, are required in order to clarify Smith’s vision
in connection with Newton’s influence. In particular:

8
Schliesser’s analysis (2005, p. 706), assuming Kuhn’s perspective (in general, and with respect to
Smith’s ‘‘Ancient Logics’’), stresses this point by referring to the notion of ‘‘incommensurability,’’ which
hampers finding ‘‘a common measure between two competing theories.’’
9
Newtonian method ‘‘gives us a pleasure to see the phaenomena which we reckoned the most
unaccountable all deduced from some principle (commonly a wellknown one) and all united in one
chain’’ (Smith 1983a, ii.134, p. 146; emphasis added).
10
This makes the difference with respect to images of a machine conceived in the static sense. The most
famous was probably that of a clock used to represent the universe as an idealization of a perfect, divine,
mechanism. For a detailed historical analysis, see Mayr (1986).
11
According to Campbell (1971, p. 31), in the TMS, Smith applies the Newtonian method based on the
‘‘principle’’ of sympathy. Also to be noted is that the first statement of LJ(B) is: ‘‘Jurisprudence is that
science which inquires into the general principles which ought to be the foundation of the laws of all
nations’’ (I, p. 397). Finally, the term ‘principle’ is so pervasive that it even appears in the title of Smith’s
work The Principles which Lead and Direct Philosophical Enquires, in which HA and History of Ancient
Physics are included.
422 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

1) Theories are ‘‘imaginary machines.’’12 The relation between them and external
reality is not based on the discovery of final truth but on a distinctive dynamic
between our perception of reality and the world out there. Newton’s certainty
concerning the capacity of his theory to describe outer reality in linear manner
(as far as is possible to man)13 is not to be found in this perspective.
2) In the HA, Smith reconstructs his ‘‘history’’ on the basis of Newton’s notion
of ‘‘principle,’’ and he shows that, from antiquity to his age, what great phi-
losophers had in common was the search for principles, which was conducted
with different degrees of success. Conversely, Newton cannot be seen as the
inventor of the approach based on principles in that—with many imperfec-
tions—it had been used by a number of his predecessors. Rather, his theory is
the best example of the application of this method.
3) Smith wrote both a history of languages and a history of astronomy (to which
the histories of ‘‘ancient physics’’ and of ‘‘ancient logics and metaphysics’’
should be added), and history played a special role in his political economy as
well. But history is precisely what is lacking in Newton’s physics, and this fact
directs attention to the use of Newton’s view within an historical dimension,
observing the consequences of this theoretical operation.

Moreover, it should be pointed out that Smith followed Newton in considering


principles to be instruments that introduce simplicity into explanation. But he also
delineated the process that progressively produces simpler principles over time. As
a consequence, principles are history-dependent, and their simplicity emerges at two
levels: one concerns their simplification in the course of time; the other concerns the
capacity of principles as such to simplify explanation.
Therefore, in the next section, I shall try to clarify how political economy is
a science in which both Newtonian and non-Newtonian arguments are used, and how
this gives rise to a distinctive vision of the social world.

V. PRINCIPLES AND HUMAN NATURE IN THE REALM OF


POLITICAL ECONOMY: THE DIVISION OF LABOR

Smith described principles as tools able to explain a variety of empirical phenomena


in his political economy as well, and especially (but not uniquely) in the two first

12
Smith declares that theories are ‘‘imaginary machines’’: that is, mental constructs able to connect
phenomena and that, according to Lindgren (1973), are influenced by habit and custom. This perspective
has been labeled the ‘‘anti-realistic’’ approach in the literature (cf. Berry 2006, p. 122), and it reminds us
that, according to Smith, philosophy (i.e., science) ‘‘may be regarded as one of those arts which address
themselves to the imagination.’’ He therefore examines the history of ‘‘systems of nature’’ ‘‘without
regarding their absurdity or probability, their agreement or inconsistency with truth and reality,’’ and
considering only how they were ‘‘fitted to sooth the imagination’’ in order to render the ‘‘theatre of
nature’’ coherent (HA, II.12).
13
Only God knows everything, so that in ‘‘General Scholium’’ Newton points out: ‘‘Hitherto we have
explained the phenomena of the heavens and of our sea by the power of gravity, but have not yet assigned
the cause of this power . . . I have not been able to discover the cause of those properties of gravity from
phenomena, and I frame no hypotheses’’ (Newton 1687, pp. 546–547). See also ‘‘Query 31.’’
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 423

books of the WN. His reference to these theoretical devices is often joined to both
observations, by means of which he shows how principles work, and their historical
dimension. This perspective introduces some novelties in regard to Newton’s method,
because observations are not experiments, mathematics is not used, and the historical
dimension does not characterize Newton’s physics, given that nature and its laws do
not depend on history, and the future is generally predictable.
Analysis of the division of labor enables examination of this perspective.
1) The division of labor, to which the first chapter of the WN is devoted, is the
cause of increased labor productivity. Indeed, the division of labor is not an
original human inclination, in that it derives from a deeper ‘‘principle’’ (LJ[B],
p. 492): ‘‘a certain propensity in human nature . . . to truck, barter, and
exchange,’’ which, in turn, is probably ‘‘the necessary consequence of the
faculties of reason and speech’’ (WN, I.ii.1; cf. LJ[A], p. 352). In short, we
must refer to the division of labor as a derived principle, rather than as the
original one, in order to understand certain fundamental characteristics of an
economic system. This modifies the Newtonian assumption that one must, as
far as possible, start from no further reducible principia when explaining
phenomena. More precisely, the propensity to ‘‘truck, barter, and exchange’’
(or, more profoundly, the faculties of reason and speech) is comparable to the
law of gravity. Both in Newton and in Smith, these latter are not the ultimate
principles of reality (see here note 13, and Cremaschi 1989, p. 84); nonetheless,
the law of gravity is the main ‘‘cause’’ (or ‘‘general conclusion’’) from which
we deduce a number of phenomena within the limits of our knowledge, and
a similar role should be ascribed to the propensity to truck and barter. By
contrast, not this latter propensity but the division of labor is assumed as the
basic category for economic discourse.14

This procedure can be generally viewed as a normal adaptation of Newtonian concepts


into forms useful for economics (see Cohen 1994, p. 66; Redman 1993, p. 221), which, if
observed more in detail, can reveal important details of Smith’s method.
2) Although the division of labor arises from basic elements of human nature, it does
not connote the entire history of mankind, and its appearance takes different
historical forms. In fact, the initial phases of the ‘‘rude state of society’’ involved
no division of labor (WN, II, Intr. 1), and when it was introduced, it contributed to
determining diverse configurations of societies. It was limitedly present in a ‘‘tribe
of hunters or shepherds’’ (WN, I.ii.3), and increased progressively in agriculture
and commerce (WN, V.i.1–15), although, Smith says, agriculture does not admit
a large division of labor. In addition, as book III of the WN shows, in modern
Western history from the fall of the Roman Empire to Smith’s age, specific
institutions had modified the ‘‘natural’’ division of labor between town and
country (WN, III.i), while the history of the North American colonies was

14
Schliesser (2011) remarks that, in Smith’s view, human nature is a collection of human propensities and
that these latter ‘‘can either be bedrock parts of human nature (e.g., reason, speech) or the (necessary)
consequence of such bedrock human nature.’’ He calls the former ‘‘original propensities’’ and the latter
(as the inclination to barter and truck) ‘‘derived propensities’’ (p. 16).
424 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

completely different because they constituted the best approximation to that


natural (ideal) order (WN, III.iv.19; IV.vii.b).

Moreover, the accumulation of capital precedes the division of labor (WN, II. Intr.).
Since accumulation is an historical event, neither the division of labor nor the orig-
inal principle from which it derives (i.e., the propensity to exchange) occur as
a simple manifestation of human nature in ‘‘all times and places,’’ but in conse-
quence of specific (empirical-historical) conditions that permit (or do not permit)
their emergence.
In short, the manifestation of the division of labor is history-dependent; it assumes
a number of forms depending on contingencies; and in certain circumstances it
cannot be realized.
3) The division of labor is not ‘‘the effect of any human wisdom, which foresees
and intends that general opulence to which it gives occasion’’ (WN, I.ii.1). This
is—in the WN—the first important statement relative to the view that behaviors,
even when performed by wise and far-seeing human beings, produce un-
intended outcomes; i.e., they engender ‘‘invisible hand’’ effects. If this is so,
the unintended consequences of the division of labor cannot be deduced from
the original ‘‘inclination’’ to truck; instead, they depend on a number of
circumstances that involve contingencies, history, and complex relations
between human institutions and human natural inclinations (see below). Given
these premises, economic science is not stricto sensu a predictive science (like
Newton’s physics).15 It assumes that some natural inclinations influence the
course of human affairs, but the former do not determine the latter, step by step,
because they are often contrasted by other forces. Human myopia and
contingencies (the general propensity to better human conditions notwithstand-
ing) introduce ‘‘invisible hand’’ effects and complexity in the market society,
and both reduce confidence in a predictive science. Science can enunciate only
a general rule to explain the market self-organization.
4) The division of labor (and not the natural principle from which it derives)
assumes the role of a ‘‘connecting principle’’ explaining the increased
productivity (and wealth) in both the factory (technical division of labor) and
the market (social division of labor among professions). Yet, the technical
division of labor depends on the plans of capital owners, while the coordinated
extension of the social division of labor in the market is unplanned and
unforeseeable. Thus, competition appears as a fundamental part of the self-
organizing properties of the market.
5) Smith maintains that the extent of the division of labor depends on ‘‘the power
of exchanging that gives occasion to the division of labour.’’ He therefore
seems to identify ‘‘the power of exchanging’’ with the original propensity to
truck, and to view it as the source of an hypothetical limit on exchanges, since
the ‘‘extent of this division must always be limited by the extent of that power’’
(WN, I.iii.1). Nonetheless, he immediately adds that this limitation refers to
‘‘the extent of the market’’ (WN, I.iii.1). The problem is a rather subtle one,

15
See here note 1.
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 425

since the latter sentence seems to reverse the causal relation implied by the
former: is it the power of truck and exchanging that determines the diffusion
of the division of labor, progressively enlarging the market; or is it the extent
of the market that determines the diffusion of the division of labor? Yet,
Smith’s thought is clear: the original principles do not explain the phenomenon
analyzed; by contrast, it is the empirical event (the extent of the market) that
explains how the division of labor is more or less extensive. This is evident
when he states: ‘‘When the market is very small, no person can have any
encouragement to dedicate himself entirely to one employment’’ (WN, I.iii.1).
As a consequence, the extent of the market is the cause that determines the
limited extent of the division of labor, and not vice versa. Once again (see point
2, supra), empirical circumstances seem fundamental, with respect to an
original principle, in explaining certain market phenomena.

In conclusion, on the one hand, Smith adopts the Newtonian method based on
principles; on the other, he attributes a new function to principles. In the case in point,
the ‘‘original principle’’ of truck, which could be compared to the law of gravity, is
not used to directly deduce and unify a number of (economic) phenomena. This task
is instead left to the notion of the division of labor, which is not an original principle
and requires further concepts to explain self-organization in the market. In some
cases, Smith even considers certain empirical and historical events (the extent of the
market, for example) to be the causes of the diffusion of the division of labor, and he
marginalizes the role of natural inclinations. Whereas, in physics, gravity makes it
possible to deduce the motion of planets, comets, and bodies on the earth, in
economics, when explaining the motion of societies, we do not necessarily refer to
gravity’s counterpart (the propensity to truck and barter); rather, we consider notions
such as the division of labor and competition.

VI. PRICES AND PRINCIPLES

Principles are heuristic devices in many other important fields of Smith’s economic
inquiry. Indeed, before dealing with prices, Smith delineated his project ‘‘to investigate
the principles which regulate the exchangeable value of commodities’’ in order to
explain i) the ‘‘real measure’’ of value, ii) the different composition of price, and iii) the
differences between market and natural prices (WN, I.iv, 14–17). Principles are also
fundamental for determining the real origin of revenue and for identifying the
corresponding ‘‘orders’’ of society: ‘‘Wages, profit, and rent are the three original
sources of all revenue as well as of all exchangeable value. All other revenue is
ultimately derived from some one or other of these’’ (WN, I.vi.17; emphasis added).
From this perspective, history matters, because in the ‘‘early and rude state of society,’’
goods were exchanged according to the rule of the labor time necessary to produce each
of them; therefore, only labor is the source of income (WN, I.vi.1–5). When capital
accumulation and the private ownership of land appeared, the components of price
became three. Although the historical account is very general and ‘‘conjectural,’’ the
basic idea is that the fundamental (and not reducible) principles that determine every
income change from the ‘‘rude’’ to the ‘‘advanced’’ state of society.
426 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

Another example is the notion of the ‘‘interest of money,’’ which is never an


autonomous income because it is ‘‘always a derivative revenue, which, if it is not paid
from the profit which is made by the use of the money, must be paid from some other
sources of revenue’’ (WN, I.vi.18). Empirical considerations somehow re-emerge, in
that political economy cannot duplicate the perfect mechanism of Newton’s physics
to find a unique, universal, principle. Hence, in modern societies, we find not just one
but three sources of income, which are not reducible to each other. In fact, profits and
wages ‘‘are regulated by quite different principles’’ (WN, I.vi.), and rent is ‘‘the price
paid for the use of the land,’’ which ‘‘enters into the composition of the price of
commodities in a different way from wages and profit. High or low wages and profit,
are the causes of high or low price; high or low rent is the effect of it’’ (WN, I.xi.1–8).
Also, the difference between natural and market prices shows a distinctive use of
Newton’s concept of ‘‘principle.’’ It is well known that, according to Smith, the natural
price ‘‘is, as it were, the central price, to which the prices of all commodities are
continually gravitating’’; it is the ‘‘center of repose and continuance’’ to which market
prices ‘‘constantly’’ tend (WN, I.vii.15). I. Bernard Cohen (1994, pp. 65–68) remarked
that economics is not a clone of physics, and that Smith reasonably adapted Newtonian
concepts to the economic realm, although this was an ‘‘imperfect replication.’’16 In fact,
a close application of the law of gravity would have implied that, just as every physical
body must gravitate towards all the bodies of a system, so the natural price should
gravitate towards all the other prices. Given these considerations, two points ensue.
a) It is at the level of market prices that competition comes about (WN, I.vii.1–15).
This involves a peculiar dynamic of the market society, which renders its future
configurations unforeseeable. Some scholars maintain that Smith’s approach
describes a disequilibrium prices system (for example, Foley 2003, p. 4), since
market prices proceed towards natural prices, but never coincide with them. In
turn, natural prices change over time (see point [b] below); consequently, there is
more a move towards equilibrium than a stable one. Also, competition is an end-
less process: it gives shape to market society, whose order can be observed ex post
but never defined in advance; hence, only general tendencies can be described.
b) Although natural prices are conceived as ‘‘center[s] of repose,’’ they change in
the course of time according to ‘‘their advancing, stationary, or declining
condition’’ (WN, I.vii.1). History necessarily enters the scene; and this is probably
the most important condition for understanding why Smith’s political economy
involves a certain view of complexity that cannot be ascribed to Newton’s
influence.

VII. HISTORY MATTERS

Smith points out two ‘‘principles’’ of human nature opposed each other: one is ‘‘the
passion for present enjoyment’’; the other is ‘‘the desire of bettering our condition,’’

16
‘‘I believe that Smith’s imperfect replication of the concept of the Newtonian force of gravity has been
adequately justified by the worth of his system of economics’’ (Cohen 1994, p. 67).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 427

and they respectively prompt us to consume and to save (WN, II.iii.28). This produces
the contrast between prodigality (which dissipates wealth) and parsimony (or frugality)
that is essential for understanding economic growth, since ‘‘Parsimony, and not
industry, is the immediate cause of the increase of capital’’ (WN, II.iii.16), and it
seems largely to predominate in the greater part of men (WN, II.iii.28). The prevalence
of this inclination enables public and private wealth to increase, and it ‘‘is frequently
powerful enough to maintain the natural progress of things toward improvement, in
spite both the extravagance of government, and of the greatest errors of administration’’
(WN, II.iii.31). Given this situation, we can infer that:
1) human nature is not the precise counterpart of physical nature: both of them
exhibit coherent, uniform, and constant principles, but in the former, with
respect to the latter, these principles are sometimes conflictual17; and
2) man’s propensity to ‘‘better his condition’’ prevails over prodigality, and
explains the general tendency to move towards ‘‘the natural progress of things’’
(since it yields capital for productive investments); yet, as the history of
Western societies shows, this happens in complex ways. Therefore, we can
delineate only a general framework of the future world.

Book III of the WN is a good example of how real history matters in determining
unpredictable configurations of the market society, sometimes reversing the ‘‘natural
order of things’’ despite the natural (prevalent) inclination to improve mankind’s
condition.
The relation between town and country, from the decline of the Roman Empire to
Smith’s age, confirms this view. The ‘‘natural course’’ implies that, firstly, ‘‘the
greater part of the capital of every growing society is, first, directed to agriculture,
afterwards to manufactures, and last of all to foreign commerce’’ (WN, III.i.8), and,
secondly, that the development of the countryside constitutes an incentive for the
growth of towns. By contrast, in Western history, the development of the countryside
was discouraged because the need for protection in ‘‘those disorderly times’’
following the fall of the Roman Empire induced the use of land as the means to
acquire ‘‘power and protection’’ (instead of a means to acquire ‘‘subsistence’’), where
a ‘‘great landlord was a sort of petty prince’’ who provided protection to people, and
his ‘‘tenants were his subjects’’ (WN, III.ii.3). The ‘‘law of primogeniture’’ and
‘‘entails,’’ as institutions allowing land to be maintained undivided, reinforced the use
of land as a means of power instead of a productive resource, and influenced
European societies for centuries. By contrast, the inhabitants of the towns soon
achieved economic development, and ‘‘arrived at liberty and independency much
earlier than the occupiers of land in the country’’ (WN, III.iii.3). Wealth was ac-
cumulated in the towns, and it increased the demand for ‘‘conveniencies and
elegancies of life.’’ In short, foreign trade developed in an anomalous way, inverting
the ‘‘natural order of things,’’ according to which this kind of commerce would have
been the last sector to increase after agriculture and manufacture, and in consequence
of their exchange relations (for example, when the domestic market was unable to
absorb surplus goods). In Smith’s words:

17
Although fundamental, it is not possible here to examine how these topics are treated in the TMS.
428 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

this natural order of things . . . has, in all the modern states of Europe, been, in many
respects, entirely inverted. The foreign commerce of some of their cities has
introduced all their finer manufactures, or such as were fit for distant sale; and
manufactures and foreign commerce together, have given birth to the principal
improvements of agriculture (WN, III.i.9).
Given these premises, two points follow:
1) History matters. The ‘‘natural course of things’’ may be completely reversed,
and this may condition civilization for many centuries. Certainly, the tendency
to re-equilibrate (and to improve the individual condition) is at work, so that, in
this case, the country finally develops. Yet, it is difficult to think that the
outcomes of the two possible courses of history (the ‘‘natural’’ and the
‘‘unnatural’’ ones) have been the same. Many distortions remain, and harmful
institutions continue to produce their effects in real life. In short, the natural
order, once abandoned, is never perfectly re-established because the course of
history leaves its traces. As a consequence, Smith never describes where and
when the natural order reappears. 18
2) These processes were unpredictable, as the ‘‘great revolution’’ showed. History,
contingencies, institutions, customs, habits, and preferences of economic actors
determine unforeseeable issues, although a general tendency as regards
historical processes can be observed. In the human realm, ‘‘natural’’ tendencies
and ‘‘unnatural’’ processes often work at the same time, and all this modifies
the Newtonian perspective in human sciences.

VIII. INSTITUTIONS AND ‘‘INVISIBLE HAND’’

Smith often cites institutions as responsible for the slow or inverted ‘‘natural course
of things.’’ They are the result of the myopic human reason, and of moral pro-
pensities, and in certain conditions they acquire some sort of independent structure
(with respect to individuals) that persists over time. As a consequence, this is an-
other perspective from which to examine how natural inclinations cannot impede
the accomplishment of an ‘‘unnatural’’ ‘‘course of things.’’ Smith points out that the
lack of ‘‘perfect liberty’’ in Europe has caused inequalities of different kinds
(WN, I.x.a), and, in the third book of the WN, he describes their political and insti-
tutional origins.
Institutions are human devices that can exhibit a kind of autonomous life owing to
the limited human capacity for both rationality and prevision. At the beginning, in
some circumstances, they can be consistent with reason; in others, they cannot. The

18
According to Evensky (2007, p. 17), Smith ‘‘offers an analysis of the course of recorded history
explaining why the unnatural twists, turns, stagnations, and declines of societies do not represent
violations of his general principles but, rather reflect peculiar distortions of those principles caused by
human frailty.’’ In this sense, Smith’s ‘‘conjectural’’ and ‘‘narrative’’ histories are consistent. In my view,
there is coherence between them (at least in Smith’s intention), yet the two histories cannot be completely
overlapped: history follows a ‘‘design’’ and certain principles, but a number of empirical events and
conflicting tendencies influence its direction (see sect. VIII).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 429

law of primogeniture and entails were not ‘‘unreasonable,’’ because great proprietors,
by keeping land undivided, were able to assure protection to their ‘‘tenants,’’ since
individuals were not able to survive isolated and undefended (WN, III.ii.6). By
contrast, laws and institutions derived, for example, from the arguments of
mercantilist doctrine were unreasonable, and their permanence—generally consid-
ered ‘‘absurd’’ and harmful—can be explained by showing how the interests of some
social groups influenced their duration (like those of corporations or of the East India
Company). Yet, in many cases, institutions are described as inertial structures, which
survive even though their original function has ceased: ‘‘Laws frequently continue in
force long after the circumstances, which first gave occasion to them, and which
could alone render them reasonable, are no more’’ (WN, III.ii.4). And their inertial
character depends on habits and customs arising from those original institutions,
which survived after these latter were ‘‘greatly altered,’’ leading the course of history
towards an ‘‘unnatural and retrograde order’’ (WN, III.i.9). Smith points out that the
‘‘order of things’’ is usually promoted by the ‘‘natural inclinations of man.’’
Nonetheless, institutions often do not mirror such propensities: ‘‘If human institutions
had never thwarted those natural inclinations, the towns could no-where have
increased beyond what the improvement and cultivation of the territory in which
they were situate could support’’ (WN, III.i.3).19
In short, human institutions ‘‘disturbed the natural course of things’’ (WN, III.i.4),
often worked against it, and their autonomy defined a specific configuration of
society at each point of time. The case of ‘‘law of primogeniture’’ and of ‘‘entails’’ is
interesting in that the autonomy of institutions is not determined by the permanence
of self-interest of social groups able to influence laws (like those of merchants, who
tried to condition policies in the mercantilist sense). By contrast, those medieval
institutions survived, even though they soon became ‘‘unreasonable,’’ and were
largely but not definitively removed by means of a ‘‘slow and uncertain’’ historical
process that allowed landlords to spend their revenue on consumer goods. Smith does
not provide a precise theory as regards these events; rather, he shows how history and
contingencies slowly changed institutional structures by gradually introducing market
relations between country and town.20
Institutions as autonomous structures conditioning human life and imposing their
own rationality on individuals, instead of being manageable tools of man’s intention-
ality, produce an ‘‘invisible hand’’ effect: reasonable institutions are engendered by
men, yet their gradual change (or their inertial duration) produces unintended out-
comes, and—to use Adam Ferguson’s words—they appear to be ‘‘the result of human
action but not the execution of any human design’’ (Ferguson [1767] 1969, p. 250).
From this perspective, legal institutions (not only the market) are connoted as

19
Rosenberg (1960) maintains that Smith’s inquiry is characterized by the attempt to define the
‘‘appropriate institutional framework’’ able to harmonize selfish individual and social interests, since
he was aware that some legal structures impeded economic progress in Europe. Samuels (1977) accepts
this view and points out that, according to Smith, the market does not work optimally. It depends on
institutions and other forces of social control; yet, the unintended outcomes of the market sometimes
conflict with legal and moral rules, causing tensions between these domains.
20
For example, Smith simply points out the gradual transformation, so that he maintains: ‘‘To the slave
cultivators of antient times gradually succeeded [the] Metayers’’ (WN, III.ii.11), and subsequently to them
‘‘succeeded, though by very slow degrees, farmers properly so called’’ (WN, III.ii.14).
430 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

self-sustaining systems, unintentionally adapted (or survived) to new situations that


exhibit a self-organizing capacity that extends beyond agents’ rationality. On the other
hand, Smith sometimes considers the autonomy of certain institutions to be among the
causes of that unnatural ‘‘order of things’’ that culminates in the absence of ‘‘perfect
liberty’’ in Europe (WN, I.x.a.2). If we consider the course of civilization from the
natural/conjectural perspective, some institutional structures, owing to their autonomous
mechanisms, are certainly ‘‘the result of human action,’’ but, at the same time, they
work against civilization, in that they reduce both the liberty and the social capacity to
produce increasing wealth, although nature provides some re-equilibrating mechanisms
in the long run. Individuals operate and contribute to the change in institutions, but
these latter in their turn are, in many respects, independent from agents. Moreover, they
condition their behaviors, and are regulated by autonomous rules.
From this perspective, the ‘‘invisible hand’’ involves both the market and legal
institutions, and its action within these two domains is often connoted by conflicts.21
In other words, the tensions between these realms evidence that the same mechanism
that produces ‘‘unintended outcomes’’ can exhibit opposite tendencies: on the one
hand, the ‘‘invisible hand’’ (described in the WN) works to establish an unintentional
order consistent with individual and public welfare; on the other hand, certain
institutions determine an unintended result culminating in the state of ‘‘im-perfect
liberty’’; that is, an order far from the ‘‘natural course of things.’’22 Therefore, some
(inertial and harmful) institutions act against the unintentional effort of individuals to
improve general wealth, and the action of these contrasting forces contributes to
determining unforeseen (and unintentional) results.
In the ideal world of the natural order, market and institutional forces are aligned.
Consequently, the ‘‘natural order’’ seems to constitute a benchmark with which to
evaluate the approximation (or the distance) of the real and ‘‘unnatural’’ from this
reference point. From this perspective, the North American colonies represented the
best approximation to the natural order, while the European countries, to varying
extents, were more distant from that benchmark.23 In particular, the British institutional
system, although it ‘‘retarded the natural progress . . . has maintained the progress of
England towards opulence,’’ because law protected the ‘‘effort to better [individual’s]
condition’’ and ‘‘allowed by liberty to exert’’ it (WN, II.iii.36). A greater distance from
the ideal model is exhibited by Spain and Portugal, where the ‘‘bad policy is not . . .
counter-balanced by the general liberty and security’’ (WN, IV.v.b.45). What character-
izes the contrasting tendencies (which push towards either the natural or the unnatural

21
Otteson (2002) maintains that the idea of unintended outcomes is an organizing principle that connects
Languages, TMS, and WN. The pervasiveness of a set of ideas (like coordination, unintended outcomes,
etc.) related to the notion of the invisible hand is dealt with in Fiori (2001, 2002). For a different
interpretation, which considers Smith’s invisible hand as an ironic expression, see Rothschild (2001, ch. 5)
22
According to Smith, in his age, the market system and the related, coherent, institutional framework
was not definitely established. In fact, nowhere in Europe did policies leave ‘‘things at perfect liberty’’
(WN, I.x.a.2), and ‘‘Entails . . . are still respected through the greater part of Europe’’ (WN, III.ii.6).
23
The North American colonies followed the ideal prescription of the natural order to invest first in
agriculture (WN, III.i.5). Moreover, the ‘‘Good land’’ of the English colonies was ‘‘inferior to those of the
Spaniards and Portugueze,’’ therefore their success depended on their ‘‘political institutions [which] have
been more favourable to the improvement and cultivation’’ than other colonies (WN, IV.vii.b.17).
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 431

order) is that 1) they exhibit different strengths in space and time; and 2) they determine
the configuration of socio-economic systems.
Finally, the opposition between these tendencies impedes prediction of precisely
which kind of social and economic configuration will emerge.
Contrary to the idea of an economic and social science based on predictive powers,
Smith delineates a discipline in which the future is open, and scientists can predict
only very general tendencies grounded on the human inclination to better man’s
condition among contrasting forces. The great ‘‘revolution’’ that definitively ratified
the passage to the market society occurred without ‘‘the least intention’’ of the social
classes involved (WN, III.iv.17).24 This incapacity to foresee is shared by both social
actors and scientists, where the former are characterized by structural myopia, and the
latter by a constant search for ‘‘connecting principles’’ in order to overcome scant
human far-sightedness.
The TMS explicitly treats the weakness of reason (TMS, II.i.5.10): ‘‘The natural
course of things cannot be entirely controlled by the impotent endeavours of man’’
(TMS, III.5.10), where this course does not often follow the most ‘‘natural’’ way.
History and contingencies deviate this latter from its ideal path, the one described
by a ‘‘conjectural’’ approach. Nature does not direct human behaviors by means of
prescriptions; rather, it exploits a more subtle and indirect device based on a kind of
esthetic consideration, since wealth is not perceived for its concrete benefits but ‘‘as
something grand and beautiful and noble,’’ so that ‘‘nature imposes upon us in this
manner [and] It is this deception which rouses and keeps in continual motion the
industry of mankind’’ (TMS, IV.I.10).
By contrast, according to Smith, a prescriptive interpretation of nature was put
forward by Quesnay, who maintained that the market systems can survive only within
a unique equilibrium, while ‘‘the wisdom of nature has fortunately made ample
provision for remedying many of the bad effects of the folly and injustice of man’’
(WN, IV.ix.28). Nature, represented by means of a biological comparison between
humans and the ‘‘political body’’ (and not by means of a model inspired by physics),
does not intervene deterministically to re-establish ‘‘the natural progress of a nation
towards wealth and prosperity’’ according to precise laws.
Moreover, not always can nature spontaneously re-establish the lost order, and man
must intervene. For example, restoring the free importation of foreign goods, when this
commerce has been prohibited for long time, could provoke high unemployment in
those branches of industry artificially expanded by mercantilist policy. In this case,
a correct response should be human intervention characterized ‘‘by slow gradations,
and with a good deal of reserve and circumspection’’ (WN, IV.ii.40). Similarly, ‘‘To
open the colony trade all at once to all nations’’ might produce ‘‘permanent losses’’ of
capital investments in the sectors of industry involved; therefore these ‘‘ought gradually
to be opened,’’ but ‘‘in what manner the natural system of perfect liberty and justice
ought to be restored, we must leave to the wisdom of future statesmen and legislators
to determine’’ (WN, IV.vii.c.44). In addition, some basic human inclinations must be
moderated. For example, pride induces the ‘‘love to domineer,’’ which prompts the

24
A similar gap between original intention and actual outcomes connoted the conquest of colonies (WN,
IV.vii.b.21).
432 JOURNAL OF THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT

imposition of slavery where it is possible (WN, III.ii.10), although productive activities


realized by means of slaves are less efficient than those accomplished by free, self-
interested, men. In this sense, a basic propensity, like the love of domination, works
against other inclinations coherent with a ‘‘natural’’ course, the one able to induce
increasing wealth.
In short, the ‘‘natural’’ and institutional orders (including laws, and political
systems) continuously interact and interfere with each other. The former corrects
human ‘‘follies,’’ mainly in the long run. Nonetheless, human reason can intervene
when the self-adjusting mechanism of nature cannot be activated.

IX. CONCLUSIONS

The aim of this paper has been to show that Smith, in many fields of his work,
produced a theory in some sense non-Newtonian, although he sought to apply
Newton’s method in many circumstances. At first glance, this conclusion appears to
be the consequence of many events: 1) the shift of the notion of ‘‘principle’’ (and of
the related analytic-synthetic approach) from physics to the human sciences; 2)
the inclusion of (Scottish and Smith’s) Newtonianism within complex traditions
of thought, which gave it a distinctive configuration; and 3) the influence of
Montesquieu and of authors who dealt with the organization of organisms. The latter
allowed Smith to use biological models to describe social changes, and the relation
between natural and unnatural orders of society. More specifically, Smith, in
Languages, HA, and WN, always treated subjects in which history and contingencies
matter, and where the human realm appears much more ambivalent and conflicting
than the physical world.
The first part of the article has described how the analytic-synthetic method was
essentially utilized to point out processes of re-description of the world, rather than to
describe its intrinsic truth, establishing a reciprocal—complex—influence between
concreteness and abstractness.
The second part of the article has examined some concepts in Smith’s economic
analysis in light of the Newtonian approach. In particular, the division of labor,
although it is not an ‘‘original’’ (but a derived) principle, is used to explain (or
deduce) a number of economic phenomena. Yet, it cannot be understood without
reference to history and contingencies, which, in turn, must be considered in order to
explain when and how the division of labor works. More specifically, the (technical
and social) division of labor permits the market to expand, generating increasing
returns; yet, the extent of the market (as an empirical fact) determines the extent of
the division of labor. Once again, a reciprocal influence is established between
principles and empirical events.
From this perspective, history matters. In fact, the ‘‘inverted’’ history of Europe
shows the extent to which contingencies and empirical circumstances have imposed
their influence on the ‘‘natural’’ course of events, whereas the latter is a process
coherent with original propensities that should govern human behavior. In particular,
institutions play an important role in determining the ‘‘unnatural’’ ‘‘course of things.’’
Their structure, relatively autonomous from the agent’s intentionality and plans,
is—so to speak—the other side of the invisible hand, since, given their inertia, their
ADAM SMITH ON METHOD 433

action over time is unpredictable and sometimes conflicts with the rationality of the
market, which, in its turn, is another institutional framework in which the invisible
hand mechanism works.
Finally, for Newton, nature is fundamentally predictable, since it is always the
same in every time and place. For Smith, this means that Newton’s physics is
characterized by a high degree of precision, while the science of society is not. In the
social and economic domain, the future is not predictable: laws of (human) nature can
produce unexpected effects if specific circumstances intervene to reverse the ‘‘natural
course of things.’’ The confidence in certain principles (by means of which the system
works) remains, but within an open universe, whose dynamics engender unpredict-
able outcomes (i.e., the heterogenesis of ends), and whose configurations are
unknown in advance, as in the market, whose rationality emerges as a property of
the system distinguished by the limited rationality of a number of agents operating
within that framework.

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