An explosion that claimed two lives in a Polish village near the border with Ukraine dominated Finnish headlines on Wednesday morning.
Mika Aaltola, director of the Finnish Institute for Foreign Affairs (FIIA), explained to Helsingin Sanomat that Poland would not ignore the explosion on its territory.
He told HS that Poland's and Nato's reaction would hinge on whether the missiles that struck the village were an accident or an intentional provocation by Russia.
"Russian and Polish relations are very bad and this kind of accident can have consequences," Aaltola said.
Iltalehti meanwhile carried international news agency reports suggesting that the missiles that hit Poland may not have launched from Russia. The source of the missile remained unclear on Wednesday morning, with Reuters quoting US President Joe Biden suggesting the device was probably not fired from Russia.
Meanwhile, Pekka Toveri, a former head of the Finland Defence Command Intelligence Division, told HS that Russia has no motive to expand the war, considering its recent lack of success in Ukraine.
"The idea that Russia would start firing at a superior Nato country is difficult to believe," he said, suggesting that the strike was a technical error.
Swedish Lieutenant Colonel Joakim Paasikivi told Hufvudstadsbladet that Nato's reaction to the blast was the question now, as the missiles landed in a member country's territory.
"If it's deemed an attack, it would trigger Nato's Article 5, the alliance's mutual defence pact," Paasikivi, whose great-grandfather was Finnish president JK Paasikivi, explained.
IL also spoke to military expert Ilmari Käihkö who said mounting criticism towards Russia could compel Vladimir Putin to escalate the war in Ukraine.
Käihkö said he did not believe the war in Ukraine would end anytime soon, noting that both sides currently lacked the will to compromise.
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