Defense acquisition
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Recent papers in Defense acquisition
A plug fest is an industry best practice for demonstrating information technology (IT) interoperability in a particular enterprise. Participants earn market share by proving to customers that modular vendor offerings add value out of the... more
Past efforts to reform defense acquisition have been based in New Public Management assumptions that certain attributes of program managers (PMs), such as their training and experience levels, are important for improving outcomes. This... more
Acquisition efforts for complex human-machine systems have all too often treated training as an after thought even though training is often expected to accommodate for system performance shortfalls. By incorporating the identification of... more
Academic debate in security and strategic studies over the past two decades has focused overwhelmingly on understanding changes to the security environment and their impact on the strategy and conduct of contemporary wars. Nowhere is this... more
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of cost escalation in transportation infrastructure projects. Based on a sample of 258 transportation infrastructure projects worth US$90 billion and... more
Megaproject Planning and Management: Essential Readings contains the seminal articles from the growing body of research on megaproject planning and management along with an original introduction by the editor, Bent Flyvbjerg. The leading... more
Back cover text: Megaprojects and Risk provides the first detailed examination of the phenomenon of megaprojects. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multi-billion dollar megaprojects systematically and self-servingly... more
The article first describes characteristics of major infrastructure projects. Second, it documents a much neglected topic in economics: that ex ante estimates of costs and benefits are often very different from actual ex post costs and... more
This research provides a critical analysis of Turkey's defense procurement behavior since 1923. The main goal behind focusing on such a long period is to find out the differences and sources of change behind the Turkey's behavior and... more
Anggaran pertahanan Indonesia terus berfluktuasi. Hal ini berpengaruh terhadap roda diplomasinya, khususnya di bidang pertahanan. Fluktuasi anggaran pertahanan kerapkali dikaitkan dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Indonesia mengalami dinamika... more
As megaprojects have become ubiquitous, their real benefits and costs have come under increased scrutiny. We interviewed Bent Flyvbjerg, who has extensively studied megaproject development. Flyvbjerg has found systematic problems in the... more
C e n t r e f o r la nd wa r f a r e s t u d ie s v ic t o r y thr ough vi s io n cLAWs Indian Offset Contracts: An Evaluation
The Supplementary Green Book Guidance on Optimism Bias (HM Treasury 2003) with reference to the Review of Large Public Procurement in the UK (Mott MacDonald 2002) notes that there is a demonstrated, systematic, tendency for project... more
"Over budget, over time, over and over again" appears to be an appropriate slogan for large, complex infrastructure projects. This article explains why cost, benefits, and time forecasts for such projects are systematically... more
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 projects in 14 nations worth U.S.$59... more
Do different types of megaprojects have different cost overruns? This apparently simple question is at the heart of research at the University of Oxford aimed at understanding the characteristics of megaprojects, particularly in terms of... more
As megaprojects have become ubiquitous, their real benefits and costs have come under increased scrutiny. We interviewed Bent Flyvbjerg, who has extensively studied megaproject development. Flyvbjerg has found systematic problems in the... more
Back cover text: This book aims to enlarge the understanding of decision-making on mega-projects and suggest recommendations for a more effective, efficient and democratic approach. Authors from different scientific disciplines address... more
Orang boleh bilang apa saja tentang kinerja Presiden Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY) selama hampir 10 tahun masa pemerintahannya. Tetapi, yang tak terduga dan tak banyak dibahas para pengamat politik, SBY tampaknya akan mewariskan industri... more
This paper focuses on problems and their causes and cures in policy and planning for large infrastructure projects. First, it identifies as the main problem in major infrastructure development pervasive misinformation about the costs,... more
The "other" in "other transactions" authority (OTA) for prototyping projects, means not subject to the Federal Acquisition Regulations. This is a powerful tool that Congress has recently made even more powerful. USAF is applying OTA for... more
Risk, including economic risk, is increasingly a concern for public policy and management. The possibility of dealing effectively with risk is hampered, however, by lack of a sound empirical basis for risk assessment and management. This... more
Out-of-control information technology (IT) projects have ended the careers of top managers, such as EADS CEO Noël Forgeard and Levi Strauss’ CIO David Bergen. Moreover, IT projects have brought down whole companies, like Kmart in the US... more
1 Bu çalışma 22-25 Haziran 2010 tarihleri arasında gerçekleştirilen 5.Savunma Teknolojileri Kongresinde sunulan bildirinin gözden geçirilmiş hâlidir. Makalenin geliş tarihi: 11.12.2010 Kabul tarihi: 02.03.2011
2008. 352 pp. r150.00 (hardcover). This volume is intended to explain why major investment projects (the so-called mega-projects) often are not completed on time and cost more than originally budgeted. Drawing from experiences of European... more
This paper focuses on problems and their causes and cures in policy and planning for large-infrastructure projects. First, it identifies as the main problem in major infrastructure developments pervasive misinformation about the costs,... more
A major source of risk in project management is inaccurate forecasts of project costs, demand, and other impacts. The paper presents a promising new approach to mitigating such risk, based on theories of decision making under uncertainty... more
Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman must be commended for their clear identification of causes and cures to the planning fallacy in “Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives’ Decisions” (July 2003). Their look at overoptimism,... more
Results from the first statistically significant study of the causes of cost escalation in transport infrastructure projects are presented. The study is based on a sample of 258 rail, bridge, tunnel and road projects worth US$90 billion.... more
The F-35 was originally conceived as a multirole air superiority/ strike aircraft capable of operating in self-contained formations, or alone, into hostile airspace. As its development proceeded, however, it proved extremely difficult to... more
One of many issues associated with the flawed Defense acquisition process, including especially with respect to information systems, is the contracting process. "Other Transactions" Agreements are designed for experimentation. The USAF... more
This paper explores how theories of the planning fallacy and the outside view may be used to conduct quality control and due diligence in project management. First, a much-neglected issue in project management is identified, namely that... more
We kidded ourselves for a while that Star Wars had gone away. We pretended that flower power was winning. But in our heart of hearts, in our 3 a.m. nightmares, we knew that no toy of destruction, once conceived of, has ever been left to... more
Open System Acquisition is fundamentally different than traditional approaches. This talk identifies some of those differences and provides high level "how to" instruction for accomplishing the new tasks.
Standards, like MIL-STD-810F and RTCA/DO-160D, have been developed to provide manufacturers of military and commercial vehicles with guidelines for acceptable equipment vibration levels. Design engineers use these standards as guidelines... more
This study analyzes the practices of acquisition of defense technologies in the United States (U.S.) and Brazil. The first objective is to elucidate the processes adopted by both countries in order to produce conclusions to improve the... more
Niniejszy rozdział stanowi analizę polityki zbrojeniowej Stanów Zjednoczonych oraz kondycji amerykańskiego przemysłu obronnego w pierwszej dekadzie XXI wieku. Pierwsza część dotyczy lat wcześniejszych i stanowi swego rodzaju wprowadzenie... more
As it is pointed out in a previous document published by Shaffer [1] technology growth is a non-linear process whereas acquisition path remains linear. Therefore, a need for defense acquisition transformation is emphasized in many current... more
As it is pointed out in a previous document published by Shaffer [1] technology growth is a non-linear process whereas acquisition path remains linear. Therefore, a need for defense acquisition transformation is emphasized in many current... more
Co-authored with Maj. A.J. DeNeve, USAF - Article provides analysis of terms commonly used in discussing defense acquisition.
A percepção de um sistema de aquisição de defesa pouco eficiente e a necessidade de se ter prontidão para combate em um mundo com ameaças transnacionais em recrudescimento motivou as administrações britânicas mais recentes a remodelar o... more