2020-2029 Sukelco-Siig-Senator Ninoy Aquino PSPP
2020-2029 Sukelco-Siig-Senator Ninoy Aquino PSPP
2020-2029 Sukelco-Siig-Senator Ninoy Aquino PSPP
2020
Peak Demand increased from 0.26 MW in 2006 to 1.07 MW in 2019 at a rate of 11.59% due to increase in the number of connections. MWh
Offtake increased from 332 MWh in 2001 to 4,102 MWh in 2019 at a rate of 15.56% due to the same reason. Within the same period, Load Factor
ranged from 22% to 44%.
Historical Consumption
4,500 1.2
4,000
1.0
3,500
3,000 0.8
MWh
2,500
MW
0.6
2,000
1,500 0.4
1,000
0.2
500
0 0.0
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019
Year
MWh Output increased from year 2001 to year 2020 at a rate of 19.45%, while MWh System Loss
increased at a rate of 8.93% within the same period.
Historical Losses
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Year
Historically, System Loss ranged from 4.95% to 55.43%. System Loss peaked at 55.43% on year
2003 because of high non-technical losses.
Previous Year's Shares of Energy Sales
Industrial Others
0.23% 6.37%
Commercial
10.21%
Residential
83.19%
Residential customers account for the bulk of energy sales at 83.19% due to the high number of
connections. In contrast, Industrial Building customers accounted for only 0.23% of energy sales
due to no industrial customers in the area.
330
320
310
300
290
280
270
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
NPC-SPUG SNADPP
For NPC-SPUG, the total Offtake for the last historical year is lower than the quantity stipulated in
the PSA.
WESM Share Over Time
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
MWh
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Year
No WESM in Mindanao.
Previous Year's Load Profile
No available data for Load Profile.
Forecasted Consumption Data
Existing Target MW
Coincident Contracted Pending Planned
Contracting Contracting Surplus /
Peak MW MW MW MW
Level Level Deficit
The Peak Demand was forecasted using regression analysis and was assumed to occur on the
month of October due to high consumption of energy during this month. Monthly Peak Demand is
at its lowest on the month of July due to the rainy condition of weather during this period. In general,
Peak Demand is expected to grow at a rate of 5.57% annually.
Forecasted Supply vs Demand
2.5
2.0
1.5
MW
1.0
0.5
0.0
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Month
2.0
1.5
MW
1.0
0.5
0.0
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Month
NPC-SPUG is planned to renew after immediately after the end of contract duration.
Contracting Levels
180%
160%
140%
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Month
MW Surplus / Deficit
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
-0.10 Oct
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Month
MWh
MWh MWh Transm'n System
System
Offtake Output Loss Loss
Loss
2020 Jan 384 352 32 0.00% 8.32%
Feb 387 355 32 0.00% 8.32%
Mar 348 319 29 0.00% 8.32%
Apr 389 356 32 0.00% 8.32%
May 380 348 32 0.00% 8.32%
Jun 376 344 31 0.00% 8.32%
Jul 368 337 31 0.00% 8.32%
MWh
MWh MWh Transm'n System
System
Offtake Output Loss Loss
Loss
Aug 385 353 32 0.00% 8.32%
Sep 403 369 33 0.00% 8.32%
Oct 396 363 33 0.00% 8.32%
Nov 410 376 34 0.00% 8.32%
Dec 413 379 34 0.00% 8.32%
2021 Jan 432 397 35 0.00% 8.12%
Feb 434 399 35 0.00% 8.12%
Mar 390 358 32 0.00% 8.12%
Apr 436 401 35 0.00% 8.12%
May 426 392 35 0.00% 8.12%
Jun 422 387 34 0.00% 8.12%
Jul 413 380 34 0.00% 8.12%
Aug 432 397 35 0.00% 8.12%
Sep 452 415 37 0.00% 8.12%
Oct 445 409 36 0.00% 8.12%
Nov 460 423 37 0.00% 8.12%
Dec 464 426 38 0.00% 8.12%
2022 Jan 479 441 38 0.00% 7.92%
Feb 482 443 38 0.00% 7.92%
Mar 433 399 34 0.00% 7.92%
Apr 484 446 38 0.00% 7.92%
May 473 435 37 0.00% 7.92%
Jun 468 431 37 0.00% 7.92%
Jul 458 422 36 0.00% 7.92%
Aug 479 441 38 0.00% 7.92%
Sep 501 462 40 0.00% 7.92%
Oct 494 454 39 0.00% 7.92%
Nov 511 470 40 0.00% 7.92%
Dec 514 474 41 0.00% 7.92%
2023 Jan 526 485 41 0.00% 7.72%
Feb 529 488 41 0.00% 7.72%
Mar 475 439 37 0.00% 7.72%
Apr 531 490 41 0.00% 7.72%
May 519 479 40 0.00% 7.72%
Jun 514 474 40 0.00% 7.72%
Jul 503 464 39 0.00% 7.72%
Aug 526 485 41 0.00% 7.72%
Sep 551 508 43 0.00% 7.72%
Oct 542 500 42 0.00% 7.72%
Nov 561 517 43 0.00% 7.72%
Dec 565 521 44 0.00% 7.72%
2024 Jan 572 529 43 0.00% 7.52%
Feb 576 533 43 0.00% 7.52%
Mar 518 479 39 0.00% 7.52%
Apr 579 535 44 0.00% 7.52%
May 565 523 43 0.00% 7.52%
Jun 559 517 42 0.00% 7.52%
MWh
MWh MWh Transm'n System
System
Offtake Output Loss Loss
Loss
Jul 548 507 41 0.00% 7.52%
Aug 573 530 43 0.00% 7.52%
Sep 600 554 45 0.00% 7.52%
Oct 590 546 44 0.00% 7.52%
Nov 610 565 46 0.00% 7.52%
Dec 615 569 46 0.00% 7.52%
2025 Jan 619 573 45 0.00% 7.32%
Feb 622 577 46 0.00% 7.32%
Mar 559 518 41 0.00% 7.32%
Apr 625 580 46 0.00% 7.32%
May 611 566 45 0.00% 7.32%
Jun 605 560 44 0.00% 7.32%
Jul 592 549 43 0.00% 7.32%
Aug 619 574 45 0.00% 7.32%
Sep 648 601 47 0.00% 7.32%
Oct 638 591 47 0.00% 7.32%
Nov 660 611 48 0.00% 7.32%
Dec 665 616 49 0.00% 7.32%
2026 Jan 664 617 47 0.00% 7.12%
Feb 668 621 48 0.00% 7.12%
Mar 601 558 43 0.00% 7.12%
Apr 672 624 48 0.00% 7.12%
May 656 609 47 0.00% 7.12%
Jun 649 603 46 0.00% 7.12%
Jul 636 591 45 0.00% 7.12%
Aug 665 617 47 0.00% 7.12%
Sep 696 646 50 0.00% 7.12%
Oct 685 636 49 0.00% 7.12%
Nov 708 658 50 0.00% 7.12%
Dec 714 663 51 0.00% 7.12%
2027 Jan 710 660 49 0.00% 6.92%
Feb 714 664 49 0.00% 6.92%
Mar 641 597 44 0.00% 6.92%
Apr 717 668 50 0.00% 6.92%
May 701 652 48 0.00% 6.92%
Jun 693 645 48 0.00% 6.92%
Jul 679 632 47 0.00% 6.92%
Aug 710 661 49 0.00% 6.92%
Sep 743 692 51 0.00% 6.92%
Oct 731 681 51 0.00% 6.92%
Nov 757 704 52 0.00% 6.92%
Dec 762 709 53 0.00% 6.92%
2028 Jan 754 703 51 0.00% 6.72%
Feb 758 707 51 0.00% 6.72%
Mar 682 636 46 0.00% 6.72%
Apr 762 711 51 0.00% 6.72%
May 745 695 50 0.00% 6.72%
MWh
MWh MWh Transm'n System
System
Offtake Output Loss Loss
Loss
Jun 737 687 50 0.00% 6.72%
Jul 722 673 48 0.00% 6.72%
Aug 754 704 51 0.00% 6.72%
Sep 790 737 53 0.00% 6.72%
Oct 777 725 52 0.00% 6.72%
Nov 804 750 54 0.00% 6.72%
Dec 810 756 54 0.00% 6.72%
2029 Jan 798 746 52 0.00% 6.52%
Feb 803 750 52 0.00% 6.52%
Mar 721 674 47 0.00% 6.52%
Apr 807 754 53 0.00% 6.52%
May 788 737 51 0.00% 6.52%
Jun 780 729 51 0.00% 6.52%
Jul 764 714 50 0.00% 6.52%
Aug 798 746 52 0.00% 6.52%
Sep 836 781 54 0.00% 6.52%
Oct 822 769 54 0.00% 6.52%
Nov 851 795 55 0.00% 6.52%
Dec 857 801 56 0.00% 6.52%
MWh Offtake was forecasted using regression analysis. The assumed load factor is 57.28%.
Forecasted Consumption
900 2.5
800
700 2.0
600
1.5
MWh
500
MW
400
1.0
300
200 0.5
100
0 0.0
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Month
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
-1.00%
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Month
The PSA with NPC-SPUG will serve as a load following power plant on the areas of Lebak and Kalamansig, Sultan Kudarat. The actual billed
overall monthly charge under the PSA ranged from 5.08 P/kWh to 5.16 P/KWh in the past year. The said PSA will be renewed depending on the
completion of the Tacurong-Kalamansig 69kV substransmission line project by the NGCP. The lowest contracted Demand and Energy is 1.03 MW
and 4,637 MWh, respectively.
Minimum Minimum
Case No. Type GenCo PSA Start PSA End
MW MWh/yr
NPC-SPUG SNADPP
Base National Power Corporation 1.07 6,342 12/26/2022 12/25/2029
Renewal
The PSA with NPC-SPUG will be renew with the lowest demand and energy of 1.07 MW and 6,342 MWh, respectively.
Captive Customer Connections
2018
2019
2021
2022
2024
2025
2028
2013
2014
2016
2017
2020
2023
2026
2027
2029
Year
The number of Residential connections is expected to grow at a rate of 6.66% annually. Said
customer class is expected to account for 96.67% of the total consumption.