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HISTORY 9489/22
Paper 2 Outline study May/June 2024
MARK SCHEME
Maximum Mark: 60
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Annotation symbols
? Unclear
AN Analysis
^ Unsupported assertion
K Knowledge
EVAL Evaluation
JU Judgement
Annotate using the symbols above as you read through the script.
1(a) Due to some issues with this question Cambridge has applied a mitigation. 10
When marking responses to this question examiners should do the following:
1 Mark all parts of the paper according to the mark scheme.
2 Compare the mark achieved on 1(a) and the mark achieved on part
(a) of the candidate’s other question.
3 If the candidate has achieved the same mark or higher on 1(a), take
no further action.
4 If the candidate has achieved a lower mark on 1(a), then change the
mark for 1(a) to match the mark on part (a) of the other question.
Indicate on the script that this change has been made by writing your
original mark and ‘OMBA’ (i.e. original mark before adjustment) as an
annotation at the end of the candidate’s response.
Explain why Turgot’s policies faced opposition.
Indicative content
He was First Minister of State and Controller-General of Finances to Louis
XVI, August 1774 to May 1776.
One of his most significant plans involved redistribution of the tax burden
to impose taxes on the wealthiest citizens who were paying nothing. This
was strongly opposed by the first and second estates who used their
influence at court to block these changes.
As an advocate of the Enlightenment idea of Physiocracy (Law of Nature)
he favoured a liberalisation of the French economy to generate the
prosperity that would solve the government’s financial problems. This
meant dismantling all obstacles to the flow of free trade, free labour, and
free market pricing. Therefore, those of a more conservative economic
outlook saw such actions as threatening. For example, those who held an
interest in grain speculation, such as several Princes of the Blood.
He sought to undo local tolls on grain, which were part of a well-
established system of regulated supply, to establish a freer economy.
However, the introduction of this policy occurred at the worst possible
time as 1774 saw a bad harvest, the resumption of dearth and rising
prices. This led to rioting and public disorder, known as ‘The Flour War.’
In 1776 he introduced his ‘Six Edicts’. Two proved particularly
contentious.
Abolition of the corvée. A forced labour service owed by commoners to
the State which produced most of its road building programme. It would
be replaced by a property tax payable by all sections of society. Nobles
used their collective voice in the Parlements to declare that not only was
this a dilution of noble privilege but, also, threatened the nobles’ right to
demand comparable service from their own peasants on their estates.
Abolishing the trade guilds. For the guild masters Turgot’s economic
liberty would destroy their livelihood. They had sunk capital and years of
apprenticeship in a system that guaranteed them both skilled labour and
remunerative prices.
Turgot’s response to this opposition to his policies was to use lits de
justice and lettres de cachet to carry out the policies. These were seen as
high-handed and only furthered opposition to his policies.
Accept any other valid responses.
1(b) ‘By avoiding radical policies, the Directory was able to survive for four 20
years.’ How far do you agree?
Indicative content
The view, however, that the lack of a radical agenda was the key to the
Directory’s survival over four years can be questioned. The Directory was
fortunate that the opposition it faced in the form of Jacobins and Royalists was
weak and divided. They were never going to unite to form a united opposition,
nor could they overcome their own internal divisions. Napoleon’s victories in
Italy provided the Directory with some military glory which increased its
appeal, allowing it to survive. The Directory had the support of the army. It
was the loss of this support which contributed to its fall in 1799. It did adhere
to some revolutionary beliefs. For example, annual elections and the secret
ballot. By eighteenth-century standards the constitution of 1795 a broad
electorate and an extensive franchise.
2(a) Explain why the Prussian Union Plan of 1849 was proposed. 10
Indicative content
2(b) ‘France was the cause of the Franco–Prussian War, 1870–71.’ How far 20
do you agree?
Indicative content
However, this view can be questioned. In his memoirs, Bismarck saw the war
as the result of his master plan to create a united Germany under Prussian
leadership. The war with France was the final stage in this process of
unification, begun with victories in wars against Denmark and Austria (1864
and 1866). In 1862, Bismarck had stated that ‘blood and iron’ would decide
issues, seeming to indicate that Prussia under Bismarck would use war to
achieve its goals. It was Prussian machinations over the Hohenzollern
candidacy for the Spanish throne through the re-working and publication of
the Ems telegram that forced France into declaring war. Prussian
manoeuvrings against France had been present since the Luxembourg crisis
of 1867. French failure to make any territorial gains was a blow to its prestige
and stocked up anti-German feelings, which were later exploited to provoke a
French response for war in 1870.
Indicative content
3(b) ‘The Bolsheviks were still in power by 1921 because of their use of 20
terror.’ How far do you agree?
Indicative content
This view can be challenged. Victory in the Russian Civil War meant there
was no opponent who had the military ability to threaten Bolshevik party rule
in Russia. Trotsky had played a prominent role in this victory as Commissar
for War. Therefore, his actions kept the Bolsheviks in power. The role of Lenin
needs to be noted in ensuring the Bolsheviks were still in power by 1921
(overturning the results of a democratic election, because it did not favour the
Bolsheviks – accepting the opprobrium which followed the treaty of Brest-
Litovsk because it ended Russia’s role in the First World War – the initiation of
the New Economic Policy because War Communism was producing a
growing backlash against the Bolsheviks). It should be noted, also, that
throughout Russia after the October Revolution in 1917 there were idealists
who believed sincerely in the Bolsheviks’ mission to create a new proletarian
world.
4(a) Explain why the issue of States’ Rights caused problems in the 1850s. 10
Indicative content
Although the issue of what rights the states had vs. those of the federal
government had been discussed since the development of the
Constitution, the focus of these disagreements in the 1850s was most
definitely on slavery.
The Fugitive Slave Act of 1850 caused tensions and discussions over the
rights of different states to interpret federal law. As part of the
Compromise of 1850 the act made it illegal not to cooperate with
returning former slaves to their enslavers in other states. Many in the
North felt this went against their constitutional rights and that the
Southerners were holding double standards because it was often those in
the South who argued for the strength of State’s Rights. The issue of
slavery and states’ rights also came to a head in the Kansas-Nebraska
Act which allowed the new states of Kansas and Nebraska to choose
which the y wanted to be on the basis of popular sovereignty. This
produced an influx of ‘settlers from both sides to try to influence the vote
and led to the clashes known a ‘Bloody Kansas’ seen by some as a
precursor to the Civil War.
The national argument over State’s Rights came to a head in 1857 with
the Dred Scott judgement which upheld the rights of states to the
protection of slave property. After this, many in Southern states began to
argue that it was within the rights of States to secede from the union
which eventually led to the Civil War.
4(b) ‘The Republicans won the 1860 election because of the Lincoln-Douglas 20
debates.’ How far do you agree?
Indicative content
Possible discussions around the Lincoln Douglas debates may include the
following points. The Lincoln-Douglas debates took place from August 21st to
October 15th across the state of Illinois. Lincoln had challenged Douglas to a
‘war of ideas’ and Douglas was happy to oblige. They held seven debates in
the period which caught the attention of the public across the nation. During
the debates Douglas strongly advocated the policy of popular sovereignty but
Lincoln reminded him that this went against the recent Dred Scott judgement
that had stated that slavery continued in free territories. In what became
known as the Freeport Doctrine Douglas replied that no law could overcome
the opinion of citizens on slavery. This was seen as a betrayal by many
Southern Democrats. Lincoln constantly returned to the idea that ‘A House
Divided Could Not Stand’ and argued that black Americans should be entitled
to rights under the Constitution. Although Lincoln did not win the Senate seat
(it was decided by a state electoral college) the debates set him up as the
focus of abolitionist thinking and action within the Northern United States. By
the time of the 1860 election the Republicans desperately needed to win
Illinois and other states in the region so Lincoln emerged as the man who
would symbolise the hard-working self-made man of the frontier in these
states.
5(a) Explain why military strategies changed during the Civil War. 10
Indicative content
The initial strategy of the North was the Anaconda Plan devised by
Winfield Scott. It aimed to strangle the South by means of a naval
blockade and the North’s gaining control of the Mississippi. It was a
gradualist, relatively bloodless strategy and not immediately enforceable
because the North lacked the necessary ships needed to take the
Mississippi river.
The North did make some advances in the West, where the taking of
Vicksburg in 1863 gave it control of the Mississippi. This could be seen as
a successful implementation of the Anaconda Plan.
However, it was clear that a different strategy would be needed to defeat
the South completely. This was developed by Ulysses Grant, who was
made the commander of all Northern forces in March 1864. He led armies
on the eastern front to take Richmond while Sherman advanced on the
western front to take Atlanta. The North was now occupying the South,
with Sherman’s March to the Sea in December 1864 destroying much of
its infrastructure and directly inflicting great hardship on civilians.
The Southern strategy throughout the war was to ‘win by not losing’ and
so, in a sense, did not change very much. Many wanted Davis to follow
the ideas of Washington by fighting a war of attrition. However, this
proved difficult because Southern governors demanded that no section of
the South should be allowed to fall to the North. Thus, a ‘cordon strategy’
was adopted which spread Confederate forces too thinly.
5(b) To what extent had the White South accepted the policies of 20
Reconstruction by 1877?
Indicative content
Arguments which suggest that the White South did not accept Reconstruction
may include the following. The main forms of opposition to Reconstruction
included the passage of the Black Codes in 1865–66 and the formation of
groups such as the Ku Klux Klan. These violent grassroots bodies attacked
ex-slaves and Southern Republicans to prevent Reconstruction. In addition,
the South resisted as much as it could because it objected to giving freedmen
political equality via the 14th and 15th Amendments because this meant that
freedmen could vote and be voted into office. The South’s view was that the
abolition of slavery via the 13th Amendment did not mean that freedmen
should be granted political equality. This led to Black Codes being passed in
nine Southern states. Furthermore, the South also resisted Reconstruction
because it was imposed and enforced by Northern politicians. President
Johnson, a Southerner himself, opposed Radical Reconstruction and thus the
South did not experience its full enforcement. However, Johnson’s successor,
Ulysses Grant, was determined to ensure equality for the freedmen. As a
result, the Ku Klux Klan became even more active in 1869–71. The South was
prepared to use violence to uphold the supremacy of the whites. Southern
opposition to Reconstruction was based on a fear of racial equality.
Arguments which suggest that the South did accept Reconstruction by 1877
may include points about the 1877 Compromise. For example, by 1877 the
South had accepted that they were once more part of the union and would be
governed by the elected President. However, there were still limitations to this
acceptance and opposition remained despite the Compromise. In 1877, the
Republicans, essentially a Northern party, conceded rule of the South to the
Democrats. Although there had been some moves forward for freedmen this
ensured that political equality became an ever-more distant reality as the
entrenched discrimination that was accepted in the Compromise of 1877
would last for the best part of a century.
Note: Jim Crow Laws are identified as any racial legislation introduced in the
period from 1877 to the mid twentieth century and thus fall outside the remit of
this essay.
Indicative content
Attempts to ban the sale of alcohol had been around for most of the
nineteenth century, gaining support in the 1880s and 1890s. The Anti-
Saloon League, formed in 1895, became the main organisation calling for
prohibition. The title of this group is significant. Saloons were almost as
much the focus of the campaign as was alcohol. Saloons were centres of
corrupt and often violent activities, especially in the rapidly expanding
cities of the North. They were seen as being linked to the power of party
bosses and the dominance of machine politics.
Thus, the campaign for prohibition gained most support from the rural
West, from women, who were also campaigning for the vote at the time,
from nativists against new immigrant communities, from Protestant
churches especially.
The movement gained more support from 1902 after Wayne Wheeler
became the leader of the Anti-Saloon League. Under his leadership, the
ASL worked within the two-party system, encouraging people to vote
across party lines for the ‘dry’ candidate.
When the USA joined the First World War in April 1917, prohibitionists
used patriotism to gain more support. Grain used to brew alcohol could
be better used in the war effort. Most leading brewers were German
Americans. By the end of 1917, Congress had passed the 18th
Amendment.
Indicative content
Possible discussions around the influence of trusts may include the following.
A trust was a device for bringing together any number of companies providing
the same goods or service into a centrally controlled organisation the aim of
which was to dominate the sector. This allowed prices to be fixed or
production controlled. The member companies remained separate entities
while strategic management was done by the trust. The best-known trusts
were the Standard Oil Trust, formed in 1882, and US Steel, formed in 1901. J
D Rockefeller was the head of Standard Oil, Andrew Carnegie of U S Steel.
Other major sectors organised into trusts included copper, tobacco, and
sugar. There were economic reasons for creating trusts: they usually enabled
integration of production, whether horizontal or vertical, allowing companies to
be more efficient. If a trust had a large enough share of the market, then it
could prevent new companies from entering the market. These various
reasons helped increase the profits of trust members and encourage
investment in these industries which had a knock-on effect in the wider
economy. The wider context for the growth of trusts and organisations is that
the US political and legal system of the time allowed these companies to
come together into trusts: the Republicans, friends of big business, controlled
Washington DC, and laissez faire was the predominant ideology of the time.
7(a) Explain why Britain developed closer diplomatic relations with France 10
after 1898.
Indicative content
Indicative content
In the early nineteenth century a theory was developed which claimed that
there was a hierarchy of races in which white people were argued to be
superior to any other groups. The publication of Darwin’s The Origin of
Species seemed to justify this and became the basis of a theory known as
Social Darwinism. This theory was used to justify the treatment of other races
as inferior and thus to take control of the lands they owned. Consciously or
not, this was in part responsible for the imposition of European style
administration and laws and wherever Europeans settled they placed
themselves at the head of the social hierarchy. They automatically assumed
their systems and culture were superior to those of indigenous populations.
For example, David Livingstone, missionary, and explorer, claimed that it was
his duty to introduce Africans to three Cs: commerce, Christianity, and
civilisation.
On the other hand, whilst the belief in natural superiority might have
underpinned the activities of European powers in the latter part of the
nineteenth century, there were more immediate and practical considerations
that led to the development of New Imperialism. The claim to be intent on
‘improving the lives of the local people’ was a useful justification for
developing their own interests.
8(a) Explain why the League of Nations failed to end the conflict that broke 10
out in Manchuria in 1931.
Indicative content
Essentially the generic reasons for the weaknesses of the League were
emphasised by the specific circumstances surrounding the Manchuria crisis.
8(b) ‘The British policy of appeasement was responsible for the outbreak of 20
war in 1939.’ To what extent do you agree?
Indicative content
There is no doubt that appeasement did nothing to discourage Hitler from his
plans but there are other factors that led to war, and it is arguable that even
without appeasement the path to conflict would not have been substantially
different.
However, Hitler’s long-term plan was to unite all the German people in a
single state and to expand German territory eastwards so this would
eventually have led to war. The Nazi-Soviet Pact seemed to challenge this
plan but was, as both sides realised, simply a temporary arrangement that
allowed Germany to invade Poland. With no threat from the Soviet Union
Hitler believed there would be no challenge to his move against Poland and
this miscalculation was to have serious consequences for him. A number of
factors made any challenge that included the possibility of conflict before the
late 1930s very difficult. France would not move against German plans as
shown in the Rhineland Crisis and the Great Depression left the western allies
in no position for extensive remilitarisation until the mid-1930s so war was
simply not an option. There was also strong public resistance to any idea of
war which would have made any alternative policy very difficult. So whilst war
might ultimately be unavoidable it was not practical until the late 1930s, even
without appeasement.
Indicative content
The primary focus will probably be on how Japan was treated at the Versailles
Peace Conference, but candidates should consider the subsequent
developments at the Washington Naval Conference since this was a direct
offshoot of the Versailles Conference commitment to disarmament.
Though officially one of the major powers Japan was largely excluded
from the major decision making of the ‘Big Three’.
Initially awarded the former German concession on the Shandong
peninsula this was subsequently taken away by the ‘Big Three’ after
protests from China.
Japanese attempts to add a racial equality clause to the Treaties was
vetoed by white colonial interests.
At the Washington Naval Conference, the Japanese were expected to
accept a naval size significantly smaller that their major naval rivals US
and GB (Five Power Treaty 9:9:5)
Japanese people blamed democratic governments for accepting this
treaty and resentment of western powers grew.
9(b) How far does the war against Japan explain the failure of the 20
Kuomintang to limit support for the Communists after 1937?
Indicative content
In July 1937, following the Marco Polo Bridge incident, the Japanese
launched a full-scale invasion of the remaining Chinese territory they did not
yet control. Months earlier at the Xi’an Bridge incident the KMT and the CCP
had formed the Second United Front to challenge Japanese aggression. But
the war against Japan had a significant effect in changing the balance
between the two parties in the struggle for control of China. The main
Japanese thrust was south to take control of the large coastal cities and their
trading facilities. As the CCP were isolated in Yan’an in the northeast of China
it was left to the KMT to deal with the brunt of this attack. By the end of 1937
the government had been forced out of the KMT headquarters in Nanking.
Ruthless Japanese scorched earth policy left hundreds of thousands without
food or shelter. In June 1938, in a desperate attempt to stop Japanese
advances, Chiang ordered destruction of the Yellow River flood control
system and though the subsequent flooding stopped Japanese advance it
also resulted in the death of up to one million peasants. Despite stopping
Japan’s advance, the government incurred significant damage to its support
because of the terrible consequences for its own population. In the meantime,
Chiang established his wartime capital at Chungking from where it appeared
that he did very little to pursue an active campaign against the Japanese
thereby steadily losing the initiative in his struggle against the CCP.
At the same time other factors led to a loss of support for the KMT. Its general
failure to deliver on three basic principles of Sun Yat-sen and Chiang’s focus
on big business had already alienated significant sections of the population
even before the war began. The Chungking government did nothing to
alleviate the impression of underlying corruption and inefficiency. American
aid for the war against Japan was often diverted to other causes and Chiang’s
demands increasingly alienated the US government. Equally it might be
argued that the war weakened Chiang in that it gave real impetus to the
expansion of Communist control from its stronghold in Yan ‘an.
Whilst the Republican army was being defeated in traditional warfare, the
communists organised increasingly successful guerrilla activities, using and
expanding its influence amongst the rural peasantry. Mao employed an
effective propaganda campaign to present hid forces as the successful
defenders of China against the incursions of the Japanese, able to portray the
KMT government as distant and uninvolved whilst his fighters were on the
front line of resistance.
The best responses will need to make a comparative judgement about the
role of different factors in the changing relative strengths of the two sides and
provide relevant support for such a judgement.