ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Obama and the ACA EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m.

Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2013

Botched ACA Rollout Hammers Obama; Job Disapproval Reaches a Career High
Barack Obama has been hammered by the botched rollout of the Affordable Care Act, with disapproval of his job performance reaching a career high, opposition to the new healthcare law up sharply and evidence of potential fallout in the midterm elections a year off. The presidents job approval rating has fallen to 42 percent in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, down 13 percentage points this year and 6 points in the past month to match the lowest of his presidency. Fifty-five percent disapprove, a record. And 70 percent say the countrys headed seriously off on the wrong track up 13 points since May to the most in two years.

Other ratings of the presidents performance have tumbled as well. Hes at career lows for being a strong leader, understanding the problems of average Americans and being honest and trustworthy numerically under water on each of these (a first for the latter two). His rating for strong leadership is down by 15 points this year and a vast 31 points below its peak shortly after he took office. In a new gauge, just 41 percent rate him as a good manager; 56 percent think not.

Obama attributes Strong leader Understands Americans problems Honest and trustworthy Good manager

Now 46% 47 47 41

Previous 61 (1/13) 55 (1/13) 56 (10/12) NA

This poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds that the presidents personal image has suffered alongside his professional ratings. Fewer than half, 46 percent, see him favorably overall, down 14 points this year to the fewest of his presidency. Fifty-two percent now view him unfavorably, a new high and a majority for the first time since he took office. It may matter: Personal popularity can provide a president with cushioning when the going gets rough. Losing it leaves the president more vulnerable.

ACA Skepticism about the Affordable Care Act looks to be the driving force in Obamas troubles. Americans by nearly 2-1, 63-33 percent, disapprove of his handling of implementation of the new health care law. And the public by 57-40 percent now opposes the law overall, its most negative rating to date, with opposition up by 8 points in the past month alone. Intensity of sentiment is running against the law and the president alike. At 46 percent, strong opposition to the ACA a new high outpaces strong support by a record 19 points. In terms of 2

Obamas job performance overall, strong critics outnumber strong approvers by 2-1, 44-22 percent, with strong disapproval at another career high. Hed run evenly on strong sentiment as recently as last May. Fifty-six percent describe the cancellation of health insurance policies that are deemed substandard under the law as mismanagement rather than a normal startup problem. Given the breakdown of the healthcare.gov website, a broad 71 percent favor postponing the individual mandate requiring nearly all Americans to have coverage. And the mandates still widely unpopular in any case; 65 percent of Americans oppose it a majority of them, strongly. Notably, even among those who support the individual mandate. 55 percent favor delaying it.

The poll produces evidence that the ACA could spell trouble for Democrats in the 2014 midterm elections. Americans by a 16-point margin, 37-21 percent, are more likely to oppose than to support a candidate for Congress who favors Obamacare. Thats opened up from an even score in July 2012. (Using an intensity rating those who are much more or less likely to support a candidate who backs the ACA its still 15 points negative, vs. 2 points last year.)
More likely to support or oppose a candidate who backs the ACA? Support Oppose No diff. 11/17/13 21% 37 40 7/8/12 28 28 41

The health care law looks most politically hazardous in the states that backed Mitt Romney in 2012; there Americans by 3-1, 46-15 percent, say theyre more inclined to oppose than to support a candidate who favors the law. But the ACAs no help even in the blue states that backed Obama; while the division is far closer, 31 percent in those states are inclined to oppose an ACA-linked candidate, vs. 25 percent whod be more apt to support one. For all the ACAs troubles, Americans divide evenly, 49-49 percent, on whether the law simply is unworkable or the government can recover and implement it successfully. While its individual mandate is widely opposed, 58 percent support its requirement that companies with 50 or more employees provide coverage or pay a fine. And fewer than half though a still-troubling 44 percent think Obama intentionally misled the public when he said that people who liked their policies could keep them. (For comparison, there were four occasions in 2005-6 when majorities said George W. Bush had intentionally misled the American public on Iraq.)

TURN The results overall represent a sharp turnaround in fortune for Obama and his party, which just a month ago were ascendant over the Republicans in views of the budget dispute that led to a partial government shutdown. Today 45 percent of Americans call Obama too liberal, matching the high, and 46 percent say the same about the Democratic Party. And perhaps adding insult to injury, registered voters divide numerically in Mitt Romneys favor, 49-45 percent, if they had a mulligan for the 2012 presidential election. While the difference between the two is within the polls error margin, Obamas support is 6 points below his actual showing a year ago. 4

Indeed, even with the stock market soaring and GDP and the jobs market gaining ground, disenchantment with Obama has damaged his most critical issue-specific approval rating, for handling the economy. Fifty-seven percent disapprove, up by 9 points since May and the most since March 2012. Partisanship on all this is profound: Eighty-four percent of Democrats approve of Obamas job performance overall, while a mere 8 percent of Republicans agree a gap that matches the widest of Obamas presidency. Key, though, are views among political independents and in this group just 33 percent now approve of Obamas work in office, while 63 percent disapprove. Thats a career low for Obama among independents, down 21 points since January and 10 points in just the past month. Similarly showing damage in the center, Obamas dropped by 17 points in approval among moderates since January, to 46 percent, compared with his losses among conservatives and Republicans (down 12 and 9 points, respectively, albeit to a far lower level). At the same time, theres also one core support group in which Obama is hurting young adults, a group he won by an historic margin in 2008, and strongly again in 2012. The presidents overall approval rating has lost 23 points among adults age 18 to 29 since January, his steepest loss in any group. Their view that the countrys headed in the wrong direction has gained 20 points since May. And in just the past month, opposition to the health care law has jumped by 16 points among under-30s, with strong opposition up by 21 points. For all this, about as many Americans call both the Republican Party and the Tea Party political movement too conservative 43 and 40 percent, respectively as call Obama and the Democrats too liberal. And the number who say the Tea Party has too much influence over the GOP has nearly doubled, from 23 percent in spring 2010 to 43 percent now. That suggests the Republicans havent left the doghouse so much as Obama and the Democrats, courtesy of the troubled start of the new health care law, have joined them in it. METHODOLOGY This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone Nov. 14-17, 2013, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,006 adults, including landline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including design effect. Partisan divisions are 31-24-37 percent, Democrats-Republicansindependents. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York, N.Y. Analysis by Gary Langer. ABC News polls can be found at ABCNEWS.com at http://abcnews.com/pollingunit. Media contact: Julie Townsend, (212) 456-4934. 5

Full results follow.

*= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 42 22 21 48 28 20 47 25 22 49 25 24 51 32 20 50 27 23 50 29 21 55 32 23 54 33 21 52 33 10 51 33 10 51 32 11 50 31 11 50 30 11 50 28 12 50 28 11 51 28 11 50 28 11 51 29 10 50 29 9 50 29 10 50 29 21 50 30 20 51 31 20 50 30 21 50 26 24 49 29 20 50 27 23 47 24 24 47 26 21 50 30 20 46 28 18 50 29 22 48 25 23 49 25 24 44 22 22 42 21 21 43 21 22 44 18 26 47 25 22 47 27 20 56 29 27 47 27 21 51 27 24 54 30 23 49 24 25 50 27 23 50 26 24 46 24 22 50 28 22 52 30 22 54 31 23 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 55 11 44 49 10 39 47 11 37 44 12 32 44 10 33 45 10 35 46 11 36 41 8 33 42 9 32 46 10 36 47 10 37 47 11 36 48 11 37 48 11 37 48 12 37 48 11 36 46 11 36 46 11 36 46 10 36 47 9 37 48 10 38 47 9 37 47 10 38 47 10 37 44 10 34 46 12 34 45 11 35 46 13 33 49 15 34 49 13 36 45 10 35 50 11 39 46 11 36 48 11 37 47 13 34 53 15 37 54 14 40 53 16 38 46 9 37 48 14 35 49 13 37 38 14 24 50 12 37 45 12 33 43 15 28 47 15 32 45 11 34 47 13 34 52 14 38 47 12 35 45 12 33 44 11 33 No opinion 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3

11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 8/9/11* 7/17/11 6/5/11 5/2/11** 4/17/11 3/13/11 1/16/11 12/12/10 10/28/10 10/3/10 9/2/10 7/11/10 6/6/10 4/25/10

RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV

3/26/10 53 34 20 2/8/10 51 29 22 1/15/10 53 30 24 12/13/09 50 31 18 11/15/09 56 32 23 10/18/09 57 33 23 9/12/09 54 35 19 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center

43 46 44 46 42 40 43 40 37 31 26 29 25

8 12 13 13 13 11 12 11 9 10 8 9 8

35 33 32 33 29 29 31 29 28 22 18 20 17

3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 7

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 11/17/13 - Summary Table ------ Approve -----NET Strngly Smwht 41 22 20 33 18 16 ---- Disapprove ----NET Smwht Strngly 57 14 42 63 12 52 No op. 2 3

a. The economy b. Implementation of the new health care law c. held for release Trend: a. The economy

11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 10/13/12 RV 9/29/12 RV 9/9/12 RV 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 6/5/11 5/2/11* 4/17/11

-------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 41 22 20 44 23 20 45 25 20 45 22 22 48 26 22 44 22 22 44 24 20 50 24 25 50 27 23 47 26 21 47 23 25 45 24 21 44 20 23 44 21 23 42 20 22 44 23 21 38 20 18 44 23 22 41 19 22 41 17 24 38 18 20 35 17 19 36 15 21 39 18 22 40 20 20 40 18 22 42 23 19

------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 57 14 42 54 12 42 51 14 37 49 14 35 48 10 37 53 12 41 52 10 42 47 10 37 48 10 38 51 10 41 52 10 41 53 8 45 54 12 42 54 13 41 55 11 44 54 12 42 59 9 50 53 11 41 57 11 46 56 13 43 61 13 48 61 13 48 62 15 47 57 15 43 59 10 49 55 16 39 57 11 46

No opinion 2 2 4 6 4 3 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 2

3/13/11 43 22 21 1/16/11 46 22 24 12/12/10 43 21 22 10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 10/3/10 45 22 23 9/2/10 41 20 21 7/11/10 43 20 23 6/6/10 50 26 24 4/25/10 49 24 25 3/26/10 45 23 22 2/8/10 45 22 23 1/15/10 47 22 24 12/13/09 46 23 24 11/15/09 51 26 25 10/18/09 50 29 22 9/12/09 51 28 24 8/17/09 52 27 25 7/18/09 52 29 23 6/21/09 56 28 28 4/24/09 58 31 28 3/29/09 60 34 25 2/22/09 60 NA NA *Washington Post/Pew Research Center

55 51 54 54 53 57 54 49 49 52 53 52 52 47 48 46 46 46 41 38 38 34

13 13 15 15 13 13 13 12 10 12 15 13 12 12 13 13 13 10 13 13 12 NA

41 38 39 39 41 44 41 37 39 40 38 39 40 36 35 33 33 35 27 25 26 NA

2 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 3 6

b. The implementation of the new health care law -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 33 18 16 41 25 15 34 20 14 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 63 12 52 53 10 43 55 12 43 No opinion 3 6 11

11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13

3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)? Right direction 27 28 36 39 39 43 42 38 29 33 33 30 22 20 32 38 31 27 37 38 37 44 44 44 47 Wrong track 70 68 60 57 57 55 56 60 69 63 64 68 74 77 66 60 67 71 60 60 62 55 54 55 50 No opinion 3 4 4 4 5 2 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 3

11/17/13 10/20/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 1/13/13 10/31/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 4/8/12 1/15/12 11/3/11 9/1/11 6/5/11 1/16/11 12/12/10 10/28/10 6/6/10 3/26/10 1/15/10 11/15/09 10/18/09 8/17/09 6/21/09

LV RV RV RV

RV

4/24/09 3/29/09 2/22/09 1/16/09 12/14/08 10/25/08 10/11/08 9/22/08 8/22/08 6/15/08 5/11/08 1/12/08 11/1/07 6/1/07 1/19/07 11/4/06 10/22/06 10/8/06 5/15/06 11/2/05 10/24/04 4/18/04 4/30/03 9/26/02 2/21/02 Call for

50 42 31 19 15 LV 13 RV 8 RV 14 19 14 16 21 24 25 26 RV 39 30 32 29 30 LV 41 42 52 43 54 full trend.

48 57 67 78 82 85 90 83 78 84 82 77 74 73 71 59 68 66 69 68 55 57 46 53 42

2 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 4 4

4. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 46 30 16 50 31 19 53 31 22 57 34 23 60 39 21 54 38 16 52 37 15 56 32 24 54 34 21 51 29 22 50 27 24 53 29 24 52 29 23 56 30 26 53 31 23 51 26 25 53 27 25 48 23 25 47 22 25 52 33 20 57 37 21 58 38 20 61 39 21 63 40 23 72 46 26 79 50 29 63 47 16 63 47 16 64 44 20 58 35 23 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 52 11 41 48 11 37 44 11 33 41 11 30 37 11 26 45 11 34 46 10 36 42 11 31 42 13 29 45 14 31 44 14 29 43 12 31 45 14 31 40 14 26 43 15 28 45 13 32 43 14 29 49 16 33 46 15 31 45 13 32 41 12 29 40 13 27 38 11 27 35 12 24 26 11 15 18 9 9 33 7 26 34 7 27 33 12 21 36 12 24 No opinion 2 2 3 2 3 1 2 2 4 4 6 4 3 5 3 3 4 3 7 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 3 3 7

11/17/13 10/20/13 6/23/13 3/24/13 1/27/13 11/2/12 10/21/12 10/7/12 9/9/12 9/2/12 8/26/12 8/5/12 5/27/12 4/15/12 3/25/12 2/26/12 1/22/12 12/11/11 9/18/11 4/17/11 4/25/10 1/15/10 11/15/09 9/12/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 11/2/08 10/23/08 10/11/08 9/7/08

LV LV

LV LV RV RV

8/22/08 RV 6/15/08 4/13/08 1/10/08 11/1/07 2/25/07 1/19/07 12/11/06

62 63 56 63 51 53 45 44

37 35 28 31 21 21 NA 21

25 28 28 32 30 33 NA 22

34 33 39 30 36 30 29 23

13 12 14 14 16 16 NA 17

21 21 25 16 20 14 NA 6

4 4 5 7 13 16 25 33

5. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Obama, or not: [ITEM]? 11/17/13 - Summary Table a. b. c. d. He He He He is a strong leader understands the problems of people like you is honest and trustworthy is a good manager Yes 46 47 47 41 No 53 51 50 56 No opinion 1 2 3 3

Trend: a. He is a strong leader 11/17/13 9/15/13 1/13/13 1/15/12 11/3/11 6/5/11 6/6/10 3/26/10 1/15/10 7/18/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 Yes 46 54 61 51 48 55 57 65 63 71 77 72 No 53 44 37 48 51 44 43 33 35 27 22 18 No opinion 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 10

b. He understands the problems of people like you 11/17/13 1/13/13 1/15/12 11/3/11 6/5/11 1/16/11 9/2/10 6/6/10 3/26/10 1/15/10 7/18/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 Yes 47 55 51 49 49 58 50 51 56 57 63 73 72 No 51 43 47 49 49 40 48 48 43 42 35 25 24 No opinion 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 4

c. He is honest and trustworthy 11/17/13 10/13/12 RV 11/3/11 4/24/09 1/16/09 Yes 47 56 57 74 75 No 50 40 39 22 19 No opinion 3 4 5 4 6

10

12/14/08 d. No trend.

67

22

11

6. Overall, do you support or oppose the federal law making changes to the health care system? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 40 27 13 46 25 21 42 26 16 42 25 17 47 27 20 39 23 17 41 24 17 --------- Oppose -------NET Somewhat Strongly 57 11 46 49 13 36 52 13 39 49 10 39 47 14 33 53 13 40 52 11 41 No opinion 2 5 6 9 6 8 7

11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 7/08/12 4/8/12 3/10/12

Compare to: Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the changes to the health care system that have been enacted by (Congress) and (the Obama administration)? -------- Support ---------------- Oppose -------No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/16/11 45 25 20 50 14 36 5 12/12/10 43 22 21 52 14 37 6 10/3/10 47 26 21 48 13 35 5 3/26/10 46 32 13 50 10 40 4 2/8/10* 46 22 25 49 11 38 5 1/15/10 44 22 22 51 12 39 5 12/13/09 44 25 19 51 11 40 5 11/15/09 48 30 18 49 10 39 3 10/18/09 45 26 19 48 12 36 7 9/12/09 46 30 16 48 12 36 6 8/17/09 45 27 18 50 10 40 5 *2/8/10 and prior: "proposed changes...that are being developed by" 7. Please tell me if you support or oppose each part of the health care law that I describe. First is [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 11/17/13 Summary Table ------ Support -----NET Strngly Smwht a. Requiring companies with 50 or more employees to provide health insurance to their employees or pay a fine b. Requiring nearly all Americans to have health insurance or pay a fine ------- Oppose -----NET Smwht Strngly No op.

58 34

42 23

17 11

40 65

10 11

30 53

2 1

8. Some people received notices recently saying their health insurance policies had to be replaced because they did not meet minimum standards under the new health care law. Obama now says people with those polices can keep them for the next year. Do you think this issue (reflects a normal startup problem with the new system) or (is a sign of mismanagement of the new health care law)? A normal startup problem with the new system 38 A sign of mismanagement of the new health care law 56 No opinion 6

11/17/13

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9. Barack Obama said in the past that people who have health insurance can keep their policies. Thats not the case for people whose policies dont meet the laws minimum coverage standards. Do you think Obama (told the American public what he believed to be true) or (intentionally misled the American public)? Obama told the American public what he believed to be true 52 Obama intentionally misled the American public 44 No opinion 4

11/17/13

Compare to: In making its case for war with Iraq, do you think the Bush administration (told the American public what it believed to be true), or (intentionally misled the American public)? Bush told the American public what it believed to be true 45 51 46 44 48 55 57 55 Bush intentionally misled the American public 52 47 52 55 52 43 40 42 No opinion 3 2 2 2 * 2 3 3

12/11/06 11/4/06 RV 5/15/06 11/2/05 6/26/05 3/13/05 8/29/04 RV 7/25/04

10. You may have heard about problems with the federal government website where people who dont have health insurance are supposed to sign up for it. Do you think these problems are serious enough that the government should delay the requirement that all individuals have health insurance, or should this requirement proceed on schedule? Delay the requirement 71 Requirement should proceed on schedule 22 Should not be required (vol.) 3 No opinion 3

11/17/13

11. Do you think the federal government can recover from its problems implementing the new health care law and get it working successfully, or do you think these problems are an indication that the law is unworkable? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? -Government can recover NET Strongly Somewhat 49 34 15 --- Law is unworkable --NET Somewhat Strongly 49 8 41 No opinion 2

11/17/13

12. If a candidate for U.S. Congress supports the federal health care law, would that make you more likely to (support) that candidate, more likely to (oppose) that candidate or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Would that make you much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or somewhat more likely? ---- Support ------- Oppose ----No NET Much Smwt NET Smwt Much difference 11/17/13 21 14 6 37 9 29 40 7/8/12 28 18 10 28 9 20 41 7/11/10 RV* 39 25 15 37 6 31 21 *Part of a list item: "the new health care reform law" No opinion 2 2 2

Compare to: Say a candidate for Congress voted FOR the changes to the health care system recently enacted by (Congress) and (the Obama administration). Would that make you more likely to [support] that candidate for Congress, more likely to [oppose] that

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candidate, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Are you much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or somewhat more? ---- Support ------- Oppose ----No No NET Much Smwt NET Smwt Much difference opinion 3/26/10 26 16 9 32 6 27 40 2 1/15/10* 22 12 10 31 7 24 45 2 11/15/09 25 13 12 29 8 20 45 1 9/12/09 22 12 10 23 7 17 54 1 8/17/09 23 14 9 32 6 26 43 2 *1/15/10 and prior: "supports the proposed changes...being developed" 13-20 held for release. Changing topics, 21. Do you think Obama's views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? Too liberal 45 39 40 39 45 39 37 40 39 33 29 39 40 39 37 36 31 Too conservative 9 9 10 8 9 5 7 7 5 4 4 3 2 2 4 5 6 About right 43 46 44 48 45 53 54 52 53 62 65 56 55 55 55 52 56 No opinion 3 6 6 4 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 7 7

11/17/13 8/25/12 4/8/12 4/17/11 9/2/10 4/25/10 1/15/10 11/15/09 9/12/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 10/31/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/11/08 6/15/08 3/2/08

LV LV LV RV

22. In general, do you think the political views of [ITEM] are (too conservative), (too liberal), or about right? 11/17/13 Summary Table Too liberal 17 46 14 Too conservative 43 10 40 About right 36 41 35 No opinion 4 3 11

a. The Republican Party b. The Democratic Party d. The Tea Party political movement Trend: a. The Republican Party Too liberal 11/17/13 17 8/6/00 13 8/5/96 14 11/8/95* 18 3/29/95 14 11/6/94 13

Too conservative 43 30 38 38 32 33

About right 36 48 44 37 48 44

No opinion 4 9 5 7 6 9

13

10/25/94 15 8/19/92 RV 12 *11/95 and earlier: Gallup b. The Democratic Party

35 39

44 38

6 11

Too Too liberal conservative 11/17/13 46 10 8/5/96 39 11 11/8/95* 38 13 11/29/94 50 13 11/6/94 42 10 10/25/94 45 10 8/19/92 RV 37 8 *11/95 and earlier: Gallup d. The Tea Party political movement Too liberal 14 Too conservative 40 About right 35

About right 41 45 43 32 40 40 46

No opinion 3 4 7 5 8 5 9

11/17/13

No opinion 11

Compare to: Thinking about most of the Republican candidates for Congress you've been hearing about who are associated with the Tea Party political movement, would you say their views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? Too liberal 13 Too conservative 35 About right 42 No opinion 10

10/3/10

23. What's your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly? -------- Support ---------------- Oppose -------NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly 11/17/13 38 9 28 53 22 31 10/20/13 36 9 27 54 20 34 5/19/13 40 10 30 43 21 22 8/25/12 44 13 31 42 18 24 8/5/12* 41 12 29 46 19 27 4/8/12 41 12 29 45 21 24 3/10/12 44 15 29 43 17 26 2/4/12 43 12 31 45 20 25 1/15/12 40 13 28 50 23 27 12/18/11 42 13 28 45 20 26 11/3/11 43 14 29 44 20 24 10/2/11 42 12 30 47 20 27 9/1/11 47 13 35 45 18 27 7/17/11 44 13 31 46 23 24 6/5/11 46 13 33 44 21 24 4/17/11 42 16 26 49 21 27 *Washington Post/Kaiser Family Foundation No opinion 9 10 17 14 13 14 13 12 10 13 13 11 8 10 10 10

24. Do you think the Tea Party movement is having too (much) influence, too (little) influence or about the right amount of influence over the Republican Party? 11/17/13 3/26/10 Too much 43 23 Too little 21 24 Right amount 25 38 No opinion 11 15

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25. Thinking back - if the 2012 presidential election were being held today instead of just over a year ago, and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat), and (Mitt Romney, the Republican), for whom would you vote? (IF NOT OBAMA, ROMNEY, OR WOULD NOT VOTE) Which candidate would you lean toward, (Barack Obama, the Democrat) or (Mitt Romney, the Republican)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE Obama 47 45 Romney 47 49 Other (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 4 3 Would not vote (vol.) 1 1 No opinion * *

11/17/13 11/17/13 RV

26-27 held for release. *** END ***

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