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AGENDA SETTINGS IN PUBLIC POLICY
PhD GOKHAN KOCA
Abstract
As society we live in today is evolving very quickly, it has become more complex and more
difficult to cope with problems that stem from society’s fluctuating social conditions. Since
problems related to the society are complicated and interactive in nature, they influence other
members of the society in a way that requires an immediate governmental action. According to
Kingdon (2003), agenda is a list of public issues which are given a close importance by people and
tried to gain the attention of governmental officials at any given time. By approaching from the
political perspective, Shafritz and his friends (2005) defines agenda setting as an interactive process
in which ideas or important issues are gathered by society through using a number of political
channels in order to catch the attention of both official and unofficial political figures such as
courts, mass media and legislative branch. Agenda setting process includes three very important
streams of activity which provide enough room to open policy windows. These policy windows
present an opportunity for public entrepreneurs to couple and bring their social issues on to the
institutional agenda status (Kingdon, 2003). At an even more complex level of analysis, firearms
policy reflects cultural, normative structural forces that are shared with other visible systemic
policies. Although opponents have not kept the issue entirely off the agenda, they have been able to
restrict the options considered and impact implementation strategies.
Key words: Agenda settings, public policy, gun control, public issue, Agenda types
Muhsin Celebi Mahallesi Sehit Yasar Gecgil Sokak (602 Sokak) No:14/7 Aksaray/ TURKEY
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Introduction
As society we live in today is evolving very quickly, it has become more complex and more
difficult to cope with problems that stem from society’s fluctuating social conditions. Since
problems related to the society are complicated and interactive in nature, they influence other
members of the society in a way that requires an immediate governmental action. Such social
problems and issues are always in a big competition with each other in order to gain maximum
attention of governmental officers who have authorities to bring them into the national agenda.
Gun control is a perfect example of how it has managed to come to the national agenda, although it
has more negative consequences in comparison to other issues. However, not all social problems or
serious collective issues of society manage to reach national agenda level because of a number of
factors including inadequate resources, time, interest, or inexperienced policy entrepreneurs. In
some cases, whereas issues with greater importance for the public benefits fail to get on an agenda,
other relatively less important issues can easily call public attention and reach the national agenda.
According to Kingdon (2003), agenda is a list of public issues which are given a close
importance by people and tried to gain the attention of governmental officials at any given time. By
approaching from the political perspective, Shafritz and his friends (2005) defines agenda setting as
an interactive process in which ideas or important issues are gathered by society through using a
number of political channels in order to catch the attention of both official and unofficial political
figures such as courts, mass media and legislative branch. Kingdon (2003) also calls attention the
distinction between agenda and alternatives by stating that whereas alternatives is generally
adopted by experts and technicians, agenda is commonly dominated by official policy actors such
as presidents and members of congress.
The systemic agenda is called as discussion agenda and it includes all ideas, issues and
problems that are taken into consideration by society as a serious public issue and has potential to
attract an adequate level of legitimate governmental officers’ attention (Anderson, 2003 & Gupta,
2001).
A social problem must be taken into account by relevant governmental officials when the
institutional (governmental) agenda is the case. An institutional agenda is called as an action
agenda and it consists of limited number of problems or issues to which legislators or public
officials feel obliged to give serious and an active attention (Birkland, 2001& Cobb and Elder,
1972). Institutional agenda’s content includes more details, limited number of items and specific
explanations about the accepted social issue (Cobb and Elder, 1972). According to Kingdon (2003),
in institutional agenda status a social problem gets enough attention by governmental officers, it;
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however, is ready for active decision when the decision agenda is the case. This paper aims to
analyze agenda setting process by using gun control policy.
1. How Social Problems Come To The National Agenda?
In order to provide clarification for agenda setting process, this section analyzes Kingdon’s
streams of agenda setting to shed light into how gun control have come to the national agenda. It
also provides information about the models to shape the political agenda.
1.1.
Kingdon’s Streams Metaphor of Agenda Setting
Agenda setting process includes three very important streams of activity which provide
enough room to open policy windows. These policy windows present an opportunity for public
entrepreneurs to couple and bring their social issues on to the institutional agenda status (Kingdon,
2003). The first stream is the problem stream in which various social issues and problems are
followed by both official policy makers of governmental body and individuals. These social issues
and problems are determined through focusing on indicators, focusing events, and feedback
(Sabatier, 2007). Until the 1930’s, gun control was not in the public agenda. Following the gun
related violence American citizens experienced, opinion surveys first began to ask Americans about
their attitudes towards gun control in the 1930’s. According to surveys; most American citizens’
supported the more restrictive gun laws, particularly at the federal level such as waiting periods,
police permits, gun registration, and mandatory child-proof trigger locks (Singh, 2003). Anderson
(2003) states that, the initial requirement of the policy agenda is about demand (demands need to be
made). As stated above, the first step was brought to attention to the public through surveys. The
statistics also indicates how gun control deserves attention from public and officials. Thousands
are killed by gunfire each year (16,503 people in 2006) and hundreds of thousands more are
threatened or injured in robberies and assaults (857,921 cases in 2006).
The second stream, policy stream, contains possible solution alternatives which are in
competition with each other to open the policy window. In general, these solution alternatives are
produced both the official and unofficial policy actors through hearings, academic articles, and
discussions (Sabatier, 2007). The debate over gun control can and should be conducted, at least in
part, in the context of a framework that defines the appropriate relationship between the individual,
the community, and the state. Main part of this debate lays in the Second Amendment, which states,
"A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a Free State, the right of the people to
keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed." The proper interpretation of this statement has been
contested in recent years. Scholars arguing the constitutionality of gun-control measures focus on
the militia clause, and conclude that this is a right given to state governments (Wills, 1995). Others
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assert that the right is given to "the people" rather than to the states, just as are the rights conferred
in the First Amendment, and that the Founding Fathers were committed to the notion of an armed
citizenry as a defense against both tyranny and crime (Van Alstyne, 1994). In any event, even if
there is an individual right to bear arms, then (like the right of free speech) it is surely not absolute,
but subject to reasonable restrictions. The appropriate extent of those restrictions, however, remains
an unresolved issue. Rather ironically, for all the popular attention and disagreement that the
Second Amendment generates, it is arguably certain that other provisions of the US constitution
pose more formidable barriers to the enactment of stronger gun control (Singh, 2003).
The final stream is the political stream which comprises three basic components as the
national mood, electoral change or turnover in administration and legislative branch, and influences
of interest group activities. Policy windows are opened by compelling social problem or events that
can influence political stream for a short duration. A national mood which refers to tendency for
sharing the same ideas and standing along the common lines for the sake of country’s general wellbeing can also lead to open policy window for social problems which are waiting for to reach
institutional agenda status. Along with the protests or campaigns of interest groups, electoral
change and turnovers of main official policymakers also provide opportunity for policy
entrepreneurs to open policy window for agenda status (Birkland, 2001).According to Sabatier
(2007), if these three elements manage to come together in one place, this influential combination
can open policy windows easily. He also argues that policy choices are determined if the three
streams are gathered in one place and coupled by the policy entrepreneurs at the right time. A
successful policy entrepreneur must possess some qualifications such as having easy access to
policymakers, having adequate resources in terms of money, time, and energy, and having an
ability to use manipulation tools. In order to combine all relevant elements to produce best choice,
policy entrepreneur must also retain their attention and concentration among limited number of
social issues, conduct necessary researches on them, and select the best choice (Sabatier, 2007).
Neither the political culture nor the Second Amendment explanations can fully account for
America’s non-strict gun regulatory regime, in particular, to the more practical politics that feature
the matrix of elected officials, political parties, organized interests, and governing institutions may
be responsible for the lax laws about gun control (Cook and Hemenway, 1997). Gun politics in
America since 1968 has been distinguished by two reliable features: First; crisis moments when, in
the aftermath of notable gun violence incidents (like assassination of Kennedy and Martin Luther
King), a window of opportunity is created for the passage of new federal controls; and second, the
rapid and decisive closing of that window by the longer-term dominance of gun rights groups, most
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notably by the NRA. NRA has been highly successful in its lobbying efforts to either halt or curtail
the scope of gun control legislation. The numerous efforts undertaken at the federal level including
the National Firearms Act of 1934, The Gun Control Act of 1968, The Firearms Owners Protection
Act of 1986, The Assault Weapons Ban of 1994, and the Brady Bill of 1993 all clearly had not only
the input of the NRA, but were almost either rewritten by the NRA through it’s legislative
connections, or the NRA heavily influenced the elected members of Congress to severely amend
the bills so as to curtail any infringements on gun control (Singh, 2003).
The most notable group on the opposing side is the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun
Violence. Formerly known as the Handgun Control Act, this group was founded by a businessman
whose son had been murdered with a gun. Recognizing the influence of the NRA, the Brady
Campaign patterned its tactics and structure the same way. Specifically, it sought a grassroots
membership base and engaged them in letter writing, telephone canvassing, and financial support
of gun control issues. In addition, they attempted to disparage its opponents. Their primary focus
has continued to be state and national lobbying initiatives. Although, in comparison to that of the
NRA, its size, resources, and influence pales, it has won some battles, they have been mostly
ineffective in quelling the gun control debate and moving the government to fulfill its responsibility
to the citizenry (Kairys, 2000).
Policy makers adopt some social problems, but they ignore others. The main reason under
this situation is the differences in policy entrepreneurs’ effort to couple all three streams. The more
they couple all streams in one critical time, the more policy problem can reach the institutional
agenda status (Sabatier, 2007& Birkland, 2001).
1.2.
Models and Theories for Institutional Agenda Setting
Rational choice theory is the form of decision making at the center of political science.
Persons are utility maximizers and decide in accord with available information and resources to
gain the optimum outcome. However, it is not always a pure but partial rationality that individuals
can pursue because of the limitations surrounding us. Rationality is bounded, as coined by Herbert
Simon, to limitations of time, information, and cognition. Then decision maker is only able to seek
the goal that satisfies the utility under the current conditions even if it is not the perfect one.
Incremental model decision making has challenged the rationalist model. By synthesizing
the incremental decision making model with the non-incremental alterations, Bryan Jones and his
colleagues pinned the “incremental decision model” of decision making. This model assumes that
decision makers perform bounded rationality surrounded with restraints such as contemporary
environment of institutions, interests, and resources which lead to a pattern of limited, small or no
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changes of reacting to activators for long time periods. Decisions therefore have small or little drifts
over time when compared to hitherto undertakings and then constitute a steady “equilibrium”.
Dramatic changes in the conditions entail the decision makers to alter their strategies. As a
reflection to punctuation, swift new decision constitutes a new equilibrium to be lasting for another
long time. Through this occasion, there lies incremental small or no changes for long epoch but
sudden changes appear in instances since decision makers seek for new equilibrium to satisfy.
Punctuated equilibrium seems to replace incrementalism, as proponents also see as such.
However, it does not look to be useful in complete analysis of policy choice as incrementalism
because punctuated equilibrium allows explaining subsystemic policy changes. It mostly focuses on
agenda setting on attention grabbing issues and on information process of the political system. This
model guides us to reach consistent upshots of the punctuated equilibrium but not as much
incrementalism allows reaching.
The last model is Kingdom’s garbage can model which includes ingredients from pluralist,
elitist, and sub governmental models. This model assumes that while making decision on policy
issues, individuals suffer from defective rationality, lack of good preferences, and imperfect
participation.
Singh (2003) characterizes the process as one of political entrepreneurs and policy streams
that occasionally assemble to open policy windows for a limited time. Underlying both works is the
presumption that; most policies will lack adequate constituent support to access the agenda. Only
when events produce wide public awareness and support that will cause to take place in systemic
policy; and the serious consideration will be given to the issue. Thus the incentive is far greater to
craft policy initiatives for wide appeal than for effective implementation. Gun control is a classic
example. Since 1968, numerous policy proposals have been introduced in Congress, the press has
periodically focused on the issue, and a number of presidential commissions have made
recommendations for strict control. Besides these facts, congress has not perceived enough
intensity in public support to address comprehensive controls. Public support has consistently been
stronger for the concept of gun control than for specifics such as owner licensing, registration, or
prohibition.
Shafritz (2005) states that agenda setting is the process by which ideas or issues bubble up
through the different political channels to take in to consideration by a political institution such as a
court or legislature. Moreover, he asserts that the news media play a powerful role in setting policy
agendas and framing the way the public and policy makers think about and respond to issues.
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Agenda setting, which is usually confined to professional politicians, is a game that anybody can
play and participate (Shafritz, Layne & Borick, 2005).
At an even more complex level of analysis, firearms policy reflects cultural, normative
structural forces that are shared with other visible systemic policies. Although opponents have not
kept the issue entirely off the agenda, they have been able to restrict the options considered and
impact implementation strategies. Cobb and Elder (1972) identifies the four criteria for accessing
the systemic political agenda as; 1-Broad public awareness of the issue: Singh (2003) states that
starting from 1930’s gun control has driven a broad public awareness.
2-Consensus that it constitutes a significant problem: Public has a strong consensus that gun
violence creates a significant problem (Singh, 2003). 3-Legitimacy as a public issue: There are
many regulations about gun control policy either at the federal or state levels (Singh, 2003). 4Susceptibility to correction the government action: There are many attempts about gun control.
According to statisticians, each year in America, 38,000 people die in gun related incidents
(Kirby, 1990). Gun control, like other issue areas in government, follows a certain policy cycle.
Gun control is more highly affected by public opinion and the desires of interest groups than other
issue areas. Like many other policy issues, gun control also involves a link between federal, state,
and local organizations. All of these characteristics make the area of gun control quite complex
public policy issue (Braga, David, Anne and Waring, 2001).
Gun control policy’s main objective is; to develop and implement government programs to
make guns less readily available, especially to those inclined toward violence, deserve a high
priority in order to save lives and reduce the burden of crime on any society. Contrary to this policy
objective, the number of firearms has grown to well over 20 million and the number of stakeholders
has vastly increased in the last decades. In addition, the market has shifted from one dominated by
sporting arms to one dominated by combat firearms. Thus the problem has evolved while the issue
hovered at the margins of the agenda, presenting policy makers with a much different environment
than existed in earlier years (Dorfman, 2000).
Political structure, values, and culture have all served to inhibit decisive action on gun
control. Structurally, the system designed to eliminate the concentration of power, thus inhibiting
decisive action. This is reinforced by a political culture with a strong preference for incrementalism
and against collective analysis (Jones, 1997). Advocates respond by pursuing marginal changes that
undercut the argument for theory or paradigm shift, thus undercutting their own theoretical base. A
bias toward the individual level of analysis favors opponents of public action, who can focus on the
high costs of policies to a few impacted parties, over advocates, who pursue marginal benefits
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spread over the general population (Jones, 1997). The results are fragmented and inconsistent
policies, often initiated after the targeted activity is well established and hardest to alter (Vizzard,
1995).
2.
Agenda Denial And Loss Of Status
Why do some public issues reach on the national agenda, where others are not taken into
consideration by relevant government officers? It is true that attracting governmental officials’
interest to the specific public issue is not an easy job and it requires more resources in terms of
money, time, and energy to construct an adequate level governmental support and attention for the
proposed public issue. In order to reach national agenda level items need extensive interest and
concern from the relevant policy actors. In order to light up this context, this section briefly
describes an identification of key players and factors for agenda setting and factors that lead agenda
denial.
2.1.
Lack of Key Players and Ways for Agenda Setting
Political leadership is an important factor in setting agendas or political leaders may try to
set the agenda involve in this process because of the fear of being unsuccessful in re-election,
striving to create good public policy, and historical achievement (Anderson, 2003 & Birkland,
2001). Incentives for reelection may varry among actors. Whereas some of them want to get office
for getting an opportunity to make good end feasible policies in the future, others take another
position and desire to come office for satisfying their opportunistic nature (Wrasai, 2006). Between
these two extreme, in one hand, voters try to encourage good politicians in their commitment to
create good public policies, on the other hand, they want to control bad politician misuse of power
and their opportunistic nature by using the reelection card. Therefore, politicians’ hesitations
regarding reelection may influence their preferences about social issues that are waiting for
reaching on institutional agenda status.
One way of satisfying politicians is making good policies. Additionally, policymakers,
especially, presidents always want to leave a deep trace of achievement and favorable fame behind
them. This is another important incentive that lies under their desire of making good policies. They
know that the more they produce effective and efficient policies, the more recognition they can
obtain (Van Horn et. al. 2001). Therefore, striving to create good public policy and historical
achievement of politicians can play an important role in elevating public issues on to the
institutional agenda.
Another way of influencing political process is big business and interest groups’ lobbying
activities which refers to activities of various actors in order to influence policymakers’ decision
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making process (Birkland (2001). Similarly, rent seeking refers to activities of individuals in order
to get benefit at the expense of other people, and it is usually exercised by interest groups in order
to get exceptional legislative privilege. These big business and interest groups may also involve in
campaigns or protest activities on order to call governmental attention to their issues for
institutional agenda status. Interest groups’ role in agenda process is creating a very close
relationship with legislators, and bureaucrats in order to influence and force them to adopt policy
issues that can yield benefits for their groups (Van Horn et. al. 2001). Gun control provides an
example of an issue where public policy outcomes do not reflect majority preferences. Gun control
is dominated by the NRA, and gun rights groups who provide an energizing support to an active
minority that opposes stronger gun control. As a part of the nongovernmental participants in the
public policy, the gun rights lobby plays the interest groups role in the issue. As Anderson (2003)
states; they express demands and present alternatives (like claiming that possessing concealed
weapons decrease the crime rates) for policy action. By focusing their issue, they substantially
affect the public policy. Especially, at the national level, state and local government officials are
influenced by these interest groups
The mass media such as newspapers, news magazines, internet, televisions, and radio is
another powerful actor in policymaking process, especially, in agenda setting stage. Mass media’s
main role is seen in their ability to provide critical information, unique ideas, and efficient feedback
for policymakers in order to influence and shape their opinion over a particular policy issue
(Anderson, 2003). Additionally, the mass media has a crucial role through the course of election
campaign since they provide both positive and negative feedbacks that can give cues for voters to
make their mind (Van Horn et. al. 2001). Therefore, the mass media plays an important role in
preparing public issues for the institutional agenda status.
Political changes such as election results, electoral cycle, and administrations may influence
the speed of public issues through agenda setting process. Since political parties are generally
formed for competition in winning election and controlling government (Mahler, 2003), they also
play an important role in agenda setting process. In one hand, they force elected legislators to adopt
party preferences by using the party discipline concept; on the other hand, they manipulate elected
legislators’ decision making process by providing biased ideas consistent with political party’s
ideological goals. Therefore, political parties’ preferences emerge as an important factor that can
lead a social issue on the institutional agenda level.
According to Anderson (2003) social issues may achieve to reach institutional agenda status
and be acted upon as a result of some sort of crisis, natural disaster, or sensation event. Hurricane,
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air-plain disaster, earthquake, and flooding are set a very good example for encouraging
government officials to elevate them on to the institutional agenda. Lack of such events and crises
may result in failure to reach institutional agenda status.
According to Cobb and Elder (1972), there are two main mechanisms (internal and external
events) that help to shape social issues. The internal event mechanism includes five sub classes.
The first one is natural disaster such as earthquake, flooding, and fire. The second subdivision,
unexpected human activities, includes riot, hijacking, and murders. Technological change emerges
as a third internal event issue. As a fourth subdivision, we can see protest activities and strikes that
stem from injustice and unfairness resource distribution. Finally, the last internal event type is
ecological change including migration and increasing population in some areas. As for the external
mechanism, the most striking one can be innovation in weapon technology which brings debates on
gun control. Other external mechanism may be international conflict and changing world alignment
patterns (Cobb and Elder, 1972).
Finally, along with above-mentioned players and factors, technological changes in every
segment of the society, change in statistical indicators, and other governmental entities are factors
that can influence the agenda setting process
2.2.
Factors for Agenda Denial and Issue-Attention Cycle
There are some reasons that lead agenda denial because of the efforts of agenda opponents.
The first reason is denying the existence of the social problem. Secondly, agenda opponents accept
the existence of social problem, but ignore it by stating that the problem is not within the
accessibility of governmental bodies, and direct governmental action is not appropriate for the
defined social problem. Thirdly, there may be a possibility of facing some negative consequences
as a result of accepting social issues if government takes action towards it. Fourthly, governmental
officers do not involve in some social problems if they think that they can be solved better by the
non-governmental organizations. Finally, resources in terms of time, money, and energy can direct
other areas rather than specific social problems (Anderson, 2003).
Anthony Downs (1972) argues that some public issues disappear from public agenda, and
explain his ideas through issue-attention cycle which includes five consecutive phases. The first
phase is the “pre-problem stage” which refers the existence of the problem but fails to get enough
public attention. The second phase is the “alarmed discovery and euphoric enthusiasm”. In this
phase, individuals are aware of the existed social problem, and there is a strong desire to take initial
steps for solving it. The next phase, the “realization of the cost of significant progress, the high cost
of the social problem is realized by individuals. In the fourth phase, the “gradual decline in the
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intensity of public interest”, individuals suffer from difficulties that stem from high cost and show
discouragement. The final phase is the “post-problem stage”. In this stage, the social problem fades
away from the public interest (Downs, 1972).
Conclusion
Much of the intensity and emotive character of the gun control conflict arises from the
sharply divided groups in the US Society. For traditionalists, firearms represent the culture of
American Culture. They claim that Second Amendment secure and protect individual’s freedom
and property rights and deterring government from disregarding personal liberties. But, for the
opponents of this view, the more guns, the more criminals in the society. According to their claim;
there must be some strict regulations to hinder owning guns for the sake of society.
There is no exact solution to the problem. This may be justified by saying that; United
States has a modern democracy. Majone (2003) asserts that, policy making process focuses on the
pre- and post-decision processes rather than on the actual moment of choice. Knowing how a
problem has been defined is essential to understanding the process of agenda formation. There is an
almost unlimited number of policy problems that could be awarded very high or the highest
attention (reaching the top of the political agenda) by the government, the media, and the public.
Some policy solutions will be considered while others will not.
According to Birkland (2001), agenda setting is the process by which problems and
alternative solutions gain or loose public and elite attention. Group competition to set the agenda is
fierce because no society, political system, official actor, unofficial actor, or individual person has
the capacity to address all possible alternatives to all possible problems that arise at any one time.
Groups must therefore fight to earn their issues’ places among all the other issues sharing the
limited space on the agenda or to prepare for the time when a crisis makes their issue more likely to
occupy a more prominent space on the agenda. Even when an issue gains attention, groups must
fight to ensure that their depiction of the issue remains in the forefront and that their preferred
approaches to the problem are those that are most actively considered. Schattschneider (2001)
asserts that; the group that successfully describes a problem will also be the one that defines the
solutions to it, thereby prevailing in the policy debate. At the same time, groups fight to keep issues
off the agenda.
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References
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