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Real estate research trends and most impact real estate journals: a co-citation
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Real estate research trends and most impact real


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Thi Kim Nguyen, Cheng-Po Lai, Hoai Vu Phan & Muhammad Najib Razali

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PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL
https://doi.org/10.1080/14445921.2021.1964196

Real estate research trends and most impact real estate


journals: a co-citation analysis
Thi Kim Nguyen a
, Cheng-Po Laib, Hoai Vu Phanc and Muhammad Najib Razali d

a
Hoa Sen University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam; bNanhua University, Dalin, Taiwan; cNanhua University And
Ton Duc Thang University; dUniversiti Teknologi Malaysia

ABSTRACT ARTICLE HISTORY


This paper identifies the main trends in real estate research on Received 26 August 2020
frequently cited documents on the Web of Science database for Accepted 2 August 2021
1990–2019, using quantitative methods in document-citation ana- KEYWORDS
lysis. From the co-citation among the most cited 44 documents, this Citation analysis; factor
research presents a two-dimension visual mapping structure of real analysis; impact real estate
estate research and its important fields globally. Using statistical journal; real estate research
analyses including (1) correlation analysis, (2) factor analysis, (3) trend
multi-dimensional scaling, this study identifies nine research trends
on reducing significance order: (1) performance and investment
features of property, (2) house price – household income, consump-
tion, and investment, (3) house price setting, (4) amenity in prop-
erty valuation, (5) green factor in the property market, (6) housing
discrimination and segregation, (7) urban development, (8) model-
ling for real estate subsector and (9) urban transformation in cities
of China. A further two clusters are formed as housing and invest-
ment property with factors surrounding the two. The top five rank-
ing journals from the cited papers are presented. Findings of the
study contribute to providing insights on the multidisciplinary
structure of real estate research using quantitative method of bib-
liometric technique. This is believed to be the first study presenting
comprehensive aspects of real estate research using co-citation
analysis.

1. Introduction and motivation


Property and real estate play an important role in many areas of daily life, investment,
and research. Property disciplines have gained significant interest from academics, with
their topics catching up interest in investment for the professional community, and
diversified facets of the ordinary community. Property and real estate have developed
in various sectors including residential, commercial, industrial, and health care, in the
forms of private and securities. It can also be seen in the form of infrastructure and urban
development. Together with the broad area of property and real estate, it is necessary to
review the systematic research areas of property and real estate.
To understand the epistemology and knowledge structure of real estate research,
analyse scholars and publication contents is quite popular. Analysing the development
in knowledge and theory on one hand provides understanding on the development of

CONTACT Thi Kim Nguyen kim.nguyenthi@hoasen.edu.vn


© Pacific Rim Real Estate Society
2 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

ideas, valid methodology used as well as its implications. On the other hand, this high-
lights the effects of academic forces and knowledge formation trends. In addition, the
analysis of epistemology can be a useful means to develop a general understanding of
how knowledge unfolds as well as its impacts on intellectual and education products of
the researched field.
An approach of a study for this kind can be on a qualitative (descriptive) or quanti-
tative basis. This analysis, in particular, is performed with bibliometric technique, to
identify the most influential documents. Through these documents, we thoroughly
understand the main knowledge in property and real estate disciplines. This kind of
analysis is also an effective approach for the “research holes” and the orientation of future
research lines. This article also aims at being a quick reference that allows new research-
ers to become familiar with this field of inquiry (Acedo & Casillas, 2005). Another name
of research trends, some researchers have referred to as research priorities, which can be
summarised in consolidating research by Newell, Worzala, McAllister, and Schulte
(2004a). The authors consolidated the separate four surveys in general and particularly
real estate research topics in U.S. (Worzala, 2002), Australia (Newell, Acheampong, &
Worzala, 2002), U.K. (Newell, McAllister, & Worzala, 2003, 2004b) and Germany
(Schulte, Newell, & Worzala, 2003). While these studies present an approach to deter-
mine research trends, in terms main research topic, it seems that there is no citation
analysis on the main trends of the real estate disciplines so far.
Together with the literature review, reference check shows the influential journals, one
of the main sources to create research agenda to become mainstream in research. In this
regard, previous studies have assessed the impact of the top real estate journals in terms
of their rankings by surveying method (Diaz, Black, & Rabianski, 1996; Gibler &
Ziobrowski, 2002; Webb & Albert, 1995), citation (Redman, Manakyan, & Tanner,
1998, 1999), and threshold citation (Hardin, Liano, & Chan, 2006). The results show
a thorough picture of high ranked journals on the general as well as international real
estate
The objectives of this study are, therefore, to explore the trends of real estate and
property research using citation analysis of articles on the Web of Science database in the
areas of real estate research by identifying the most cited documents, the formed clusters
and relationship between those documents. In particular, it aims to answer the following
research questions:
RQ 1: What are the main trends in the area of real estate research?
RQ 2: How are these trends located relatively to each other?
RQ 3: What are the journals with the most impact?
By answering these research questions, this study will provide a thorough insight into
real estate studies and their related research branches. A comparison of the results with
previous studies is also performed. This will be the first citation analysis on the real estate
research using Web of Science data.

2. Literature review
In line with the broad coverage of real estate (e.g. accommodation and residential,
commercial, retail, health care, industry, and urban development, private and public
sector), real estate research has grown to cover this broad area to understand the nature,
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 3

structure and closeness, as well as administering those areas. Research topics and further
trends are formed as the outcomes from the influenced corporate donors, current
popularity within the academic community, and gain access to highly sought-after slots
in peer-reviewed journals (Souza, 2000). He argues that the focus will shift from the
physical to the financial. While more than a decade ago, analysis was an intense
investigation in portfolio management theory in both the real estate and capital markets,
the research topics in real estate and property in the fourth technology revolution has
seen new topics such as proptech, constech in the current trend.
To analyse the areas of property and real estate research, the common approach is to
analyse the popular journals in the area of property and real estate. For individual
academicians, it is started by searching specific keywords on websites (e.g., Google
Scholar, Web of Science) or publications (eg., Emerald, Taylor and Francis groups).
The research result depicts the picture from some related documents for the area.
Some studies attempted to trace the development and evolution of the research agenda
of leading journals and real estate conferences. Adair, Crosby, Watkins, and Lim (2000)
trace the topics of the papers presented at the RICS Cutting Edge property research
conference between 1993 and 1999 to map the changing emphasis on particular research
themes. Ong, Ooi, and Wong (2001) assess 11 real estate, property and land journals in
the US and UK to categorise the research approaches as theoretical modelling, empirical
testing, case study, and descriptive evaluation. The authors claim these four categories as
content with the trends of research advocated by Souza (2000), where research consisted
of advanced theory building, system development, mathematical programming and
hypothesis testing applied directly to real estate.
Newell (2003) summarised the papers submitted to PRPRJ over 2001–02 to assess
a range of key journal quality issues. He shows that valuation was the main research topic,
covering areas such as valuation accuracy, expert valuation witnesses, valuation of
contaminated land, ethics and computer-assisted valuations. Other research areas to
figure prominently were housing, property companies/LPTs and property markets.
In determining research topics on a broader level, there are studies based on surveys in
the US, UK, Australia, Germany to summarise the research priorities in property. These
results reflex the viewpoints of the research fund managers in these advanced markets on
a global level. They are meant most priorities from the industry perspective and leant on
the practical extreme. Besides the property or real estate as a keyword, there are mixed-
asset portfolio, risk management, performance measurement, diversification (Table 1).
From a national level in Asia, Razali, Adnan, and Baharom (2009) summarise twelve
main research topics (Table 1). This shows more detailed areas of the property in
investment and market, valuation, and regulations. Overall, the historical studies show
the main research priorities according to industry communities and the main themes of
property and real estate research from academic nationally.
In terms of citation analysis, this is a branch of bibliometric analysis. Particularly, it
assesses the impact and quality of a scientific publication, an author, or an institution
based on the number of times the subject is cited. Not only an academic visual founda-
tion, but bibliometrics is also a tool to know how other researchers respond to a peer’s
work. Citation analysis comes in two levels, the physical and substance. The physical is
measured by simply counting the subject documents show up as cited. An example of this
is Dombrow and Turnbull (2004), who use citation counts to rank authors. The
4 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

Table 1. Research topics and priorities from diversified viewpoints.


12 Research areas 4 International research priorities
(Razali et al., 2009) (Newell et al., 2004a)
1. Performance measures of property 1. The role of real estate in a mixed-asset portfolio
2. Macroeconomic factors affecting property 2. Real estate and portfolio risk management
3. Diversification in valuation technique and process 3. Performance measures for real estate
4. Property investment strategies 4. Diversification within real estate portfolios
5. Portfolio management
6. Technological changes affecting property
7. Role of international real estate
8. Regulatory changes affecting property
9. Demographic changes affecting property
10. Microeconomic factors affecting property
11. Housing
12. Facilities Management
Source: Newell et al. (2004a), Razali et al. (2009).

substance assesses the quality of the relationship between the subject documents or
authors to see the intellectual patterns (Baker, 1990).
Co-citation analysis provides an insight structure of a research field on the ground that
pairs of documents appearing together in the list of references can share common points.
When two authors or papers are shown regularly together, their ideas are likely to be
related to each other (Pasadeos, Phelps, & Kim, 1998). As such this methodology is
a proven experiment tool for describing the intellectual pattern of many fields, including
education (Özçınar, 2015), marketing (Backhaus, Lügger, & Koch, 2011), operations
management (Pilkington & Meredith, 2009), information science (Zhao & Strotmann,
2008), strategic management (Nerur, Rasheed, & Natarajan, 2008), and tourism
(McKercher, 2008; Ortalo-Magne & Rady, 2006), behavioural finance (Ángeles López-
Cabarcos, Pérez-Pico, Vázquez-Rodríguez, & López-Pérez, 2019) just to name a few. It is
a common research method to analyse citations and articles in leading journals in the
same field. Nevertheless, there is no co-citation analysis in real estate to one’s knowledge,
this study is the first one to identify the main field and development in the subfields of
real estate research.
In this study, the subfield characteristics will be categorised by the intellectual nature
of their particularity. Small (1973) recommended that document co-citation analysis
(DCA) assess the network created by the paper linkage from their joint citations by later
papers. Author co-citation analysis (ACA) uses authors to create a visual network of
authors within a selected field (White & Griffith, 1981; White & McCain, 1998). Journal
co-citation (JCA) is the analysis of some selective journals in a particular field as the
analysed subject (McCain, 1991a, 1991b). The relationship of those journals is evaluated
regarding the exportation and significance of citations between them (Sugimoto, Pratt, &
Hauser, 2008). This study focuses on DCA to identify the main research core in the area
of real estate.
The document co-citation method, as perceived by the community of citing authors,
measure the closeness level between documents. Citation is a more effective symbol than
words as it indicates fellow recognitions (Small, 2003). By citing a document, significant
terms, methods, or opinions are spread across a field, its patterns work as a visualised
progress of these prime ideas (Small, 1973). Furthermore, co-citation helps recognize
coherent research issues from categorising and combining documents for their co-
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 5

reference as a formed group of highly co-cited papers (Franklin & Johnston, 1988).
Indeed, many studies have shown the co-citation method as an effective method in
exploring the intellectual progress of a field (Acedo, Barroso, & Galan, 2006; Nerur
et al., 2008; Ramos-Rodriguez & Ruiz-Navarro, 2004; Small, 1973; White & Griffith,
1981).
Co-reference patterns will progress and change with new documents constantly
shown as cited and citing a document. This will add new citations, derank the co-
citation documents and remove the old ones from the cluster. In this way, the co-
citation method can help to study these changing structures to trace the development
of a specialty. It also evaluates the degree of development and integration between the
fields (Small, 1973). As such, progressing citation structure over time may be employed to
file specialty trends (Sullivan, Koester, White, & Kern, 1980).

3. Method
This study uses Document Co-citation Analysis (DCA), which is one of the bibliometrics.
Bibliometrics refers to “the collection, the handling, and the analysis of quantitative
bibliographic data, derived from scientific publications” (Veerbek, Debackere, Luwel, &
Zimmerman, 2002). One of the most common bibliometric techniques is cocitation
analysis, a method used to examine relationships among articles or authors contributing
to the development of a research field (Di Stefano, Peteraf, & Verona, 2010). Specifically,
document co-citation analysis (DCA) studies a network of co-cited references (Small,
1973, 2003). The fundamental assumption is that co-citation clusters reveal the under-
lying intellectual structures; as such, the study of a co-citation network focuses on
interpreting the nature of a cluster of cited documents and interrelationships between
clusters (Chen, Ibekwe-SanJuan, & Hou, 2010). With this methodology, our study aims at
identifying the trends dominating the field of real estate and property research.
To assess the main trend of real estate research and their relative positions to each
other, this study uses the methodology of co-citation technique. Particularly, with
a keyword of “real estate” or “property” from the Web of Science, it shows us a list of
documents with reducing order of citation frequency. We pick the top 100 original most
cited documents. This means that they have the highest citation number which has
keywords “property” or “real estate” on the Web of Science database. It is noted that the
Web of Science is prefered over other sources as it is well-known for its collection of high
ranked publications.
From the 100 original documents, 72 documents were shortlisted after screening for
relevance, accuracy and highest citation frequency within the Web of Science database.
Further from the 72 documents, a process of narrowing our sample using co-citation-
correlation within the 72 documents is performed. This drops down by two documents.
A series of continuous tests for factor loading and reliability testing in SPSS allows us to
drop further documents with absolute factor loading lower than 0.6 leads us to a final
sample of 44 documents. As such, our final sample for analysing of main trends in real
estate research sees only 44 documents.
From this co-citation of the sample of 44 documents, we also perform cluster analysis
to analyse the relationship among the subfields and multidimensional scaling (MDS) to
get an intellectual map of real estate research.
6 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

Retrieval of co-citation matrix on 44 most cited documents. As mentioned above, the


list of documents was provided at the outcome of the keyword “property” or “real estate”
provided in the WoS. The list of documents is recorded in the reducing order of citation
number. As such, most cited documents in this study are considered within the Web of
Science database only. A co-citation frequency of each pair of the 44 documents is
achieved from the Web of Science to form the co-citation matrix. The main diagonal is
treated as not applicable or zero as suggested by (McCain, 1990; Ramos-Rodriguez &
Ruiz-Navarro, 2004). From this co-citation table, a Pearson correlation is converted for
further analysis. Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) measures the strength of the asso-
ciation between the two variables. The nearer the scatter of points is to a straight line, the
higher the strength of association between the variables. Although Ahlgren, Jarneving,
and Rousseau (2003) found Pearson R failed in their stability tests, White (2003)
rechecked their results and showed it well reliable in co-citation analysis. Therefore,
this study continues to use the Pearson correlations for analysis. Based on the Pearson
matrix, multidimensional scaling (or factor analysis) and the two-dimensional map
analysis will be performed for the main trend assessment.

3.1. Factor analysis


For purpose of document citation analysis, a factor is defined when documents have
loadings outside the range of −0.6 and 0.6. This study sees all 44 documents meet this
criterion. Those documents in an area convey some concepts, are co-cited in the same
particular area will highly be categorised in one factor. A subfield belongs to a factor that
indicates an intellectual trend defined by authors with a load corresponding to that
subfield or factor (Peek & Rosengren, 2000).

3.2. Multidimensional scaling (MDS)


Factor analysis is performed in SPSS to produce multidimensional scaling analysis. This
process detects correlations between primary variables thus forming new factors. Factor
loadings indicate the extent to which the document belongs or loads on predetermined
factors based on research questions. Therefore, the factors are considered subfield when
the theoretical background is collected to check the documents loaded within the factor.
The matrix of raw co-citation is analyzed using analysis on the key element with varimax
rotation (i.e., replacing missing values with the average value) (Nerur et al., 2008).
Multidimensional scaling (MDS) generates a visual chart of relative distance among
the papers or authors. This comes from the principle that two similar documents will be
located closely (Leydesdorff & Vaughan, 2006). The reliability of the MDS’ results is
measured by the low stress and proportion of variance (R2) as they show the solution
dimensions. In this study is the two-dimensional solution with the conceptual distance
between intellectual strands of research (McCain, 1990).
Table 2 presents some statistical features on our data of the 44 analysed documents.
On average a document has 165 citations by another document from the Web of Science
as of 2019. The median value of the publication year is 2003 while the oldest year sees
1990 and the latest is 2012. This means these old documents remain the foundation for
the current trends in property and real estate research as recorded by Web of Science. No
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 7

Table 2. Data statistics.


CITATION_FREQUENCY YEAR
Mean 165
Median 143.5 2003
Maximum 490 2012
Minimum 104 1990
Std. Dev. 70.20 5.47
Skewness 2.35 (0.34)
Kurtosis 10.36 2.30
Source: Compilation by the authors from the Web of Science (2019).

later documents than 2012 win a slot of the mainstream in what is referred to as trends of
the real estate research. The skewness of 2.35 shows a more proportion of citations earlier
than in 2003. Kurtosis higher than 3 implies a heavy distribution on both tails (Table 2).

4. Results and discussion


4.1. Factor analysis
Nine factors were obtained to summarise the nine trends from the 44 most co-cited
documents, with their eigenvalue minimum of 1.155 and a maximum of 10.204 (Table 3).
The Eigenvalue shows highest for factor 1 (trend 1) reducing to lowest factor 9 (trend 9).
The Eigenvalue also illustrates the significance, strength and clarity of a particular trend.
On one hand, the strength and clarity are presented in the number of cited documents
each trend carries. On the other hand, the significance of each trend underlies its nature
quality and impact on property and real estate research in general. In this meaning, trend
1 (performance and investment features of property) covers a broad area of the industry
and professional field, trend 2 (house price – income, consumption, and investment)
covers the classic area of economic theory. Both are considerable, strong, and outstand-
ing. Trends 3 (house price setting), 4 (amenity in valuing residential properties) are
considered sub-fields compared with trends 1 and 2, which are smaller yet significant
though. Trends 5 (green factor), 6 (housing discrimination and segregation), 7 (urban
development), 8 (modelling for real estate subsectors) are all either emergence or phrasal.
Trend 9 (urban transformation cities in China) can be seen smallest and may be of
a specific context, herein China.

Table 3. Eigenvalue of the


9 factors.
Factor Eigenvalue
1 10.204
2 7.746
3 5.277
4 5.019
5 2.878
6 2.853
7 2.556
8 2.143
9 1.155
8 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

4.2. Factor analysis


4.2.1. Trend 1: performance and investment features of property
With nine documents being filed (see Table 4), this trend is the most outstanding in the
real estate research domain. As an investment asset class, real estate integrates with stocks
(Ling & Naranjo, 1999), which reflects information about the real estate security market
(Chan, Hendershott, & Sanders, 1990). Furthermore, real estate investment trusts
(REITs) characteristics are closer to those of stocks than to bonds (Glascock, Lu, & So,
2000). One of the common features of stock markets is that they tend to delay reaction to
information inflow from some industries. Instead, the stock market will slowly absorb
and diffuse fundamental information across the market (Hong, Torous, & Valkanov,
2007). On an appraisal basis, lagged real estate security market embedded the informa-
tion in infrequent property appraisals after modifying its persistent feature in periodical
appraisal (Fisher, Geltner, & Webb, 1994).
Between the property indices, REITs show to be the most liquid and fastest in
reflecting information in its price, thus the indices of REITs-based lead the other of
property-based; however, it displays more volatility in the short-run (Farley, Steeh, &
Krysan, 1994). As REITs are closed to operating companies, IPO activities of REITs and
operating companies are also assessed and compared (Ling & Ryngaert, 1997).
Among the real estate security firms (listed property companies), the significant
difference across the traded real estate firms is partly from the underlying properties,
which have different cash flows and different specific risks (Gyourko & Keim, 1992). As
such risk and returns of listed property companies see significant relation between stock
returns (i.e. property securities) and both underlying rents and property value changes
(Quan & Titman, 1999). In addition, property prices are also found to be significantly

Table 4. Real estate research at Web of Science (1990–2019): Factor loadings of 9 trends.
Trend No. Document Factor loading Trend No. Document Factor loading
1 Gyourko & Keim, 1992 0.980 4 Jim & Chen, 2006 0.938
Ling & Naranjo, 1999 0.974 Benson et al., 1998 0.931
Chan et al., 1990 0.964 Crompton, 2001 0.878
Glascock et al., 2000 0.960 Bourassa et al., 2003 0.852
Fisher et al., 1994 0.941 Anselin & Lozano-Gracia, 2006 0.827
Ling & Ryngaert, 1997 0.933 Pace et al., 1998 0.778
Quan & Titman, 1999 0.900 Huang et al., 2010 0.750
Chan et al., 2011 0.836 5 Jakob, 2006 0.977
Hong et al., 2007 0.746 Wiley et al., 2010 0.974
2 Piazzesi et al., 2007 0.957 Fuerst & McAllister, 2011 0.973
Campbell & Cocco, 2007 0.947 6 Krysan & Farley, 2002 0.982
Himmelberg et al., 2005 0.947 Ross & Turner, 2005 0.982
Ortalo-Magne & Rady, 2006 0.911 Farley et al., 1994 0.981
Chaney et al., 2012 0.902 7 Waddell et al., 2003 0.906
Bostic et al., 2009 0.887 Cervero & Landis, 1997 0.883
Peek & Rosengren, 2000 0.802 Hess & Almeida, 2007 0.835
Grenadier, 1996 0.715 8 Tseng, 2009 0.970
3 Anglin et al., 2003 0.977 Zavadskas et al., 2010 0.954
Yavas & Yang, 1995 0.976 Gomes & Rangel, 2009 0.930
Knight, 2002 0.975 9 Gaubatz, 1999 0.953
Rutherford et al., 2005 0.943 Wu, 2000 0.936
Levitt & Syverson, 2008 0.917
Genesove & Mayer, 1997 0.814
Source: Authors’ compilation from SPSS
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 9

influenced by GDP growth rates. Particularly, property is proved to be effective as a long-


term hedge against inflation but failed on a year-to-year basis (Quan & Titman, 1999).
At a more extensive level, investment strategies are considered different at different
economic stages. Particularly, the expansion stage sees an investment strategy away from
safe investment – gold to risky asset – stock whilst crisis periods see investment strategy
to land on quality (safe investment) of treasury bonds and away from stocks (Chan,
Treepongkaruna, Brooks, & Gray, 2011).
In brief, trend 1 has described and discussed the features, speed of value adjustment
among the direct property and real estate, property securities and REITs; their relation-
ships with other investment assets and long-term inflation hedge. As an investment class,
real estate will continually grow and develop its financial forms of investment, this trend
shows the basic and core trend in real estate and surely is among those that attract the
most academic research of all times. This trend remains the strongest and is similar to
one of the findings in Newell et al. (2004a) and Razali et al. (2009).

4.2.2. Trend 2: house price – income, consumption, and investment


With eight documents being filed (see Table 4), trend 2 is also categorised as one of the
trends that attract most research interest describing the relationship of house price with
household income, consumption, and investment. This factor also discusses financing
activities and house price bubbles. Particularly, house prices indicate the wealth of
homeowners. Thus it has the largest effect on those own home only without a regular
income, in this case, older homeowners. On the other hand, those who own no home
with regular income therefore this has the smallest effect on younger renters.
Furthermore, regional house prices affect respective consumption growth as well as
correlated with aggregate financial market status. Once again, predictable changes in
house prices are also correlated with those in consumption, especially for borrowing
constrained households (Campbell & Cocco, 2007).
A life-cycle model of the housing market (Ortalo-Magne & Rady, 2006) with credit
constraint showed a delay in first home buyers while leading others to a smaller transac-
tion than their plans. House prices behave quite reasonably. Particularly, when they
looked overvalued across the cities they would experience house price decline signifi-
cantly. Furthermore, the cost of owning and renting a house are related in a way that
makes them reasonably valued (Himmelberg, Mayer, & Sinai, 2005).
In addition, housing wealth effects and its estimated elasticities are found robust to its
volatility and trend deviations. Consumption is also different significantly among the
credit and non-credit constrained households (Bostic, Gabriel, & Painter, 2009) while
housing share can be used to forecast excess returns on stocks.
Inseparable preferences describe households’ concern with comprehensive risk, which
motivates low changes in security prices (Piazzesi, Schneider, & Tuzel, 2007). Further,
when a firm is more credit-constrained its sensitivity of investment to collateral value is
stronger the more likely a firm is to be credit constrained (Chaney, Sraer, & Thesmar,
2012). Given the US is a highly advanced market, the external shock has a real effect on
construction activity in this commercial property market (Peek & Rosengren, 2000). This
fact is seen similar to other commercial property markets as well.
As a complicated matter of combining property cycle and timing for property devel-
opment, Grenadier (1996) develops a model to make a strategic decision for this issue.
10 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

Particularly, his model assesses what forms the behaviour of the developer industry. The
model can also rationalise such irrational responses as some markets experienced build-
ing booms in the downturns of property demand and its values.
In short, this trend has described and discussed the behavioural relationship among
income, consumption, and investment in the housing market. Even though this trend has
discussed the complicated behaviours among the participants in the housing market, not
just only supply and demand sides, but also the financial institutions and regulators, it is
found typical with the housing topic as perceived by Razali et al. (2009). These principal
behaviours can be referred to as a benchmark for academics and industry in submarkets
and future research.

4.2.3. Trend 3: house price setting


This trend is not far behind trends 1 and 2, files six documents discussing all components
in house price setting (see Table 4).
In a transaction, the selling party has two key objectives, namely to get the highest
possible price in the shortest possible time. These are separate and trade-off targets but
are closely related via the initial listing price. The too high or too low listing price affects
its time on market (TOM), which in return has a final impact on the settled price. This is
because of an unavoidable bargain between the seller and buyer. Although the listing
price was first taken based on the property appraisal, which comes from search work and
curvature map of the listing price. In the end, the settled price is a comprehensive result
of listing price from the bargaining power and commission rate (Yavas & Yang, 1995).
Not only too high but setting a house at a price too low also affects its marketability
(Anglin, Rutherford, & Springer, 2003), which means a lower price and longer time to
settle (Knight, 2002). For the house buyers, it is a matter of signal extraction, a higher list
price can be magnified for those with low predicted variance in the list price.
In terms of transaction information, real estate agents are always to be in a better
position than their clients, which means agents may exploit this advantage. How are
agent-owned houses sold compared to client-owned ones? It was reported that the first
ones were not sold faster but at a premium price (Rutherford, Springer, & Yavas, 2005).
This may mean the agent-owners are more knowledgeable and insist on finding the right
buyer. Also, hired agents were found to distort incentives whilst owner-agents would
pursue the first best buyer (Levitt & Syverson, 2008).
Debt status also affects the house price setting. The house owners with a high loan
ratio will make a higher listing price. As such, they will accept a longer expected time on
the market for a higher settled price compared to those low debt owners (Genesove &
Mayer, 1997). In brief, this trend is a combination of trends 1 and 2 to discuss the details
of the behaviour of the players in the housing market and is typical to the research topic
as perceived by Razali et al. (2009).

4.2.4. Trend 4: amenity in valuing residential properties


This trend files seven documents covering amenity and quality components in valuing
residential properties (see Table 4).
Amenity adds value to the residential value. This counts local public goods, including
transit framework, pure air, key high schools and main universities. Even though most of
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 11

these are located externally, they are significant determinants of property prices (Pace,
Barry, & Sirmans, 1998).
The amenity value refers to factors external to the property but is beneficial to the
residents. Regarding urban planning and development, they can be thought of as green
spaces, water bodies and a clean environment. However, this value is difficult to quantify
in the planning work. Assess the possible amenity factors, in particular, Guanzhou, Jim
and Chen (2006) quantified and found the highest to lowest added value factors are
distance to water bodies (13.2%), high storey on the multi-storey buildings (9.2%), and
green views (7.1%). Something that has no use to residents will have no added value.
A nearby wood amenity that has no public access is the case. A surprising finding is noise
exposure in the city did not affect negatively. This is an obvious and substantial bias in
terms of air pollution (Anselin & Lozano-Gracia, 2006).
The highest pay is seen in Bellingham, Washington, where diversified views, from low
lake and ocean to high mountain have been paid 60% more than comparable homes
(Benson, Hansen, & Schwartz, 1998).
Another aspect of research in amenity value is that a higher price for houses near the
park will lead to higher tax which can afford to develop a park. This is sizable up to 20%
value-added for rear and front faced quiet park whereas 10% value-added for up to three
blocks away from a heavily used park (Crompton, 2001).
The significance of amenity and location have come to the need for an accurate model
for hedonic predictions (Bourassa, Hoesli, & Peng, 2003). This also supports the sugges-
tion of a property price model with geography and time-weighted regression (Huang,
Wu, & Barry, 2010).
In short, this trend has focused on identifying and valuing various amenity compo-
nents in the housing value that was previously overlooked. It also attempts to apply and
define models to include amenity in house value. This trend is considered a new finding
from the previous studies.

4.2.5. Trend 5 green factor


This trend files three documents (Fuerst & McAllister, 2011; Jakob, 2006; Wiley,
Benefield, & Johnson, 2010) analyse the impact of the green factor on property markets
(see Table 4).
Green factor refers to energy-efficient factor included in decision-making for new
constructions and renovations. The basis for the analysis is a comparison of the marginal
costs from implementing new technologies and comprehensive benefits. Whilst new
designing technologies play important role in cost reduction and energy effective envir-
onmental policies, its dynamic measures limit the decisions to costs and thus may lead to
erroneous decisions. Comprehensive benefits include noise reduction, indoor quality,
and living comfort. Although comprehensive benefits are difficult to quantify thus over-
looked they may be significant to the same level of energy-saving benefits (Jakob, 2006).
In terms of green factors, it can be certified and noncertified buildings. The main
causes for price differences between the two types are marginal user benefits, lower
operating costs as well as lower investment risk (Fuerst & McAllister, 2011).
Particularly, green buildings receive higher rents, maintain a regularly high level of
occupancy, and are sold at a significant premium price (Wiley et al., 2010). In brief,
whilst the cost of the green factor may be erroneously estimated, its adding value is
12 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

significant. This trend is also one of the new findings compared with the above literature
review section.

4.2.6. Trend 6: housing discrimination and segregation


This trend files three documents (Farley et al., 1994; Krysan & Farley, 2002; Ross &
Turner, 2005) focused on housing discrimination and segregation (see Table 4).
The discrimination of the white and black Americans toward each other are different.
While the white Americans feel uncomfortable to move in with more than a few black
Americans in a neighbourhood, black Americans, mainly from the fear of white hostility, are
willing to move in if there is a black presence but prefer 50–50 areas (Krysan & Farley, 2002).
Similar discrimination is found in rental and owner-occupier property markets,
though decreased significantly. The discrimination is against not only the African
Americans regarding racial steering but also Hispanics regarding getting financing
(Ross & Turner, 2005).
Between the two opposite assumptions account for black-white discrimination in
residential housing, the conventional type with white preferences as a discriminatory
practice can best explain the continuing segregation in the Detroit area (Farley et al., 1994).
In brief, this trend has focused particularly on American society to explain the
discrimination in the housing market in America.

4.2.7. Trend 7: urban development


This factor files four documents that focus on assessing the impact of urban development
on regional growth (Cervero & Landis, 1997) (see Table 4). In more particular, the
proximity to light rail stations is more significant than a physical walking distance in
adding value to residential property (Hess & Almeida, 2007). This trend also involves
a study on the comprehensive choices and implementation of the new urban simulation
system (Waddell, Borning, & Noth, 2003). This is one of the new findings regarding
research trends in real estate. It contributes to urban economics and real estate
development.

4.2.8. Trend 8 modelling for real estate subsectors


This trend files three documents (Gomes & Rangel, 2009; Tseng, 2009; Zavadskas,
Turskis, & Tamosaitiene, 2010) with modelling for important factors in the three main
property sub-sectors, namely real estate agent, development and valuation (see Table 4).
First is the combination of the DEMATEL method with grey theory and fuzzy possible
theory to model for customer service expectation empirical experiment in real estate
agent (Tseng, 2009).
Another model for risk assessment in construction projects using a set of factor
attribution in decision making (Zavadskas et al., 2010). Particularly, when
a development project is commenced, a list of stakeholders with objectives and interests
is set up. The risk factors are evaluated against the attributes of the construction process
to the overall efficiency and project value.
In the valuation area, a TODIM method is used with a multi-criteria decision (Gomes
& Rangel, 2009). This method is used to rank properties with diversified characteristics
and a wide range of rental values. Enhanced further to the model is the sensitivity analysis
which reinforces the outcome reliability.
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 13

In brief, this trend involves the main modelling in the important areas of the property:
real estate agent, property development and property valuation. It is not surprising to see
them applied and cited by many researchers later. As this trend covers modelling applied
on three areas of the property can be seen somewhat related to valuation area, risk
management and real estate agency.

4.2.9. Trend 9: urban transformation cities in China


This trend files two documents (Gaubatz, 1999; Wu, 2000) analyse the models and
procedures in transforming main cities in China (eg., Beijing, Shanghai and
Guangzhou) (see Table 4). The authors focus on the patterns of planned usage of land,
structure and building height, urban renovation and land and property privatisation.
Particularly for Shanghai to become a world city, significant and penetrating impact of
globalisation in transitional economies, the growth of inward investment in property
development, has marked on the successful urban transformation. In other words, it is
the combined impact of relative advantages between internal and external movements to
make urban change for the special socialist – communism economies.
Overall sees trend 1 the biggest and strongest as shown in its factor loading, number of
cited documents and citations. This also matches with the research priorities from the
combined views of academic and professional researchers conducted in the US, UK,
Australia and Germany (Newell et al., 2004a; 2004b) regarding the role and performance
of real estate in a diversified portfolio. Trends 2 and 3 are related to general property
economics. Trend 4 delves more into the residential sector, which can also be seen as one
aspect for the fund managers. Trend 5 is the newly emerging factor and applies broadly to
property and real estate. Trends 6 and 9 are particularly to the two largest national
markets globally. However, this can shed light on other individual markets. Trends 7 and
8 are separately related to the area of development and research approach respectively.
These are also considered big areas and main streams in real estate research.

4.3. Multidimensional scaling (MDS)


To present visually the relationship among the 9 trends of real estate research over the
period 1990–2019, Figure 1 presents the two-dimension vision map of 44 co-cited
documents showing similarities between the documents. The stress (0.14635) under 0.2
and R2 (0.90526) values indicate the fitness of the graph. As seen from the map, the
documents are located based on the proximity in the co-citation matrix, with a high value
indicating high similarity. This also visualizes the theoretical distance between various
research topics.
There are two big clusters, with trends 2 and 3 forming one and the other seven
trends the biggest cluster. Trends 2 and 3 make a cluster of house price settings and
their consequent issues. Furthermore, these two trends are considered an area of
property economics. With these exceptionally special goods, house pice is setting as
a sequent behaviour of sellers, buyers and agents on the informational ground of
supply and demand and bargaining power. The time that property being listed on
market affects all involved parties on the ground of transparent information. The
situation may change when the seller’s agent takes advantage of superior information
to distort commission income compared to an owner agent who would choose to pick
14 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

Figure 1. Academic structure of Web of Science: Real Estate (1990–2019). Source: Authors’ compilation
from the Web of Science (2019).

the first correct price in return for a relatively long time on the market. Other such
factors can affect seller’s behaviour and psychology as debt ratio, pressure from
foreclosure and death can influence both bargaining power and time on market
which ultimately define settled price. As an indication of wealth, house price affects
such consumption activities as consumption in senior owners, financing in constrained
borrowers and investment in developers and renters. This cluster forms the housing
issues in general.
Trends 1 and 4 are located at the 2 ends of the biggest cluster, defining property as an
investment asset class. On the left end stands the characteristics of the investment
property (i.e. trend 1). The features covered in that trend is commercial property, listed
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 15

property securities of all forms. Listed property securities are the most liquid investment
that is integrated with the stocks while also carry information of commercial property on
a periodical basis. The right end of this cluster sees the research trend of value-added
amenity in property. While amenity refers to the facilities upraising real estate value and
life quality, and urban development upgrades the infrastructure. Overall, these two trends
refer to the two biggest parts of property, investment and valuation. Trend 1 is similar to
the four areas of research priorities suggested by Newell et al. (2004a). Trend 4 is an area
of house valuation and hedonic combination, which was the key topic as determined
from the Pacific Rim Property Research Journal (Newell, 2003).
Trend 5 (green factor) stands nearby has common point with amenity is its quality
components, which can be linked by the hedonic model for valuation. Urban develop-
ment (trend 6) involves upgrading infrastructure and transforming a region. They both
are correlated for their involvement with the improving quality of life. On the other hand,
the green factor mainly involves energy efficiency and environment friendly with the
comfort the facilities bring to the users. This cluster overall can be named the quality
components and urban development. These two trends can also be seen as value-added
factors for a hedonic model in valuation.
Trend 8 (modelling in property subsector) is located in the middle of the 4 biggest
trends (#1 – #4) as it involves the modelling in the property development, real estate
agent and valuation. These three cited documents are so strongly influenced in the
related areas that are still applied in its industries.
Trends 9 (urban transformation cities in China) and 6 (housing discrimination and
segregation) involve individual but big markets (e.g. China and the US), showing their
small impact on the research community. Nevertheless, they can be a benchmark and
significant to maintain a trend of property research in the US. These two trends may form
different streams in the future, when it becomes global culture (discrimination) or
developing/emerging markets (ie., urban transformation).
A relevant study in terms of research trends in property and real estate, Newell et al.
(2004a) show priorities of real estate research from the viewpoints of fund managers.
Trend 1 (performance and investment features of property) is more relevant and closed
to the priorities for investment fund managers. Other trends are but on the reducing level
of relevance to the investment property and increasing relevance to the housing issues.
This also shows a broader term of trends in real estate research.
In brief, this bigger cluster, located at the lower part analysis fills the research gap with
the detailed picture of investment (at the very left side), valuation (at the very right side).
Between the two sides are the supplements of the hedonic model for valuation and urban
transformation aspects in housing investment.

5. Ranking of highly cited journals


To explore the most influencing journals in the area of real estate research, in particular,
those published the 44 highly co-cited real estate studies, Table 5 presents the top five
ranking journals. Seven journals are ranked in the top five with two journals were ranked
# 4 and #5 each. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics (ranking #1) and Real
Estate Economics (#2) are continually in top rank according to different criteria and
fundamentals (Redman et al., 1998) as well as for their international community
16 T. K. NGUYEN ET AL.

Table 5. Ranking journals in real estate research: Current vs previous studies.


Redman Hardin International International analysis
et al. et al. community (Worzala involved (Newell,
JOURNAL NAME Current (1998) (2006) & Tu, 2010) 2014)
JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE 1 4 2 3 Yes
AND ECONOMICS
REAL ESTATE ECONOMICS 2 1 1 1 Yes
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS 3 6 7 N/A N/A
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW 4 7 8 N/A N/A
URBAN STUDIES 4 22 31 N/A N/A
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND 5 12 11 N/A N/A
STATISTICS
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN REAL 5 N/A N/A N/A N/A
ESTATE AND URBAN ECONOMICS
ASSOCIATION
Source: Compilated by authors

(Worzala & Tu, 2010) and involving in an international analysis of real estate (Newell
et al., 2002). The Journal of Financial Economics (ranked # 3) was ranked # 6 and 7 for
the influential journals by Redman et al. (1998) and Hardin et al. (2006) respectively.
However, it was not recognised by international researchers or for its international
analysis in real estate (Worzala & Tu, 2010; Newell et al., 2002). Similarly, American
Economic Review (ranked #4) was also consistently ranked lower for its influence while
Urban Studies (ranked #4) and Review of Economics (#5) were ranked significantly
different compared to the previous ranking. Particularly, Urban Studies were ranked
lower by Redman et al. (1998) and Hardin et al. (2006). Journal of the American Real
Estate and Urban Economics Association (ranked #5) was not recognised in the previous
studies at all. This sees the stable performance of long-standing journals with some
emerging journals in the Web of Science data.

6. Conclusions
This article has presented the 9 trends and two main clusters of real estate research using
co-citation analysis. With data from the Web of Science over the period of 1990–2019,
the paper has identified 44 most co-cited documents, which make up 9 trends of real
estate research: (1) performance and investment features of property, (2) house price –
household income, consumption, and investment, (3) house price setting, (4) amenity in
property valuation, (5) green factor in the property market, (6) housing discrimination
and segregation, (7) urban development, (8) modelling for real estate subsector and (9)
urban transformation in cities of China. Two clusters have been further formed: (1)
house price setting and (2) value of investment property, with factors surrounding these
two. The findings of the paper contribute to providing insights on the multidisciplinary
structure of real estate research using the bibliometric technique. The ranking of the
respective journals recognised from those documents files two long-standing journals as
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics and Real Estate Economics, with other
four emerging journals ranking in the influencing real estate journals. This shows
significant results of the Web of Science database.
PACIFIC RIM PROPERTY RESEARCH JOURNAL 17

This research has some limitations, which mainly come from the choice of data source
and method used. First, data used in this study is from the Web of Science, which
includes only those journals provided on this website. This sees the absence of some
major UK journals while most of the discussed journals in this study are from America.
Second, the period covered in this study is 19 years; a long period is sufficient to assess the
validity of the major research areas. However, a long period may also overwrite an
extinguished and a newborn trend of research. In other words, this may overlook the
most recent trend while sustaining the quite outdated documents. A subperiod of ten
years and a broader database or author citation analysis may reinforce the findings in this
research.
Despite the limitations, the advances and strengths of the method and data used in this
research have reinforced the valid findings of nine trends as discussed. This can be used
as crosschecks and developments for future mainstreams of property and real estate
research. Some of the mainstreams are the strong currencies, with some going to become
stronger and more outstanding whilst others being overridden by new ones. All present
the certain and non-stop progress of development and dying nature.

Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

ORCID
Thi Kim Nguyen http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6394-1495
Muhammad Najib Razali http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7926-1892

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